Company name Fossil Group Inc
Stock ticker FOSL
Live stock price [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $4.79
Target stock price (averages with growth) $4.21
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $4.62
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $360.61

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=fosl

Fossil Group, Inc. is a design, marketing and distribution company that specializes in consumer fashion accessories. The Company’s segments are Americas, Europe and Asia. Each segment includes sales to wholesale and distributor customers, and sales through the Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment includes sales to customers based in Canada, Latin America and the United States. The Europe segment includes sales to customers based in European countries, the Middle East and Africa. The Asia segment includes sales to customers based in Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The Company’s principal offerings include a line of men’s and women’s fashion watches and jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses and soft accessories. Its brand includes FOSSIL, MICHELE, RELIC, SKAGEN, ZODIAC, ADIDAS, BURBERRY, DIESEL and DKNY.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Fossil Group Inc. I am removing Fossil Group from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Fossil Group Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $31.28
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.89
  • P/E: 60
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.67
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $580.77
  • Target stock price: $360.61

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Fossil Group Inc
Stock ticker FOSL
Live stock price [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $59.95
Target stock price (averages with growth) $56.87
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $35.97
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $86.04

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=fosl

Fossil Group, Inc. a global designer, marketer and distributer company that specializes in consumer fashion accessories. The Company’s offerings include a line of men’s and women’s fashion watches and jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, soft accessories and clothing. Its products are distributed globally through various distribution channels, including wholesale in countries where the Company has a physical presence, direct to the consumer through its retail stores and commercial websites and through third-party distributors in countries where the Company do not maintain a physical presence. The Company operates in four different segments: the North America Wholesale segment, the Europe Wholesale segment, Asia Pacific Wholesale segment and the Direct to Consumer segment.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Fossil Group Inc as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am removing this company from my Watch List as its performance doesn’t favorably compare to other investment options.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Fossil Group Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $85.67
  • Growth: 0.1
  • Current EPS (TTM): $7.17
  • P/E: 12
  • Future EPS Calc: $11.54
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $138.56
  • Target stock price: $86.04

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

We look at Fossil Group, Inc. [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut] a company in the Consumer Goods industry which traders have been highly interested in of late, to assess if it provides value for investors considering buying or selling it.

The stock has an estimated 5 year annual growth of 10.31% and a PEG multiple of 1.15.

Rather than the usual Price to Earnings (P/E) multiple method, we use a slightly different method to assess if Fossil Group, Inc. is potentially a value buy for investors, the PEG ratio (P/E to growth). This PEG multiple takes into account the expected long term growth in earnings of the company rather than merely the growth for one earnings period ahead as forward P/E does.

That is to say, P/E simply doesn’t account for the long term prospects of FOSL. As a rule of thumb, a stock with a PEG of between 0 and 1 is usually considered to be underpriced, between 1 and 2 to be at fair value and over 2 to be overpriced. Based on the PEG ratio of FOSL being 1.15, we consider Fossil Group, Inc. to likely be priced at fair value.

Source: Is there Value for Investors: Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) – Stock Markets Daily

The market was generally good last week and should be good this week as well. More concern is on geo-political events that could cause a pullback. There is a very good chance that the week will be flat so individual stock choices will be important.

As always, my thoughts should only be used for educational purposes and any decision by the reader to use this information is subject to my disclaimer. In addition to the disclaimer, the stocks mentioned may have changed value from the time I wrote this to the time that you are reading it; therefore, the conclusions below may no longer be valid. The analysis on any investment indicator is always a short-term thought and just by being in this list the stock already is a long-term Good Company  or Fair Company and made my Watch List. If you are looking for long-term analysis of the stock, you should look for the stock in the company list that appears to the far right.

My analysis in this article is based on the investment indicator tools that I describe in my book, “The Confident Investor.” If you are not subscribed to this site as a book owner, then you will not be able to see some of the analysis. You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as AmazonBarnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in e-book formats for NookKindle, and iPad. After you purchase my book, it is free to subscribe to the extra content on this site. 

