If you want your children to be better off in life than you are or then your parents, you need to teach them to invest and save. The younger they are, the longer they have to accumulate great wealth. It is never too early to start to worry about the rest of your life.

Conversely, it is never too late to worry about your future as well. If you haven’t done a good job of preparing for your retirement and your “golden years” then don’t wait! Start now! If you have violated any of these rules, STOP!

I found these rules on Mint.com. It is a very good article and you should jump over and read more.

  1. Track Your Income and Expenses
  2. Avoid or Eliminate Debt
  3. Set Financial Goals
  4. Buy a Home and Pay It Off As Quickly As Possible
  5. Buy Insurance
  6. Invest Intelligently

The author also talks about buying his book and giving his book to all of your children. I won’t argue that you should do this, but you would be much wiser to buy my book, The Confident Investor. You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as Amazon, Barnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in ebook formats for Nook, Kindle, and iPad.

Company name Community Health Systems
Stock ticker CYH
Live stock price [stckqut]CYH[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $61.87
Target stock price (averages with growth) $75.55
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $55.15
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $39.9

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=cyh

Community Health Systems, Inc. is an operator of hospitals in the United States. The Company provides healthcare services through the hospitals that it owns and operates in non-urban and selected urban markets throughout the United States. As of December 31, 2011, the Company owned or leased 131 hospitals, including four stand-alone rehabilitation or psychiatric hospitals. These hospitals are located across 29 states, with an aggregate of 19,695 licensed beds. The Company generates revenues by providing a range of general and specialized hospital healthcare services to patients in the communities in which it is located. Services provided by the Company’s hospitals include general acute care, emergency room, general and specialty surgery, critical care, internal medicine, obstetrics, diagnostic, psychiatric and rehabilitation services. In July 2012, the Company’s subsidiaries acquired all of the assets of Memorial Health Systems in York, Pennsylvania.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. My only concern is that sales growth is starting to slow and if the company doesn’t reverse this trend, it could be in trouble. When sales drops, it is much harder to keep the other metrics growing.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

Company name E TRADE Financial Corporation
Stock ticker ETFC
Live stock price [stckqut]ETFC[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=etfc

E*TRADE Financial Corporation (E*TRADE) is a financial services company, which provides online brokerage and related products and services primarily to individual retail investors under the brand E*TRADE Financial. The Company also provides investor-focused banking products, primarily sweep deposits and savings products, to retail investors. E*TRADE operates in two segments: trading and investing and balance sheet management. Trading and investing includes retail brokerage products and services; investor-focused banking products; market making, and corporate services. Balance sheet management includes the management of asset allocation and credit, liquidity and interest rate risk; loans previously originated or purchased from third parties, and customer cash and deposits. The Company’s subsidiaries include E*TRADE Bank, E*TRADE Securities LLC, E*TRADE Clearing LLC and E*TRADE Capital Markets, LLC.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

I probably could have titled this article, “Why I am concerned with companies that give dividends” since I feel these subjects are intertwined. When a company gives a dividend but doesn’t have a large sum of money going into corporate R&D, I am very concerned about the long-term health of that company. A company dividend is basically saying that the managers of the company cannot think of anything better to do with the money than to give it back to the shareholders. While I have nothing against getting a check from my portfolio companies, I don’t want that check to starve future product development that could make the company even more profit in the future.

It isn’t difficult to measure R&D but it is sometimes difficult to measure its effectiveness. To measure R&D, you should use one or both of the following techniques.

  • PRR (Price to Research) – This is the market value of the company divided by its research-and-development expenditure over the last twelve months. Look for companies with PRRs between five and 10 and avoid companies with PRRs greater than 15. By looking for low PRRs, investors should be able to spot companies that are redirecting current profits into R&D, thereby better ensuring long-term future returns.
  • Price/Growth Flow Model – Price/growth flow attempts to identify companies that are producing solid current earnings while simultaneously investing a lot of money into R&D. To calculate the growth flow, simply take the R&D of the last 12 months and divide it by the shares outstanding to get R&D per share. Add this to the company’s EPS and divide by the share price.

It is far more difficult to look at the effectiveness of R&D. One way, is to calculate the percentage of sales that come from products introduced over the preceding three years. For the calculation, investors need annual sales information for specific new products and this can sometimes be difficult to find. Sometimes, the investor simply has to read the annual report and take note of the CEO or Chairman comments on new product introductions – a lack of conversation often means a lack of products.

Finally, be careful to not overly reward high R&D industries. For example, the pharmaceutical industry spends a huge amount in R&D due to the nature of its market. Just like P/E analysis that I explain in my book, The Confident Investor, R&D spending needs to be compared among its peer group.

If you are amazed at the high dividend given by a company, take a look at their PRR or Price/Growth Flow.  How does that compare to its peer group?  If it is not keeping up then that dividend could actually be starving the long-term potential of the company.

Company name O’Reilly Automotive Inc
Stock ticker ORLY
Live stock price [stckqut]ORLY[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $128.53
Target stock price (averages with growth) $167.01
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $122.15
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $124.25

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=orly

O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (O’Reilly) is a specialty retailer of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment and accessories in the United States, selling its products to both do-it-yourself (DIY) customers and professional service providers. As of December 31, 2011, O’Reilly operated 3,740 stores in 39 states. The Company’s stores product line includes products, such as new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, such as alternators, starters, fuel pumps, water pumps, brake system components, batteries, belts, hoses, temperature control, chassis parts and engine parts; maintenance items, such as oil, antifreeze, fluids, filters, wiper blades, lighting, engine additives and appearance products, and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers and truck accessories. Its stores offer a number of services and programs to its customers, such as used oil and battery recycling; battery diagnostic testing; professional paint shop mixing and related materials, and machine shops.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.