Company name Barrick Gold Corporation (USA)
Stock ticker ABX
Live stock price [stckqut]ABX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $0.58
Target stock price (averages with growth) $5.55
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $15.4
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $41.8

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=abx
Barrick Gold Corporation (Barrick) is engaged the production and sale of gold, as well as related activities, such as exploration and mine development. Barrick also produces copper, and hold interests in oil and gas properties located in Canada. Its producing mines are concentrated in four regional business units: North America, South America, Africa and Australia Pacific. In addition, it has a Capital Projects segment, distinct from its regional business units, to focus on managing projects. On September 17, 2009, the Company completed the acquisition of 50% interest in the Valhalla oil and gas field. On April 22, 2009, it completed the acquisition of the remaining 50% interest in the Williams and David Bell gold mines (Hemlo) in Canada from Teck Resources Ltd., thereby increasing its interest to 100%.


Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. Jim Cramer interviewed the CEO of this company yesterday and Mr. Cramer seems rather bullish. While this company isn’t a terrible play in gold, this analysis shows that they aren’t incredibly well run and you may want to just stick with the gold ETF [stckqut]GLD[/stckqut] for your precious metal play. I cannot echo Mr. Cramer’s enthusiasm for this company.

Company name WellCare Health Plans, Inc.
Stock ticker WCG
Live stock price [stckqut]WCG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $390.62
Target stock price (averages with growth) $522.8
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $355.12
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $355.47

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/wcg

WellCare Health Plans, Inc., incorporated on February 5, 2004, is a managed care company. The Company focuses on government-sponsored managed care services, primarily through Medicaid, Medicare Advantage (MA) and Medicare Prescription Drug Plans (PDPs), to families, children, seniors and individuals with medical needs. The Company operates in three segments: Medicaid Health Plans, Medicare Health Plans, and Medicare PDPs. As of December 31, 2016, it served approximately 3.9 million members in 50 states and the District of Columbia. As of December 31, 2016, it operated Medicaid health plans in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kentucky, Missouri, New Jersey, New York and South Carolina. As of December 31, 2016, it offered MA coordinated care plans (CCPs) in certain counties in Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas. As of December 31, 2016, it also offered standalone Medicare PDPs in 50 states and the District of Columbia.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in WellCare Health Plans, Inc. as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. I am adding WellCare to my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of WellCare Health Plans, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $252.73
  • Growth: 0.18
  • Current EPS (TTM): $7.82
  • P/E: 32
  • Future EPS Calc: $17.89
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $572.48
  • Target stock price: $355.47

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Nexstar Media Group Inc
Stock ticker NXST
Live stock price [stckqut]NXST[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $114.82
Target stock price (averages with growth) $169.04
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $114.82
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $113.75

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/nxst

Nexstar Media Group, Inc., formerly Nexstar Broadcasting Group, Inc., incorporated on May 17, 2001, is a television broadcasting and digital media company. The Company is focused on the acquisition, development, and operation of television stations and interactive community Websites, and digital media services in medium-sized markets in the United States. The Company’s segments include Broadcasting and Other. The Company’s broadcast segment includes television stations and related community-focused Websites that it owns, operates, programs or provides sales and other services to various markets across the United States. The other activities of the Company include corporate functions, eliminations, and other operations. As of December 31, 2016, it owned, operated, programmed or provided sales and other services to 104 full-power television stations in 62 markets in the states of Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New York, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia and Wisconsin.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Nexstar Media Group Inc as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. I will be adding Nexstar to my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Nexstar Media Group Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $74.25
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.09
  • P/E: 18
  • Future EPS Calc: $10.17
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $183.19
  • Target stock price: $113.74

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
Stock ticker KNX
Live stock price [stckqut]KNX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $59.19
Target stock price (averages with growth) $87.14
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $59.19
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $56.24

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/knx

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. is a publicly traded, American, truckload motor shipping carrier based in Phoenix, Arizona. Knight began transporting general commodities from Phoenix, Arizona, to Los Angeles, California. Starting with just a handful of trucks and one service center in Phoenix, Arizona, the company now runs a fleet of over 4,000 tractors and more than 8,700 trailers (dry, refrigerated, and brokerage). Revenues have grown from over 13 million in 1991 to over $866 million in 2011, with operating ratios at or near 80% year after year. They have grown from a few associates to more than 4,000, and from a family-owned business to a publicly held company trading on the New York Stock Exchange (KNX) in 1994.

Knight engages in the transportation of general commodities in the United States. It provides asset-based dry van truckload and temperature controlled truckload carrier services primarily to short to medium lengths of haul. The company also offers non-asset-based brokerage services. As of September 24, 2007, the company operates 27 regional dry van service centers, 6 regional temperature controlled service centers, 12 brokerage service centers, and 13 truck and trailer sales locations.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. I am adding Knight Swift to my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $38.29
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.55
  • P/E: 8
  • Future EPS Calc: $11.32
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $90.57
  • Target stock price: $56.23

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC
Stock ticker JAZZ
Live stock price [stckqut]JAZZ[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $267.2
Target stock price (averages with growth) $365.5
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $248.27
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $259.41

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/jazz

Jazz Pharmaceuticals Public Limited Company, incorporated on March 15, 2005, is a biopharmaceutical company. The Company is focused on developing and commercializing products that address unmet medical needs. The Company has a diverse portfolio of products and product candidates with a focus in the areas of sleep and hematology/oncology. The Company’s lead marketed products include Xyrem (sodium oxybate oral solution) for the treatment of both cataplexy and excessive daytime sleepiness in patients with narcolepsy; Erwinaze for the treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), and Defitelio (defibrotide) for the treatment of severe hepatic veno-occlusive disease (VOD).

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. I will be adding Jazz to my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $172.94
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $7.3
  • P/E: 23
  • Future EPS Calc: $18.16
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $417.78
  • Target stock price: $259.41

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.