By:
On:
In: Fair company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Harley-Davidson Inc
Stock ticker HOG
Live stock price [stckqut]HOG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $45.57
Target stock price (averages with growth) $40.26
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $23.33
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $48.76

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://finance.google.com/finance?q=hog

Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company for the groups of companies doing business as Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) and Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS). The Company operates in two segments: the Motorcycles & Related Products (Motorcycles) and the Financial Services. The Motorcycles segment consists of HDMC, which designs, manufactures and sells at wholesale on-road Harley-Davidson motorcycles, as well as motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and related services. The Company manufactures and sells at wholesale cruiser and touring motorcycles. The Financial Services segment consists of HDFS, which provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance-related programs to the Harley-Davidson dealers and their retail customers. HDFS is engaged in the business of financing and servicing wholesale inventory receivables and retail consumer loans for the purchase of Harley-Davidson motorcycles.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Harley-Davidson Inc as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. Because of those concerns, I am removing Harley-Davidson from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Harley-Davidson Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $50.88
  • Growth: 0.09
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.19
  • P/E: 16
  • Future EPS Calc: $4.9
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $78.53
  • Target stock price: $48.76

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Daily gains
With: 0 Comments
Symbol Stock Price change today
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. 2.5978%
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc 2.1889%
UA Under Armour Inc 1.8105%
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 1.4307%
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. 1.2517%
TRN Trinity Industries Inc 1.2149%
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc 1.1372%
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. 1.1186%
ADS Alliance Data Systems Corporation 1.0641%
AYI Acuity Brands, Inc. 0.9604%
COF Capital One Financial Corp. 0.9534%
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc 0.9519%
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. 0.8733%
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. 0.5056%
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. 0.4932%
AAPL Apple Inc. 0.3785%
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc 0.3265%
PCLN Priceline Group Inc 0.27%
LNCE Snyder’s-Lance Inc 0.1995%
BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings 0.064%
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc 0.0616%
MET Metlife Inc 0.0392%
MIDD Middleby Corp -0.0381%
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. -0.0929%
NFLX Netflix, Inc. -0.1059%
AMZN Amazon -0.2429%
FB Facebook Inc -0.2473%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc -0.2524%
SBUX Starbucks Corporation -0.2598%
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation -0.328%
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. -0.3611%
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation -0.4624%
EXR Extra Space Storage, Inc. -0.5604%
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. -0.5617%
SUI Sun Communities Inc -0.5784%
HSKA Heska Corp -0.6486%
EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp -0.7184%
CBPO China Biologic Products Inc -0.7709%
MCK McKesson Corporation -0.7781%
GWR Genesee & Wyoming Inc -0.8068%
IDXX IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. -0.8823%
GTN Gray Television, Inc. -1.1527%
THRM Gentherm Inc -1.2085%
HZO MarineMax Inc -1.4742%
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. -1.5798%
HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. -1.8152%
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. -2.6271%
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. -6.3728%

By:
On:
In: Content for book owners, Daily Indicators
With: 0 Comments
Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
AAPL Apple Inc. $169.0100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $187.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ADS Alliance Data Systems Corporation $229.8600 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $233.0100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $109.4200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $51.0100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMZN Amazon $1152.3500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AYI Acuity Brands, Inc. $164.0500 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $172.6300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings $155.8500 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
CBPO China Biologic Products Inc $80.2500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
COF Capital One Financial Corp. $93.8700 Strong Buy or Hold
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $49.7100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. $147.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $181.1700 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp $113.3600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
EXR Extra Space Storage, Inc. $85.4400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
FB Facebook Inc $176.0600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GOOGL Alphabet Inc $1032.7200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $14.8000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GWR Genesee & Wyoming Inc $77.3700 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. $5.5100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc $50.8800 Strong Buy or Hold
HSKA Heska Corp $83.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HZO MarineMax Inc $21.1500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
IDXX IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. $159.9900 Strong Buy or Hold
LNCE Snyder’s-Lance Inc $38.1300 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $67.6600 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
MCK McKesson Corporation $150.4700 Strong Buy or Hold
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. $45.5000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MET Metlife Inc $53.0000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
MIDD Middleby Corp $125.9900 Strong Buy or Hold
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation $63.2700 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. $54.3500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $185.3000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $189.2600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
PCLN Priceline Group Inc $1719.0400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc $375.1300 Some Concerns, may need to wait
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc $188.7000 Strong Buy or Hold
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $59.2800 Strong Buy or Hold
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. $216.9300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SUI Sun Communities Inc $94.5400 Strong Buy or Hold
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $96.4700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
THRM Gentherm Inc $33.3500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. $183.8700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TRN Trinity Industries Inc $35.6000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
UA Under Armour Inc $11.5500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $223.1400 Strong Buy or Hold