I will only be commenting on stocks that are ranked as an “Investigate to buy” and Possible buy” on my daily investment indicator article. The most recent daily investment indicator article is from November 15. Those stocks are:

  • Agilent Technologies Inc,
  • Apple Inc.,
  • ABIOMED Inc.,
  • Autobytel Inc.,
  • Alliance Data Systems Corporation,
  • Allergan Inc.,
  • Akamai Technologies Inc.,
  • AMETEK Inc.,
  • American Tower Corp,
  • ANSYS Inc.,
  • Aspen Technology Inc.,
  • BlackRock Inc.,
  • Broadcom Corporation,
  • Buffalo Wild Wings,
  • Chicago Bridge & Iron Company N.V.,
  • Cerner Corporation,
  • Cummins Inc.,
  • Capital One Financial Corp.,
  • Carter’s Inc.,
  • Catamaran Corp (USA),
  • Darling Ingredients Inc,
  • Deckers Outdoor Corp,
  • EOG Resources Inc,
  • Equinix Inc,
  • First Financial Bancorp,
  • Fossil Group Inc,
  • Gulfport Energy Corporation,
  • Genesee & Wyoming Inc,
  • Harley-Davidson Inc,
  • Jarden Corp,
  • KLA-Tencor Corporation,
  • Lululemon Athletica inc.,
  • Las Vegas Sands Corp.,
  • Monster Beverage Corp,
  • Merck & Co. Inc.,
  • Nordson Corporation,
  • Annaly Capital Management Inc.,
  • Priceline Group Inc,
  • Panera Bread Co,
  • Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA),
  • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc,
  • Royal Gold Inc USA),
  • Boston Beer Co Inc,
  • Constellation Brands Inc.,
  • Skyworks Solutions Inc,
  • Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.,
  • Tractor Supply Company,
  • Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.,
  • Under Armour Inc,
  • Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc.,
  • Yahoo! Inc.,
  • Whole Foods Market Inc.,

Investment Indicator Thoughts

S&P 500
The general S&P 500 (ticker is ^GSPC and the first line of my investment indicator articles). This index has begun to slow down a little this week but overall is positive. As always, smart selection of individual stocks is important.

NASDAQ Composite
The NASDAQ Composite (the ticker is ^IXIC and the second line of my investment indicator articles). This index is starting to show signs of slowing down. It will continue to be important to choose great individual stocks.

Agilent Technologies Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Agilent Technologies Inc [stckqut]A[/stckqut] had a decent week last week but showed …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Agilent Technologies Inc [stckqut]A[/stckqut] had a decent week last week but showed some weakness toward the end of the week.[/s2If]

Apple Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Apple Inc. [stckqut]AAPL[/stckqut] had a very good week last week. The stock is curre…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Apple Inc. [stckqut]AAPL[/stckqut] had a very good week last week. The stock is currently showing a strong buy signal.[/s2If]

ABIOMED, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]ABIOMED, Inc. [stckqut]ABMD[/stckqut] has been a bit flat since it gapped up a few we…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]ABIOMED, Inc. [stckqut]ABMD[/stckqut] has been a bit flat since it gapped up a few weeks ago. I expect this to continue for a little while.[/s2If]

Autobytel Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Autobytel Inc. [stckqut]ABTL[/stckqut] hasn’t been overly smooth in its growth but st…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Autobytel Inc. [stckqut]ABTL[/stckqut] hasn’t been overly smooth in its growth but still looks very strong.[/s2If]

Alliance Data Systems Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Alliance Data Systems Corporation [stckqut]ADS[/stckqut] has slowed a bit last week. …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Alliance Data Systems Corporation [stckqut]ADS[/stckqut] has slowed a bit last week. There may be better short term options.[/s2If]

Allergan, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Allergan, Inc. [stckqut]AGN[/stckqut] has been growing steadily for the past many wee…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Allergan, Inc. [stckqut]AGN[/stckqut] has been growing steadily for the past many weeks. Probably a strong addition to your portfolio.[/s2If]

Akamai Technologies, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Akamai Technologies, Inc. [stckqut]AKAM[/stckqut] ended the week quite strongly. Look…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Akamai Technologies, Inc. [stckqut]AKAM[/stckqut] ended the week quite strongly. Look for more growth in the coming weeks.[/s2If]

AMETEK, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]AMETEK, Inc. [stckqut]AME[/stckqut] had a complicated week last week with a major dro…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]AMETEK, Inc. [stckqut]AME[/stckqut] had a complicated week last week with a major drop and then a strong reversal. Be careful with this stock.[/s2If]

American Tower Corp
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]American Tower Corp [stckqut]AMT[/stckqut] had a decent run last week although droppe…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]American Tower Corp [stckqut]AMT[/stckqut] had a decent run last week although dropped a bit at the end of the week.[/s2If]

ANSYS, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]ANSYS, Inc. [stckqut]ANSS[/stckqut] has had a decent run for the last several weeks a…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]ANSYS, Inc. [stckqut]ANSS[/stckqut] has had a decent run for the last several weeks although dropped a bit toward the end of the week.[/s2If]

Aspen Technology, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Aspen Technology, Inc. [stckqut]AZPN[/stckqut] has probably stopped its downward slid…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Aspen Technology, Inc. [stckqut]AZPN[/stckqut] has probably stopped its downward slide but this buy signal is quite weak and shouldn’t be thought of as a reversal.[/s2If]

BlackRock, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]BlackRock, Inc. [stckqut]BLK[/stckqut] had a bad week last week with steadily declini…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]BlackRock, Inc. [stckqut]BLK[/stckqut] had a bad week last week with steadily declining prices. [/s2If]

Broadcom Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Broadcom Corporation [stckqut]BRCM[/stckqut] finished the week strong. Has had nice g…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Broadcom Corporation [stckqut]BRCM[/stckqut] finished the week strong. Has had nice growth for about a month.[/s2If]

Buffalo Wild Wings
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Buffalo Wild Wings [stckqut]BWLD[/stckqut] slowed down a bit last week after growing …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Buffalo Wild Wings [stckqut]BWLD[/stckqut] slowed down a bit last week after growing for several weeks.[/s2If]

Chicago Bridge & Iron Company N.V.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Chicago Bridge & Iron Company N.V. [stckqut]CBI[/stckqut] is basically moving sideway…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Chicago Bridge & Iron Company N.V. [stckqut]CBI[/stckqut] is basically moving sideways and this is not a good buy signal.[/s2If]

Cerner Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cerner Corporation [stckqut]CERN[/stckqut] had a decent run last week but not as stro…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cerner Corporation [stckqut]CERN[/stckqut] had a decent run last week but not as strong as the last several weeks. [/s2If]

Cummins Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cummins Inc. [stckqut]CMI[/stckqut] has been flat for a couple weeks now. I think the…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cummins Inc. [stckqut]CMI[/stckqut] has been flat for a couple weeks now. I think the slide of many weeks ago looks to be over but we may not be in growth mode.[/s2If]

Capital One Financial Corp.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Capital One Financial Corp. [stckqut]COF[/stckqut] is not showing a strong buy signal…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Capital One Financial Corp. [stckqut]COF[/stckqut] is not showing a strong buy signal at this time.[/s2If]

Carter’s, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Carter’s, Inc. [stckqut]CRI[/stckqut] has essentially been in a sideways channel for …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Carter’s, Inc. [stckqut]CRI[/stckqut] has essentially been in a sideways channel for several weeks. May want to wait for a better signal.[/s2If]

Catamaran Corp (USA)
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Catamaran Corp (USA) [stckqut]CTRX[/stckqut] has seen a slight growth since a major g…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Catamaran Corp (USA) [stckqut]CTRX[/stckqut] has seen a slight growth since a major gap up.[/s2If]

Darling Ingredients Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Darling Ingredients Inc [stckqut]DAR[/stckqut] was basically flat for the entire week…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Darling Ingredients Inc [stckqut]DAR[/stckqut] was basically flat for the entire week.[/s2If]

Deckers Outdoor Corp
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Deckers Outdoor Corp [stckqut]DECK[/stckqut] had a nice week last week but not a huge…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Deckers Outdoor Corp [stckqut]DECK[/stckqut] had a nice week last week but not a huge buy signal.[/s2If]

EOG Resources Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]EOG Resources Inc [stckqut]EOG[/stckqut] essentially was down for the week. Not a str…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]EOG Resources Inc [stckqut]EOG[/stckqut] essentially was down for the week. Not a strong buy signal.[/s2If]

