By:
On:
In: Good company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Under Armour Inc
Stock ticker UA
Live stock price [stckqut]UA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $146.88
Target stock price (averages with growth) $162.27
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $73.59
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $146.41

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ua
Under Armour, Inc. is engaged in the development, marketing and distribution of branded performance apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. The Company’s moisture-wicking fabrications are engineered in a range of designs and styles for wear in nearly every climate to provide an alternative to traditional products. The Company’s operating segments include North America, consisting of the United States and Canada; Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA); Asia-Pacific; Latin America, and MapMyFitness. The Company also offers digital fitness platform licenses and subscriptions, along with digital advertising through its MapMyFitness business. Its apparel offers three gearlines, including HEATGEAR, COLDGEAR and ALLSEASONGEAR. Its footwear offerings include football, baseball, lacrosse, softball and soccer cleats, slides and performance training, running, basketball and outdoor footwear. Its accessories primarily include the sale of headwear, bags and gloves.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Under Armour Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Under Armour Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $95.02
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
  • P/E: 103
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.28
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $235.79
  • Target stock price: $146.4

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
Stock ticker TTWO
Live stock price [stckqut]TTWO[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ttwo
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a developer, publisher and marketer of interactive entertainment for consumers around the globe. The Company develops and publishes products through its two wholly owned labels Rockstar Games and 2K. Its products are designed for console gaming systems such as Sony’s PlayStation 3 (PS3) and PlayStation 4 (PS4), Microsoft’s Xbox 360 (Xbox 360) and Xbox One (Xbox One) and Nintendo’s Wii (Wii) and Wii U (Wii U); handheld gaming systems such as Nintendo’s DS (DS) and Sony’s PlayStation Portable (PSP); and personal computers, including smartphones and tablets. It delivers its products through physical retail, digital download, online platforms and cloud streaming services. The Company has a portfolio of software content for the hardware platforms in a range of genres, including action, adventure, family/casual, racing, role-playing, shooter, sports and strategy, which it distributes around the world.
 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable. I am removing the company from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Commentary

There’s something about being in your 30s that feels more adult.You may be making more money now and — after some trial and error — are better at managing your finances.

Here are 6 milestones to hit before you turn 40:

  1. Kick your emergency savings into high gear

  2. Up your retirement savings to 15% of your pay

  3. Start an investment portfolio

  4. Be mostly debt free

  5. Write a will

  6. Get your insurance in line

 

These ideas came from this article. Click thru and enjoy: Six money milestones to hit while you’re in your 30s – LA Times

By:
On:
In: Weekly Portfolio Gain
With: 0 Comments

One of the biggest challenges in investing in the stock market is picking the best stocks. In my book, “The Confident Investor” I teach my readers how to pick Good Companies. This page is designed to show the raw performance of these companies. It is not designed to show my personal portfolio, which may or may not exceed the performance stated here.

I have created three tables below. The first table is the general market – NASDAQ and S&P500. Every investor should try to beat the average of these to indexes. In this report, my larger Watch List beats this metric easily.

I must caution you, I do not actually propose that you “buy and hold” any given stock, but rather you should “buy to hold” the stock. My investing technique teaches you to efficiently move your money to the stocks that are currently increasing in value the most. I use my Watch List for this work, these are Good Companies that I wait for great buying opportunities. This strategy is well described in my book, “The Confident Investor” and tends to be a very safe strategy in bear markets while typically still providing above market returns in a bull or flat market.

My Short Term Watch List are 15 companies that are hot right now. I select this list every quarter. I evenly divide a portion of my portfolio among these 15 companies. The next quarter, I add or delete companies as necessary and then re-balance the portfolio. This tends to be a more risky strategy because I don’t bail out on bad stock movement (at least until the end of the quarter). In a bull market or a flat market, these very well-run and high-performing companies tend to beat the general market by a significant margin.

BL-TCI-cover
You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as Amazon, Barnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in paperback as well as e-book formats for Nook, Kindle, and iPad.

Stock Indexes Performance

1 week ago 1 month ago 1 quarter ago 1 year ago
Index Close Profit % Close Profit % Close Profit % Close Profit
^GSPC $1,988.87 -3.40% $2,083.56 -7.79% $2,092.83 -8.20% $2,007.71 -4.31%
^IXIC $4,828.32 -2.99% $5,056.44 -7.37% $5,068.46 -7.59% $4,582.90 2.20%

Week average for Indexes: -3.20%
Month average for Indexes: -7.58%
Quarter average for Indexes: -7.89%
Year average for Indexes: -1.05%

Watch List Performance

1 week ago 1 month ago 1 quarter ago 1 year ago
Stock Close Profit % Close Profit % Close Profit % Close Profit
AAPL $113.29 -3.55% $115.13 -5.09% $128.07 -14.68% $97.31 12.29%
ABMD $98.23 -4.49% $94.32 -0.53% $63.82 47.01% $24.97 275.73%
ADS $262.25 -4.48% $269.47 -7.04% $295.42 -15.21% $261.97 -4.38%
AKAM $71.90 0.95% $74.42 -2.47% $75.24 -3.54% $61.54 17.94%
ALXN $178.86 -3.85% $189.73 -9.36% $160.26 7.31% $165.30 4.04%
AZPN $37.90 0.69% $42.85 -10.95% $43.64 -12.56% $41.69 -8.47%
BCPC $58.23 -1.48% $61.56 -6.81% $58.49 -1.91% $53.83 6.57%
BLK $309.05 -4.79% $330.74 -11.04% $352.83 -16.61% $324.73 -9.39%
BWLD $194.06 1.31% $192.19 2.30% $153.38 28.18% $147.05 33.70%
CBI $43.75 -1.51% $51.78 -16.78% $55.80 -22.77% $62.99 -31.59%
CERN $63.13 -5.23% $65.30 -8.38% $66.24 -9.68% $59.47 0.61%
CFX $38.89 -6.53% $40.00 -9.13% $50.40 -27.88% $64.37 -43.53%
CMI $122.27 -3.49% $126.21 -6.51% $135.15 -12.69% $139.21 -15.23%
COF $77.32 -3.22% $81.14 -7.78% $84.52 -11.47% $81.26 -7.91%
CRUS $30.21 -2.78% $29.53 -0.54% $35.67 -17.66% $23.52 24.87%
DDD $13.48 -5.64% $13.60 -6.47% $21.98 -42.13% $51.31 -75.21%
DECK $64.15 -2.23% $70.74 -11.34% $74.40 -15.70% $95.24 -34.15%
EOG $77.31 -0.54% $77.68 -1.02% $89.50 -14.09% $104.37 -26.33%
EXR $74.13 -3.66% $75.34 -5.20% $66.00 8.21% $52.55 35.91%
FOSL $61.60 -3.02% $64.30 -7.09% $72.06 -17.10% $103.46 -42.26%
GOOG $630.38 -4.71% $642.68 -6.53% $533.33 12.63% $586.08 2.49%
GPOR $35.04 -7.05% $34.05 -4.35% $44.59 -26.96% $57.13 -42.99%
GWR $69.77 -8.69% $73.07 -12.81% $84.84 -24.91% $99.35 -35.87%
HOG $56.64 -3.28% $58.45 -6.28% $54.30 0.88% $64.11 -14.55%
HP $57.65 -9.37% $60.97 -14.31% $72.83 -28.26% $99.95 -47.72%
JAH $52.34 -2.75% $54.98 -7.42% $53.20 -4.32% $40.45 25.84%
JPM $64.13 -4.10% $68.25 -9.89% $66.98 -8.18% $58.36 5.39%
LULU $63.17 3.97% $62.27 5.48% $63.80 2.95% $39.14 67.81%
LVS $47.36 0.44% $56.03 -15.10% $54.33 -12.44% $60.28 -21.08%
MCK $200.80 -3.97% $218.08 -11.58% $235.12 -17.99% $197.43 -2.33%
MEI $26.75 20.07% $26.78 19.94% $47.91 -32.96% $40.35 -20.39%
MET $50.32 -4.89% $55.51 -13.78% $54.08 -11.51% $53.75 -10.96%
MNST $140.43 -4.41% $144.87 -7.34% $125.55 6.92% $89.22 50.46%
MRK $55.37 -6.83% $58.43 -11.71% $58.54 -11.88% $59.35 -13.07%
NFLX $117.63 -16.02% $126.45 -21.87% $90.46 9.21% $67.95 45.38%
PCLN $1,259.39 -1.12% $1,351.80 -7.88% $1,178.16 5.69% $1,195.02 4.20%
REGN $536.70 -6.84% $582.47 -14.16% $539.40 -7.31% $350.66 42.59%
RGLD $48.94 -6.31% $49.16 -6.73% $63.97 -28.33% $72.47 -36.74%
SAM $208.42 -0.07% $232.85 -10.56% $260.38 -20.01% $217.05 -4.05%
STZ $127.94 -0.33% $123.87 2.95% $118.57 7.55% $86.43 47.54%
SWKS $88.62 -5.92% $85.98 -3.04% $105.44 -20.93% $55.84 49.31%
THRM $46.44 -4.16% $49.31 -9.73% $51.96 -14.34% $50.06 -11.09%
TMO $126.52 -4.23% $136.92 -11.50% $129.42 -6.38% $124.04 -2.32%
TRN $26.75 -1.35% $27.69 -4.69% $30.56 -13.64% $47.83 -44.83%
TTWO $29.78 -4.47% $31.54 -9.80% $28.19 0.92% $23.39 21.63%
UA $96.41 -1.46% $98.19 -3.25% $81.84 16.08% $72.53 30.98%
ULTA $159.00 -0.82% $164.80 -4.31% $156.28 0.91% $99.45 58.57%
YHOO $33.14 -4.71% $36.46 -13.38% $42.81 -26.23% $39.59 -20.23%
WFM $32.85 -2.53% $34.84 -8.09% $40.05 -20.05% $39.07 -18.04%
ZBRA $83.42 -5.13% $104.19 -24.04% $114.29 -30.76% $75.54 4.77%