By:
On:
In: Daily gains
With: 0 Comments
Symbol Stock Price change today
MCK McKesson Corporation 4.5768%
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc 4.2619%
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc 3.5579%
AYI Acuity Brands, Inc. 3.0956%
IDXX IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. 2.7742%
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 2.5606%
SBUX Starbucks Corporation 2.5122%
COF Capital One Financial Corp. 2.3404%
UA Under Armour Inc 2.1313%
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc 1.8656%
ADS Alliance Data Systems Corporation 1.769%
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. 1.625%
TRN Trinity Industries Inc 1.6084%
GWR Genesee & Wyoming Inc 1.507%
GTN Gray Television, Inc. 1.3793%
SUI Sun Communities Inc 1.3763%
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc 1.312%
CBPO China Biologic Products Inc 1.2974%
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation 0.6834%
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. 0.6265%
LNCE Snyder’s-Lance Inc 0.2598%
MET Metlife Inc 0.0187%
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. 0%
BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings 0%
HZO MarineMax Inc 0%
MIDD Middleby Corp -0.1422%
EXR Extra Space Storage, Inc. -0.4108%
HSKA Heska Corp -0.446%
PCLN Priceline Group Inc -0.695%
HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. -0.7067%
AAPL Apple Inc. -0.7308%
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. -0.8486%
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. -1.0339%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc -1.2877%
NFLX Netflix, Inc. -1.4881%
FB Facebook Inc -2.0731%
THRM Gentherm Inc -2.1127%
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. -2.1413%
EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp -2.2421%
AMZN Amazon -2.4433%
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. -2.5848%
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd -2.8807%
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. -3.8187%
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc -3.8834%
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. -4.1225%
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. -5.2914%
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation -5.5747%
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. -11.1269%

By:
On:
In: Content for book owners, Daily Indicators
With: 0 Comments
Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
AAPL Apple Inc. $171.0500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $194.6000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ADS Alliance Data Systems Corporation $234.0300 Strong Buy or Hold
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $254.0700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $108.9600 Some Concerns, may need to wait
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $51.9100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMZN Amazon $1162.3500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AYI Acuity Brands, Inc. $167.0100 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $174.6100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings $155.5000 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
CBPO China Biologic Products Inc $80.9300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
COF Capital One Financial Corp. $92.7200 Strong Buy or Hold
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $53.1600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. $153.2000 Strong Buy or Hold
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $184.6200 Strong Buy or Hold
EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp $116.4100 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
EXR Extra Space Storage, Inc. $85.2000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
FB Facebook Inc $175.1000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GOOGL Alphabet Inc $1025.0700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $14.5000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GWR Genesee & Wyoming Inc $78.3000 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. $5.6600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc $50.0300 Strong Buy or Hold
HSKA Heska Corp $86.3150 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HZO MarineMax Inc $21.4000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
IDXX IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. $155.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LNCE Snyder’s-Lance Inc $38.4900 Strong Buy or Hold
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $67.2200 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
MCK McKesson Corporation $146.3900 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. $46.7000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MET Metlife Inc $53.6100 Strong Buy or Hold
MIDD Middleby Corp $126.5900 Strong Buy or Hold
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation $62.9200 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. $55.8700 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $186.8200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $197.6800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
PCLN Priceline Group Inc $1735.3000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc $373.4700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc $182.2500 Strong Buy or Hold
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $57.3200 Strong Buy or Hold
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. $218.6000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SUI Sun Communities Inc $93.7300 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $102.2300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
THRM Gentherm Inc $35.5000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. $192.2000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
TRN Trinity Industries Inc $35.4400 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
UA Under Armour Inc $11.7300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $212.5800 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon