Company name Alibaba Group Holding Ltd – ADR
Stock ticker BABA
Live stock price [stckqut]BABA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good


MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good
Price growth Fair
R&D growth Poor
Income growth Good
Assets growth Poor
Return on Assets growth Good
Income / Rev growth Fair
TWCA Plus Good
Standard TWCA Good
Weighted ann. stock price increase Good

 

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $337.06
Target stock price (averages with growth) $107.55
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $122.87
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $160.43

The following company description is from Reuters: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/baba/profile?p=baba

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides online and mobile commerce businesses in the People’s Republic of China and internationally. It operates in four segments: Core Commerce, Cloud Computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The company operates Taobao Marketplace, a mobile commerce destination; Tmall, a third-party platform; Alibaba Health pharmaceutical e-commerce and consumer healthcare platforms; Alimama, a monetization platform; 1688.com, an online wholesale marketplace; Alibaba.com, an online wholesale marketplace; AliExpress, a retail marketplace; Lazada, an e-commerce platform; and Tmall Global, an import e-commerce platform. It also operates Lingshoutong, a digital sourcing platform; Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, a delivery and local services platform; Koubei, a restaurant and local services guide platform; and Fliggy, an online travel platform. In addition, the company offers pay-for-performance and display marketing services; and Taobao Ad Network and Exchange, a real-time bidding online marketing exchange. Further, it provides elastic computing, database, storage, virtualization network, large scale computing, security, and management and application, big data analytics, machine learning platform, and Internet of Things and other services for enterprises; and payment and escrow services; and movies, television series, variety shows, animations, and other video content. Additionally, the company operates Youku, an online video platform; UC Browser, a mobile browser; Alibaba Pictures and other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, news feeds, literature, music, and others; Amap, a mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information app; DingTalk, a business efficiency app; and Tmall Genie, an AI-powered smart speaker. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the People’s Republic of China.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd – ADR as long as the price is correct and the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. Because of these concerns and the fact that I am already investing in other companies in this space, I will be removing Alibaba from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd – ADR calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $218.04
  • Growth: 0.142866666666667
  • Current EPS (TTM): $5.39355733333333
  • P/E: 24.5694199255779
  • Future EPS Calc: $10.51
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $258.37
  • Target stock price: $160.42

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
AAPL Apple Inc. $316.8500 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $196.3200 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $382.1700 Strong Buy or Hold
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $235.9600 Strong Buy or Hold
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $55.0200 Strong Buy or Hold
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $2446.7400 Strong Buy or Hold
ANET Arista Networks Inc $223.0800 Strong Buy or Hold
ATHM Autohome Inc $80.7800 Strong Buy or Hold
AVGO Broadcom Inc $274.8000 Strong Buy or Hold
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $212.1600 Strong Buy or Hold
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc $1595.6800 Strong Buy or Hold
CBPO China Biologic Products Holdings Inc $108.0000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
COHR Coherent, Inc. $144.3600 Strong Buy or Hold
CVGW Calavo Growers, Inc. $59.7500 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $375.2400 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
ETFC E*TRADE Financial Corp $41.3800 Strong Buy or Hold
EPAM EPAM Systems Inc $223.8600 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
EVR Evercore Inc $52.2400 Strong Buy or Hold
FB Facebook, Inc. Common Stock $231.3900 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
FIVE Five Below Inc $97.3000 Strong Buy or Hold
FTNT Fortinet Inc $143.3800 Strong Buy or Hold
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A $1406.7500 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $13.5300 Strong Buy or Hold
HZO MarineMax Inc $18.5000 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $349.4200 Strong Buy or Hold
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC $110.8500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc $38.5600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LGIH LGI Homes Inc $79.6700 Strong Buy or Hold
LRCX Lam Research Corporation $260.7000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $267.5300 Strong Buy or Hold
MA Mastercard Inc $294.2600 Strong Buy or Hold
MEOH Methanex Corporation $17.2900 Strong Buy or Hold
MKSI MKS Instruments, Inc. $99.7900 Strong Buy or Hold
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $472.9300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MTZ MasTec, Inc. $36.9800 Strong Buy or Hold
MTCH Match Group Inc $84.0000 Strong Buy or Hold
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $436.2500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NSP Insperity Inc $48.4600 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $351.0100 Strong Buy or Hold
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc $78.1800 Strong Buy or Hold
PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. $52.4900 Strong Buy or Hold
PYPL Paypal Holdings Inc $148.2200 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $78.0500 Strong Buy or Hold
SINA SINA Corp $32.7200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SIVB SVB Financial Group $190.8500 Strong Buy or Hold
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Class A $171.0000 Strong Buy or Hold
SUI Sun Communities Inc $133.2800 Strong Buy or Hold
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $114.1300 Strong Buy or Hold
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) $5.6600 Strong Buy or Hold
THRM Gentherm Inc $39.6300 Strong Buy or Hold
TMUS T-Mobile Us Inc $94.3900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TNET TriNet Group Inc $49.0700 Strong Buy or Hold
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $222.7600 Strong Buy or Hold
UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc $286.9100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
V Visa Inc $190.6200 Strong Buy or Hold

Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
AAPL Apple Inc. $302.7400 Some Concerns, may need to wait
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $154.2300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $363.8500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $234.7000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $60.5200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $1975.8300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ANET Arista Networks Inc $201.6300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ATHM Autohome Inc $80.9100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AVGO Broadcom Inc $285.4500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $211.9600 Some Concerns, may need to wait
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc $1732.1300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CBPO China Biologic Products Holdings Inc $115.6100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
COHR Coherent, Inc. $134.2700 Some Concerns, may need to wait
CVGW Calavo Growers, Inc. $59.9800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $341.8900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ETFC E*TRADE Financial Corp $45.9900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
EPAM EPAM Systems Inc $235.9500 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
EVR Evercore Inc $66.9300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
FB Facebook, Inc. Common Stock $191.7600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
FIVE Five Below Inc $98.1800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
FTNT Fortinet Inc $107.0500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A $1381.6000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $17.1800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HZO MarineMax Inc $16.3600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $282.1300 Some Concerns, may need to wait
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC $125.1200 Some Concerns, may need to wait
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc $33.1300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LGIH LGI Homes Inc $88.4200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LRCX Lam Research Corporation $306.2400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $231.6200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MA Mastercard Inc $302.3600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MEOH Methanex Corporation $29.2700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MKSI MKS Instruments, Inc. $102.5300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $373.5600 Strong Buy or Hold
MTZ MasTec, Inc. $50.9300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MTCH Match Group Inc $68.0600 Some Concerns, may need to wait
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $383.7900 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
NSP Insperity Inc $67.4400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $284.5100 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc $109.6900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. $53.9500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
PYPL Paypal Holdings Inc $115.3000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $79.6700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SINA SINA Corp $33.3700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SIVB SVB Financial Group $202.3800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Class A $185.9600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SUI Sun Communities Inc $170.2000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $103.3600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) $6.0900 Some Concerns, may need to wait
THRM Gentherm Inc $42.5200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TMUS T-Mobile Us Inc $93.8100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TNET TriNet Group Inc $56.1900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $268.8400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc $289.4200 Some Concerns, may need to wait
V Visa Inc $194.2900 Very Concerned, may need to wait

Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
AAPL Apple Inc. $319.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $169.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $378.8500 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $269.9300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $65.1600 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $2155.6700 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
ANET Arista Networks Inc $225.7900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ATHM Autohome Inc $78.8400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AVGO Broadcom Inc $310.7500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $220.5200 Strong Buy or Hold
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc $1976.2800 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
CBPO China Biologic Products Holdings Inc $116.3800 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
COHR Coherent, Inc. $144.8500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CVGW Calavo Growers, Inc. $76.0300 Some Concerns, may need to wait
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $295.7800 Strong Buy or Hold
ETFC E*TRADE Financial Corp $43.7900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
EPAM EPAM Systems Inc $237.0000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
EVR Evercore Inc $80.4000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
FB Facebook, Inc. Common Stock $217.8000 Strong Buy or Hold
FIVE Five Below Inc $116.1300 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
FTNT Fortinet Inc $119.4500 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A $1519.4400 Strong Buy or Hold
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $22.2300 Strong Buy or Hold
HZO MarineMax Inc $21.1000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $299.9200 Some Concerns, may need to wait
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC $136.8300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc $39.3700 Strong Buy or Hold
LGIH LGI Homes Inc $92.3300 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
LRCX Lam Research Corporation $325.3400 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $259.2300 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
MA Mastercard Inc $341.2400 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
MEOH Methanex Corporation $33.1000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MKSI MKS Instruments, Inc. $113.8700 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $347.1800 Some Concerns, may need to wait
MTZ MasTec, Inc. $60.5600 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
MTCH Match Group Inc $76.7000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $387.7800 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
NSP Insperity Inc $72.4000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $296.5700 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc $128.0000 Strong Buy or Hold
PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. $61.5200 Strong Buy or Hold
PYPL Paypal Holdings Inc $122.2700 Strong Buy or Hold
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $89.2300 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
SINA SINA Corp $37.4000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SIVB SVB Financial Group $261.1100 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Class A $203.8200 Strong Buy or Hold
SUI Sun Communities Inc $168.8900 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $116.7700 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) $6.2200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
THRM Gentherm Inc $46.1600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TMUS T-Mobile Us Inc $99.8800 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
TNET TriNet Group Inc $58.5400 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $298.7100 Strong Buy or Hold
UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc $302.1400 Strong Buy or Hold
V Visa Inc $211.2000 Strong Buy or Hold

Symbol Stock Price change today
UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc 4.364%
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. 3.4599%
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 3.2687%
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc 3.2559%
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc 3.062%
PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. 2.9998%
LRCX Lam Research Corporation 2.7482%
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc 2.6743%
SINA SINA Corp 2.6036%
AAPL Apple Inc. 2.3748%
COHR Coherent, Inc. 2.3363%
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) 1.92%
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. 1.9148%
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc 1.879%
MTZ MasTec, Inc. 1.7479%
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation 1.7358%
FB Facebook, Inc. Common Stock 1.7231%
V Visa Inc 1.7162%
NFLX Netflix, Inc. 1.6912%
FIVE Five Below Inc 1.5745%
ATHM Autohome Inc 1.572%
THRM Gentherm Inc 1.534%
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. 1.4275%
AVGO Broadcom Inc 1.418%
GTN Gray Television, Inc. 1.3686%
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated 1.3567%
HZO MarineMax Inc 1.3158%
ANET Arista Networks Inc 1.2786%
TMUS T-Mobile Us Inc 1.2488%
MTCH Match Group Inc 1.2336%
SBUX Starbucks Corporation 1.2113%
MEOH Methanex Corporation 1.0426%
SUI Sun Communities Inc 0.996%
MKSI MKS Instruments, Inc. 0.988%
MA Mastercard Inc 0.9791%
EVR Evercore Inc 0.9449%
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. 0.9381%
ETFC E*TRADE Financial Corp 0.888%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A 0.5675%
SIVB SVB Financial Group 0.5538%
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. 0.4277%
EPAM EPAM Systems Inc 0.3802%
LGIH LGI Homes Inc 0.3184%
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc 0.2565%
FTNT Fortinet Inc 0.0682%
PYPL Paypal Holdings Inc -0.2356%
CVGW Calavo Growers, Inc. -0.2409%
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Class A -0.6102%
CBPO China Biologic Products Holdings Inc -0.6746%
ILMN Illumina, Inc. -0.9189%
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC -0.9281%
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. -1.9808%
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. -5.0506%
TNET TriNet Group Inc -5.8639%
NSP Insperity Inc -19.5779%