Week average for Watch List stocks: -3.17% and profit percentage increase over same period for average indexes is: -0.79%
Month average for Watch List stocks: -7.54% and profit percentage increase over same period for average indexes is: -0.52%
Quarter average for Watch List stocks: -9.37% and profit percentage increase over same period for average indexes is: 18.72%
Year average for Watch List stocks: 4.48% and profit percentage increase over same period for average indexes is: -525.77%

Short Term Watch List

1 week ago 1 month ago 1 quarter ago 1 year ago
Stock Close Profit % Close Profit % Close Profit % Close Profit
AAPL $113.29 -3.55% $115.13 -5.09% $128.07 -14.68% $97.31 12.29%
ABMD $98.23 -4.49% $94.32 -0.53% $63.82 47.01% $24.97 275.73%
EXR $74.13 -3.66% $75.34 -5.20% $66.00 8.21% $52.55 35.91%
JAH $52.34 -2.75% $54.98 -7.42% $53.20 -4.32% $40.45 25.84%
MCK $200.80 -3.97% $218.08 -11.58% $235.12 -17.99% $197.43 -2.33%
MNST $140.43 -4.41% $144.87 -7.34% $125.55 6.92% $89.22 50.46%
NFLX $117.63 -16.02% $126.45 -21.87% $90.46 9.21% $67.95 45.38%
REGN $536.70 -6.84% $582.47 -14.16% $539.40 -7.31% $350.66 42.59%
STZ $127.94 -0.33% $123.87 2.95% $118.57 7.55% $86.43 47.54%
SWKS $88.62 -5.92% $85.98 -3.04% $105.44 -20.93% $55.84 49.31%
THRM $46.44 -4.16% $49.31 -9.73% $51.96 -14.34% $50.06 -11.09%
TSCO $85.39 -2.58% $90.97 -8.56% $87.79 -5.24% $65.26 27.47%
TTWO $29.78 -4.47% $31.54 -9.80% $28.19 0.92% $23.39 21.63%
UA $96.41 -1.46% $98.19 -3.25% $81.84 16.08% $72.53 30.98%
ZBRA $83.42 -5.13% $104.19 -24.04% $114.29 -30.76% $75.54 4.77%

Week average for Short Term Watch List stocks: -4.65% and profit percentage increase over same period for average indexes is: 45.44%
Month average for Short Term Watch List stocks: -8.58% and profit percentage increase over same period for average indexes is: 13.17%
Quarter average for Short Term Watch List stocks: -1.31% and profit percentage increase over same period for average indexes is: -83.39%
Year average for Short Term Watch List stocks: 43.76% and profit percentage increase over same period for average indexes is: -4260.93%

Total Execution Time: 60.28634095192 Sec

This information was calculated on Sep 06, 2015 and is based on the closing value of the most recent trading day which may not be today.
This information is based on the Yahoo Historical Pricing and is only as good or as current as that data.