Equinix Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Equinix Inc [stckqut]EQIX[/stckqut] had a strong early week and then went flat. Still…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Equinix Inc [stckqut]EQIX[/stckqut] had a strong early week and then went flat. Still has a fairly strong buy signal.[/s2If]

First Financial Bancorp
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]First Financial Bancorp [stckqut]FFBC[/stckqut] dropped last week and its buy signal …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]First Financial Bancorp [stckqut]FFBC[/stckqut] dropped last week and its buy signal has weakened. We need a bit of a reversal to jump back in.[/s2If]

Fossil Group Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Fossil Group Inc [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut] started the week strong and then dropped bac…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Fossil Group Inc [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut] started the week strong and then dropped back. [/s2If]

Gulfport Energy Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Gulfport Energy Corporation [stckqut]GPOR[/stckqut] dropped for most of last week. Th…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Gulfport Energy Corporation [stckqut]GPOR[/stckqut] dropped for most of last week. This doesn’t look like a buy signal.[/s2If]

Genesee & Wyoming Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Genesee & Wyoming Inc [stckqut]GWR[/stckqut] had a great run for the past several wee…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Genesee & Wyoming Inc [stckqut]GWR[/stckqut] had a great run for the past several weeks. May be good things in the future.[/s2If]

Harley-Davidson Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Harley-Davidson Inc [stckqut]HOG[/stckqut] has had nice growth since it earnings anno…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Harley-Davidson Inc [stckqut]HOG[/stckqut] has had nice growth since it earnings announcement of several weeks ago. Is showing a strong buy signal.[/s2If]

Jarden Corp
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Jarden Corp [stckqut]JAH[/stckqut] has shown nice growth for the past month although …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Jarden Corp [stckqut]JAH[/stckqut] has shown nice growth for the past month although the last week seemed to slow a bit.[/s2If]

KLA-Tencor Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]KLA-Tencor Corporation [stckqut]KLAC[/stckqut] was essentially flat last week. Not sh…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]KLA-Tencor Corporation [stckqut]KLAC[/stckqut] was essentially flat last week. Not showing a very strong buy signal.[/s2If]

Lululemon Athletica inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Lululemon Athletica inc. [stckqut]LULU[/stckqut] has been growing over the last few w…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Lululemon Athletica inc. [stckqut]LULU[/stckqut] has been growing over the last few weeks but not very evenly. If you buy this you should hold on for the ride.[/s2If]

Las Vegas Sands Corp.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Las Vegas Sands Corp. [stckqut]LVS[/stckqut] is playing around with its 52-week low. …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Las Vegas Sands Corp. [stckqut]LVS[/stckqut] is playing around with its 52-week low. This isn’t a strong buy signal.[/s2If]

Monster Beverage Corp
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Monster Beverage Corp [stckqut]MNST[/stckqut] has been growing steadily for 3 months….
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Monster Beverage Corp [stckqut]MNST[/stckqut] has been growing steadily for 3 months. This stock is probably one to hold and don’t react to quickly to indicators.[/s2If]

Merck & Co., Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Merck & Co., Inc. [stckqut]MRK[/stckqut] was essentially flat last week and is not sh…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Merck & Co., Inc. [stckqut]MRK[/stckqut] was essentially flat last week and is not showing a strong buy signal.[/s2If]

Nordson Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Nordson Corporation [stckqut]NDSN[/stckqut] has been growing steadily for the past mo…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Nordson Corporation [stckqut]NDSN[/stckqut] has been growing steadily for the past month. Looks like it slowed a bit a the end of last week but still showing a strong buy.[/s2If]

Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Annaly Capital Management, Inc. [stckqut]NLY[/stckqut] has been flat for several week…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Annaly Capital Management, Inc. [stckqut]NLY[/stckqut] has been flat for several weeks and I don’t see significant growth in the short term.[/s2If]

Priceline Group Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Priceline Group Inc [stckqut]PCLN[/stckqut] has been going sideways for the past coup…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Priceline Group Inc [stckqut]PCLN[/stckqut] has been going sideways for the past couple weeks.[/s2If]

