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Company name ABB Ltd (ADR)
Stock ticker ABB
Live stock price [stckqut]ABB[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $23.57
Target stock price (averages with growth) $33.67
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $33.2
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $22.69

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=abb

ABB Ltd (ABB) is engaged in power and automation technologies committed to improving performance and lowering the environmental impact for utility and industry customers. The Company provides a broad range of products, systems, solutions and services that are designed to power grid reliability boost industrial productivity and enhance energy efficiency. The Company’s power businesses focus on power transmission, distribution and power-plant automation, and support electric, gas and water utilities, as well as industrial and commercial customers. Effective September 27, 2013, ABB Ltd acquired Baldor Electric India Pvt Ltd.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in ABB Ltd (ADR).

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $24.87

Growth: 0.09

Current EPS (TTM): $1.25

P/E: 19

Future EPS Calc: $1.92

Future Stock Price Calc: $36.54

Target stock price: $22.68

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Meritor Inc
Stock ticker MTOR
Live stock price [stckqut]MTOR[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=mtor

Meritor, Inc. (Meritor) is a global supplier of a range of integrated systems and components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket for the commercial vehicle, transportation and industrial sectors. The company serves commercial truck, trailer, off-highway, military, bus and coach and other industrial OEMs and certain aftermarkets. Its products are axles, undercarriages, drivelines, brakes and braking systems. Meritor serves a range of customers globally, including medium- and heavy-duty truck OEMs, specialty vehicle manufacturers, certain aftermarkets, and trailer producers. Its new business segments are Commercial Truck & Industrial; and Aftermarket & Trailer. On January 2, 2012, it completed the sale of its Commercial Truck manufacturing facility located in St. Priest, France to Renault Trucks SAS, an affiliate of AB Volvo.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Meritor Inc. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name QAD Inc.
Stock ticker QADB
Live stock price [stckqut]QADB[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $15.35
Target stock price (averages with growth) $12.96
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $9.13
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $14.85

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=qadb

QAD Inc. (QAD) is a worldwide provider of enterprise software applications, and related services and support. QAD provides enterprise software applications to global manufacturing companies primarily in the automotive, consumer products, food and beverage, high technology, industrial products and life sciences industries. QAD software is used by over 2,500 global manufacturing companies. QAD’s enterprise resource planning (ERP) suite is called QAD Enterprise Applications, which is also known as MFG/PRO. QAD Enterprise Applications supports its global manufacturing customers business needs. QAD sells licenses to its software under a perpetual licensing model. Customers who purchase perpetual licenses deploy the application using an on premise model on their own servers. In June 2012, the Company acquired Strasbourg, France based DynaSys S.A. In December 2012, the Company acquired CEBOS, Ltd.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in QAD Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $13.8

Growth: 0.12

Current EPS (TTM): $0.23

P/E: 59

Future EPS Calc: $0.4

Future Stock Price Calc: $23.91

Target stock price: $14.84

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Target Corporation
Stock ticker TGT
Live stock price [stckqut]TGT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $46.19
Target stock price (averages with growth) $58.42
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $56.96
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $326.09

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=tgt

Target Corporation sells a range of assortment of general merchandise and food in its stores. The Company’s general merchandise and CityTarget stores offer a food assortment on a smaller scale and its SuperTarget stores offer a line of food items comparable to traditional supermarkets. The Company operates in three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Credit Card and Canadian. The Company’s U.S. Retail Segment includes all of its United States merchandising operations. The Company’s U.S. Credit Card Segment offers credit to qualified guests through its credit cards: the Target Credit Card and the Target Visa. Its Canadian Segment includes costs incurred in the United States and Canada related to its Canadian retail market entry. As of February 2, 2013, the Company had 1,778 stores in 49 states and the District of Columbia. It also owns three distribution centers in Canada, with a total of 3,963 thousand square feet.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Target Corporation.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $63.2

Growth: 0.19

Current EPS (TTM): $3.73

P/E: 59

Future EPS Calc: $8.9

Future Stock Price Calc: $525.16

Target stock price: $326.08

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Glacier Water Services, Inc.
Stock ticker GWSV
Live stock price [stckqut]GWSV[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gwsv

Glacier Water Services, Inc. (Glacier) is primarily engaged in the operation of self-service vending machines that dispense drinking water to consumers. The machines are placed at supermarkets and other retail outlets under commission arrangements with the retailers. The Company’s machines are primarily located throughout the Sunbelt and Midwest regions of the United States. As of January 2, 2011, the Company operated approximately 19, 100 machines in 42 states and Canada. Glacier’s indoor water vending machine was introduced especially for inside the retail store. In addition to having the same multi-stage filtration/treatment system as the outdoor machine, many retailers make available a supply of empty containers near the indoor machine. Glacier also operates a line of PureFill and Water Island equipment.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Glacier Water Services, Inc. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.