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Company name Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc.
Stock ticker GMCR
Live stock price [stckqut]GMCR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $33.96
Target stock price (averages with growth) $76.6
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $81.9
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $33.53

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gmcr

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc. (GMCR) is engaged in the specialty coffee and coffee maker businesses. The Company roasts Arabica bean coffees, including single-origin, Fair Trade Certified, certified organic, flavored, limited edition and blends offered in K-Cup portion packs, whole bean and ground coffee selections, as well as other specialty beverages, including tea, hot apple cider and hot cocoa also offered in K-Cup portion packs. The Company operates in three segments: the Specialty Coffee business unit (SCBU), the Keurig business unit (KBU) and the Canadian business unit (CBU). On December 17, 2010, the Company acquired LJVH Holdings Inc. (Van Houtte). In October 3, 2011, the Company sold Van Houtte USA Holdings, Inc. to ARAMARK Refreshment Services, LLC.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. I continue to think that the company is a well-run company but it’s stock price has been hammered lately.  Based on the current stock price, I have significantly reduced expectations since the last time that I looked at the company.

 

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Company name Extra Space Storage, Inc.
Stock ticker EXR
Live stock price [stckqut]EXR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $52.3
Target stock price (averages with growth) $49.29
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $31.26
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $36.93

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=exr

Extra Space Storage Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company owns, operates, manages, acquires, develops and redevelops professionally managed self-storage facilities. As of December 31, 2011, Extra Space Storage Inc. held ownership interests in 697 operating properties. Of these operating properties, 356 are wholly owned, and 341 are owned in joint venture partnerships. An additional 185 operating properties that are owned by franchisees or third-parties in exchange for a management fee, bringing the total number of operating properties, which it owns and/or manages to 882. The Company operates in three segments: property management, acquisition and development; rental operations, and tenant reinsurance.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. The company has dropped a bit since the last time that I reviewed it. This drop is primarily because of the decrease in growth of P/E. This metric is very hard for the managers of the company to control so I don’t want to penalize them too much.  I am leaving the company on the Watch List until the next time I review.  It is one of the few REITs on my list so I want to be slower to penalize.

 

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Company name Goldcorp Inc. (USA)
Stock ticker GG
Live stock price [stckqut]GG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $67.35
Target stock price (averages with growth) $114.12
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $109.6
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $60.28

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gg

Goldcorp Inc. (Goldcorp) is a gold producer engaged in the operation, exploration, development and acquisition of precious metal properties in Canada, the United States, Mexico and Central and South America. As of December 31, 2011, its producing mining properties were consisted of the Red Lake, Porcupine and Musselwhite gold mines in Canada; the Penasquito gold/silver/lead/zinc mine, Los Filos and El Sauzal gold mines in Mexico; the Marlin gold/silver mine in Guatemala; the Alumbrera gold/copper mine (37.5% interest) in Argentina; the Marigold (66.7% interest) and Wharf gold mines in the United States. As of December 31, 2011, its development projects included the Cerro Negro gold project in Argentina; the Eleonore and Cochenour gold projects in Canada; the Pueblo Viejo gold project (40% interest) in the Dominican Republic; the El Morro gold/copper project in Chile; the Noche Buena and Camino Rojo gold/silver projects in Mexico, and the Cerro Blanco gold/silver project in Guatemala.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

 

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Company name Fossil, Inc.
Stock ticker FOSL
Live stock price [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $108.07
Target stock price (averages with growth) $147.9
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $109.03
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $106.64

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=fosl

Fossil, Inc. a global designer, marketer and distributer company that specializes in consumer fashion accessories. The Company’s offerings include a line of men’s and women’s fashion watches and jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, shoes, soft accessories and clothing. Its products are distributed globally through a range of distribution channels, including wholesale in countries where it has a physical presence, direct to the consumer through its retail stores and commercial Websites and through third-party distributors in countries, where it does not maintain a physical presence. The Company operates in four segments: the North America Wholesale segment, the Europe Wholesale segment, Asia Pacific Wholesale segment and the Direct to Consumer segment. Effective April 2, 2012, it acquired Skagen Designs, Ltd. and certain of its international affiliates.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

 

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Company name First Financial Bancorp
Stock ticker FFBC
Live stock price [stckqut]FFBC[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $25.25
Target stock price (averages with growth) $25.78
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $18.35
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $17.77

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ffbc

First Financial Bancorp (First Financial) is a bank holding company. First Financial is engaged in the business of commercial banking and other banking and banking-related activities through its wholly owned subsidiary, First Financial Bank, National Association (Bank). The range of banking services provided by First Financial to individuals and businesses includes commercial lending, real estate lending, and consumer financing. Effective September 1, 2011, First Financial’s wholly owned subsidiary, First Financial Capital Advisors LLC (FFCA) was dissolved. Its another subsidiary, First Financial (OH) Statutory Trust II (Statutory Trust II), was also dissolved during the year ended December 31,2011. On September 23, 2011, the Bank completed the purchase of 16 Ohio banking centers from Liberty Savings Bank. On December 2, 2011, First Financial Bank completed the purchase of 22 Indiana-based retail banking branches from Flagstar Bank.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.