Panera Bread Co
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Panera Bread Co [stckqut]PNRA[/stckqut] has been growing nicely since August. May be …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Panera Bread Co [stckqut]PNRA[/stckqut] has been growing nicely since August. May be a good company to put into your portfolio and not react too swiftly to the indicators.[/s2If]

Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA)
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) [stckqut]POT[/stckqut] has been gradually moving down…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) [stckqut]POT[/stckqut] has been gradually moving down since the summer. I do not consider this to be a true reversal.[/s2If]

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc [stckqut]REGN[/stckqut] is very close to its 52-week hi…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc [stckqut]REGN[/stckqut] is very close to its 52-week high. It stumbled a bit last week but I think it will move up soon.[/s2If]

Royal Gold, Inc USA)
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Royal Gold, Inc USA) [stckqut]RGLD[/stckqut] has shown growth for a couple weeks but …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Royal Gold, Inc USA) [stckqut]RGLD[/stckqut] has shown growth for a couple weeks but I do not think it is showing a strong buy.[/s2If]

Boston Beer Co Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Boston Beer Co Inc [stckqut]SAM[/stckqut] the stock has been growing nicely for sever…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Boston Beer Co Inc [stckqut]SAM[/stckqut] the stock has been growing nicely for several weeks but showed some weakness last week. Probably still a buy.[/s2If]

Constellation Brands, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Constellation Brands, Inc. [stckqut]STZ[/stckqut] has been growing strongly for a yea…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Constellation Brands, Inc. [stckqut]STZ[/stckqut] has been growing strongly for a year with a bit of a pull back due to Ebola scare. Probably need to add this stock to your portfolio.[/s2If]

Skyworks Solutions Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][/s2If]

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. [stckqut]TMO[/stckqut] has been moving sideways for a c…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. [stckqut]TMO[/stckqut] has been moving sideways for a couple weeks. This is not a strong buy signal.[/s2If]

Tractor Supply Company
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Tractor Supply Company [stckqut]TSCO[/stckqut] has been growing slowly since its very…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Tractor Supply Company [stckqut]TSCO[/stckqut] has been growing slowly since its very good earnings that caused a jump. It was flat last week but I think it may still be a good buy.[/s2If]

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. [stckqut]TTWO[/stckqut] has been flat since havin…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. [stckqut]TTWO[/stckqut] has been flat since having a strong earnings announcement. I would expect this stock to increase soon but the current signal is not very strong.[/s2If]

Under Armour Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Under Armour Inc [stckqut]UA[/stckqut] grew nicely last week and is trying to get bac…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Under Armour Inc [stckqut]UA[/stckqut] grew nicely last week and is trying to get back to its 52-week high. I expect a new high to be set soon especially if early results from the holiday season are strong.[/s2If]

Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut] has been growing stea…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut] has been growing steadily for two months. The current buy signal could be an early signal that this stock is good for a bigger run.[/s2If]

Yahoo! Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Yahoo! Inc. [stckqut]YHOO[/stckqut] has been growing aggressively for the past month….
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Yahoo! Inc. [stckqut]YHOO[/stckqut] has been growing aggressively for the past month. There may be more growth left but a lot of the growth is probably over.[/s2If]

Whole Foods Market, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Whole Foods Market, Inc. [stckqut]WFM[/stckqut] dropped slowly all week after a massi…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Whole Foods Market, Inc. [stckqut]WFM[/stckqut] dropped slowly all week after a massive jump the previous week. I expect the price to go sideways from here.[/s2If]

The market was generally good last week and should be good this week as well even though the indicators for the entire market are not extremely optimistic. More concern is on geo-political events that could cause a pullback. Be cautious with any stock that is setting a 52-week (or close to it) as I do not believe the big investors are excited about big new growth.

As always, my thoughts should only be used for educational purposes and any decision by the reader to use this information is subject to my disclaimer. In addition to the disclaimer, the stocks mentioned may have changed value from the time I wrote this to the time that you are reading it; therefore, the conclusions below may no longer be valid. The analysis on any investment indicator is always a short-term thought and just by being in this list the stock already is a long-term Good Company  or Fair Company and made my Watch List. If you are looking for long-term analysis of the stock, you should look for the stock in the company list that appears to the far right.

