By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Craft Brew Alliance Inc
Stock ticker BREW
Live stock price [stckqut]BREW[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $17.91
Target stock price (averages with growth) $21.01
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $11
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $16.46

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=brew

Craft Brewers Alliance, Inc. produces craft-brewed beers. The Company’s products include distinct brand names Redhook E.S.B., Ballard Bitter I.P.A., Blackhook, Wheathook, Winterhook seasonal ale and the newest brand Redhook Rye. The Company packages its craft beers in both bottles and kegs. The production of its specialty bottled and draft products are located in the Fremont neighborhood of Seattle, Washington, Woodinville, a suburb of Seattle and Portsmouth, New Hampshire.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Craft Brew Alliance Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Craft Brew Alliance Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $11.31
  • Growth: 0.18
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
  • P/E: 61
  • Future EPS Calc: $0.43
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $26.51
  • Target stock price: $16.46

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name AeroCentury Corp.
Stock ticker ACY
Live stock price [stckqut]ACY[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=acy

AeroCentury Corp. acquires used regional aircraft and engines for lease to foreign and domestic regional carriers. The Company’s portfolio of leased aircraft assets is managed and administered under the terms of a management agreement with JetFleet Management Corp. (JMC), which is an integrated aircraft management, marketing and financing business and a subsidiary of JetFleet Holding Corp (JHC). As of March 31, 2013, the Company’s aircraft and aircraft engines, which were on lease or held for lease included Bombardier Dash-8-300, Fokker 100, Bombardier Dash-8-Q400, Fokker 50, General Electric CF34-8E5 engine, Saab 340B, Saab 340B Plus, deHavilland DHC-8-100, deHavilland DHC-6, Tay 650-15 engine, General Electric CT7-9B engine and Saab 340A.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in AeroCentury Corp. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name McCormick & Company, Incorporated
Stock ticker MKC
Live stock price [stckqut]MKC[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $53.31
Target stock price (averages with growth) $61.24
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $56.18
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $55.04

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=mkc

McCormick & Company, Incorporated manufactures, markets and distributes spices, seasoning mixes, condiments and other flavorful products to the entire food industry, retail outlets, food manufacturers and foodservice businesses. The Company operates in two business segments: consumer and industrial. The Company’s sales, distribution and production facilities are located in North America and Europe. Additional facilities are based in China, Australia, Mexico, India, Singapore, Central America, Thailand and South Africa. The Company operates in two business segments: consumer and industrial. Its products are sold directly to customers and also through brokers, wholesalers and distributors. In May 2013, the Company has completed its purchase of China’s Wuhan Asia-Pacific Condiments Co.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in McCormick & Company, Incorporated.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of McCormick & Company, Incorporated calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $70.15
  • Growth: 0.05
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.02
  • P/E: 23
  • Future EPS Calc: $3.85
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $88.65
  • Target stock price: $55.04

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name The Pep Boys – Manny, Moe & Jack
Stock ticker PBY
Live stock price [stckqut]PBY[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pby

The Pep Boys-Manny, Moe & Jack provides shop and care for car. The Company’s stores are organized in a hub and spoke network consisting of Supercenters and Service & Tire Centers. Supercenters average approximately 20,000 square feet and combine do-it-for-me service labor, installed merchandise and tire offerings (DIFM) with do-it-yourself parts and accessories (DIY). The Company’s Supercenters also have a commercial sales program delivers parts, tires and equipment to automotive repair shops and dealers. Service & Tire Centers, which average approximately 6,000 square feet, provide DIFM services in neighborhood locations. The Company also operates a handful of legacy DIY only Pep Express stores.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in The Pep Boys – Manny, Moe & Jack. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 2 Comments

Company name National Instruments Corp
Stock ticker NATI
Live stock price [stckqut]NATI[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $40.44
Target stock price (averages with growth) $35.44
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $25.64
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $39.02

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=nati

National Instruments Corporation (NI) is engaged in designing, manufacturing and selling tools to engineers and scientists. These industries consist of a diverse market for design, control and test applications. The Company provides graphical application software and modular hardware to create measurement, automation and embedded systems. Its segment is based on geographic regions, which include the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific. It offers a line of measurement and automation products that provides engineers and scientists to create automated test, industrial control, and embedded design applications. The Company’s products consist of off-the-shelf application software and modular, hardware components together with related driver software. In May 2011, it acquired Phase Matrix, Inc. (PMI). In July 2011, the Company acquired AWR Corporation.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in National Instruments Corp.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of National Instruments Corp calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $32.74
  • Growth: 0.14
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
  • P/E: 51
  • Future EPS Calc: $1.23
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $62.84
  • Target stock price: $39.02

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]