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Company name Nike Inc
Stock ticker NKE
Live stock price [stckqut]NKE[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $65.65
Target stock price (averages with growth) $77.19
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $60.66
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $68.79

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=nke

NIKE, Inc. (NIKE) is engaged in the design, development and worldwide marketing and selling of footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories and services. NIKE is a seller of athletic footwear and athletic apparel worldwide. The Company sells its products to retail accounts, through NIKE-owned retail stores and Internet sales, and through a mix of independent distributors and licensees, in approximately 190 countries around the world. The Company focuses its product offerings in seven key categories: Running, Basketball, Football (Soccer), Men’s Training, Women’s Training, NIKE Sportswear (its sports-inspired products) and Action Sports. It also markets products designed for kids, as well as for other athletic and recreational uses, such as baseball, cricket, golf, lacrosse, outdoor activities, football (American), tennis, volleyball, walking and wrestling. In February 2013, it sold its Cole Haan affiliate brand to APAX Partners LLP.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $66.82

Growth: 0.105

Current EPS (TTM): $2.69

P/E: 25

Future EPS Calc: $4.43

Future Stock Price Calc: $110.79

Target stock price: $68.79

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Trimble Navigation Limited
Stock ticker TRMB
Live stock price [stckqut]TRMB[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $32.78
Target stock price (averages with growth) $43.21
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $31.73
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $32.35

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=trmb

Trimble Navigation Limited (Trimble) provides technology solutions. The Company’s solutions are used across a range of industries, including agriculture, architecture, civil engineering, construction, environmental management, government, natural resources, transportation and utilities. As of December 28, 2012 (fiscal 2012), the Company acquired Vico Software, Inc.; the assets of Refraction Technology, Inc. (REF TEK); TMW Systems Holding LLC, including its operating subsidiary, TMW Systems, Inc. (TMW); Logicway of Oldenzaal; WinEstimator, Inc.; Gatewing of Gent, a provider of lightweight unmanned aerial vehicles for photogrammetry and rapid terrain mapping applications; Plancal of Horgen, and StruCad and StruEngineer business from AceCad Software. In January 2013, the Company acquired LK Technologies Inc of Princeton NJ. In June 2013, the Company acquired Trade Service Co LLC. In June 2013, it announced that it has acquired privately held Actronic Holdings Limited of Auckland.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

 
For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $25.92

Growth: 0.15

Current EPS (TTM): $0.74

P/E: 35

Future EPS Calc: $1.48

Future Stock Price Calc: $52.09

Target stock price: $32.34

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Saba Software, Inc.
Stock ticker SABA
Live stock price [stckqut]SABA[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=saba

Saba Software, Inc. (Saba) is a provider of learning and talent management solutions providing a set of People Cloud Applications that include enterprise learning, talent management, testing and assessment and collaboration solutions delivered through the Saba People Cloud. The Saba People Cloud consists of a range of integrated People Cloud Applications, service-oriented architecture, a multi-tenant people cloud infrastructure, and a people cloud community of human capital experts, partners, practitioners and thought leaders. The Saba People Cloud enables organizations to transform the way they develop, engage and inspire their people network of employees, partners and customers by providing solutions that help clients to mobilize their people network, cultivate a development culture, accelerate innovation and creativity and leverage a unified, flexible, multi-tenant cloud. On March 19, 2012, the Company acquired HumanConcepts, organizational modeling and visualization provider.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Union Pacific Corporation
Stock ticker UNP
Live stock price [stckqut]UNP[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $177.53
Target stock price (averages with growth) $235.79
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $195.58
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $163.52

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=unp

Union Pacific Corporation (UPC) owns transportation companies. Its principal operating company, Union Pacific Railroad Company, links 23 states in the western 66% of the country. Union Pacific Railroad Company’s business mix includes agricultural products, automotive, chemicals, energy, industrial products and intermodal. Union Pacific Railroad Company connects with Canada’s rail systems and is the railroad serving six gateways to Mexico. Union Pacific Railroad Company (UPRR) is a Class I railroad operating in the United States. In June 2012, the Company’s wholly owned subsidiary, PS Technology (PST), acquired the Yard Control Systems division of Ansaldo STS USA.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, The Confident Investor I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $157.32

Growth: 0.12

Current EPS (TTM): $8.79

P/E: 17

Future EPS Calc: $15.49

Future Stock Price Calc: $263.34

Target stock price: $163.52

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Hess Corp.
Stock ticker HES
Live stock price [stckqut]HES[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $82.91
Target stock price (averages with growth) $99.52
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $90.55
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $75.44

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hes

Hess Corporation (Hess) is a global integrated energy company that operates in two segments: Exploration and Production (E&P) and Marketing and Refining (M&R). The E&P segment explores for, develops, produces, purchases, transports and sells crude oil and natural gas. These exploration and production activities take place principally in Algeria, Australia, Azerbaijan, Brazil, Brunei, China, Denmark, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, France, Ghana, Indonesia, the Kurdistan region of Iraq, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, Peru, Russia, Thailand, the United Kingdom and the United States. The M&R segment manufactures refined petroleum products and purchases, markets and trades refined petroleum products, natural gas and electricity. The Company owns 50% of HOVENSA L.L.C., a joint venture in the United States Virgin Islands. In October 2011, it acquired 50% undivided interest in CONSOL Energy Inc. In April 2013, the Company sold Samara-Nafta to OAO LUKOIL.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.