My analysis in this article is based on the investment indicator tools that I describe in my book, “The Confident Investor.” If you are not subscribed to this site as a book owner, then you will not be able to see some of the analysis. You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as AmazonBarnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in e-book formats for NookKindle, and iPad. After you purchase my book, it is free to subscribe to the extra content on this site. 

I will only be commenting on stocks that are ranked as an “Investigate to buy” and Possible buy” on my daily investment indicator article. The most recent daily investment indicator article is from October 25. Those stocks are:

  • Apple Inc.,
  • Alliance Data Systems Corporation,
  • Allergan Inc.,
  • Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc.,
  • AMETEK Inc.,
  • American Tower Corp,
  • Balchem Corporation,
  • Cerner Corporation,
  • Cummins Inc.,
  • Extra Space Storage Inc.,
  • Fossil Group Inc,
  • Harley-Davidson Inc,
  • Jarden Corp,
  • Las Vegas Sands Corp.,
  • Monster Beverage Corp,
  • Annaly Capital Management Inc.,
  • Panera Bread Co,
  • QUALCOMM Inc.,
  • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc,
  • Boston Beer Co Inc,
  • Constellation Brands Inc.,
  • Tractor Supply Company,
  • Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc.,
  • Yahoo! Inc.,

Investment Indicator Thoughts

S&P 500
The general S&P 500 (ticker is ^GSPC and the first line of my investment indicator articles). This index is not very optimistic. Caution is advised.

NASDAQ Composite
The NASDAQ Composite (the ticker is ^IXIC and the second line of my investment indicator articles). This index is not very optimistic. Caution is advised.

Apple Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Apple Inc. [stckqut]AAPL[/stckqut] had a very good week last week. The stock is curre…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Apple Inc. [stckqut]AAPL[/stckqut] had a very good week last week. The stock is currently showing a strong buy signal.[/s2If]

Alliance Data Systems Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Alliance Data Systems Corporation [stckqut]ADS[/stckqut] had a very good earnings rep…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Alliance Data Systems Corporation [stckqut]ADS[/stckqut] had a very good earnings report and the stock is showing a strong buy.[/s2If]

Allergan, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Allergan, Inc. [stckqut]AGN[/stckqut] is basically flat as it approaches its 52-week …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Allergan, Inc. [stckqut]AGN[/stckqut] is basically flat as it approaches its 52-week high. Probably not a great market to be setting new highs so expect investors to be cautious.[/s2If]

Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. [stckqut]ALXN[/stckqut] had a great run last week befor…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. [stckqut]ALXN[/stckqut] had a great run last week before its earnings report. I expect a slight pullback or maybe just going flat.[/s2If]

AMETEK, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]AMETEK, Inc. [stckqut]AME[/stckqut] had a good run in the last week or so and is now …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]AMETEK, Inc. [stckqut]AME[/stckqut] had a good run in the last week or so and is now showing buy. Hopefully the run is not over.[/s2If]

American Tower Corp
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]American Tower Corp [stckqut]AMT[/stckqut] had a good run in the last week or so and …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]American Tower Corp [stckqut]AMT[/stckqut] had a good run in the last week or so and is now showing buy. Hopefully the run is not over.[/s2If]

Balchem Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Balchem Corporation [stckqut]BCPC[/stckqut] has had a good run for the past couple we…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Balchem Corporation [stckqut]BCPC[/stckqut] has had a good run for the past couple weeks. From here I think resistance at $64 will be significant so the run may be over. Upside may not be as significant as downside.[/s2If]

Cerner Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cerner Corporation [stckqut]CERN[/stckqut] had a great run last week and we are now a…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cerner Corporation [stckqut]CERN[/stckqut] had a great run last week and we are now approaching a 52-week high. I am cautious in this market that the professional investors are going to let big new 52-week highs be set. Therefore, I think you should be cautious and be ready to back out. However, having money here looks good in the short-term.[/s2If]

Cummins Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cummins Inc. [stckqut]CMI[/stckqut] had a good week last week. Look for resistance at…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cummins Inc. [stckqut]CMI[/stckqut] had a good week last week. Look for resistance at $148.[/s2If]

Extra Space Storage, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Extra Space Storage, Inc. [stckqut]EXR[/stckqut] has been going strong all month. I s…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Extra Space Storage, Inc. [stckqut]EXR[/stckqut] has been going strong all month. I see no reason that this stock is going to slow down in the short term. We are at the 52-week high and that bothers me in this market so any pull back will be artificial based on general fears in the market.[/s2If]

Fossil Group Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Fossil Group Inc [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut] has been rising fairly well for the last cou…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Fossil Group Inc [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut] has been rising fairly well for the last couple weeks. However, we are closer to the bottom of this 52-week range than the top. I don’t see smooth running back to the highs of earlier this year. If you think the Christmas season is strong then this might be a good play.[/s2If]

Harley-Davidson Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Harley-Davidson Inc [stckqut]HOG[/stckqut] had a good earnings report but I think all…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Harley-Davidson Inc [stckqut]HOG[/stckqut] had a good earnings report but I think all it did was burn up the big drop of the previous month or so. I don’t think you should get excited by this current buy signal.[/s2If]

Jarden Corp
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Jarden Corp [stckqut]JAH[/stckqut] had a great run last week and we are approaching 5…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Jarden Corp [stckqut]JAH[/stckqut] had a great run last week and we are approaching 52-week high territory. Caution that there will be a pullback.[/s2If]

Las Vegas Sands Corp.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Las Vegas Sands Corp. [stckqut]LVS[/stckqut] is basically moving sideways with small …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Las Vegas Sands Corp. [stckqut]LVS[/stckqut] is basically moving sideways with small buy signals. Probably need something from an earnings announcement to get real movement.[/s2If]

Monster Beverage Corp
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Monster Beverage Corp [stckqut]MNST[/stckqut] has been growing at a slow pace for mon…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Monster Beverage Corp [stckqut]MNST[/stckqut] has been growing at a slow pace for months since the Coke investment. Very little volatility. Probably a good stock to just hold and ignore small sell signals.[/s2If]

Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Annaly Capital Management, Inc. [stckqut]NLY[/stckqut] is running nicely for a couple…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Annaly Capital Management, Inc. [stckqut]NLY[/stckqut] is running nicely for a couple weeks. Look for resistance at $11.80.[/s2If]

Panera Bread Co
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Panera Bread Co [stckqut]PNRA[/stckqut] is having a nice run for the past few weeks. …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Panera Bread Co [stckqut]PNRA[/stckqut] is having a nice run for the past few weeks. I think we have another 10% or so of run before I expect a flattening.[/s2If]

QUALCOMM, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]QUALCOMM, Inc. [stckqut]QCOM[/stckqut] appears to have recovered from the pullback of…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]QUALCOMM, Inc. [stckqut]QCOM[/stckqut] appears to have recovered from the pullback of earlier this month. I expect the stock to go flat from here.[/s2If]

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc [stckqut]REGN[/stckqut] is growing very strong right no…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc [stckqut]REGN[/stckqut] is growing very strong right now. You should be in this stock but be careful of a pull back as the stock is really pushing new 52-week highs.[/s2If]

Boston Beer Co Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Boston Beer Co Inc [stckqut]SAM[/stckqut] looks like it is recovering from the pull b…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Boston Beer Co Inc [stckqut]SAM[/stckqut] looks like it is recovering from the pull back this month but I think the resistance is about $233[/s2If]

Constellation Brands, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Constellation Brands, Inc. [stckqut]STZ[/stckqut] has shown nice growth this week but…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Constellation Brands, Inc. [stckqut]STZ[/stckqut] has shown nice growth this week but we have been flat around the 52-week high for a while. This could be a breakout or it could be a false rally. Be cautious that we are actually setting a new sustainable high.[/s2If]

Tractor Supply Company
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][/s2If]

Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut] has been essentially …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut] has been essentially flat since great earnings last month. This is a weak buy but if the earnings from last time repeat, this stock could run nicely.[/s2If]

Yahoo! Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Yahoo! Inc. [stckqut]YHOO[/stckqut] blew away its earnings early last week and has be…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Yahoo! Inc. [stckqut]YHOO[/stckqut] blew away its earnings early last week and has been running ever since. There still may be some run left. It may not be too late.[/s2If]