Company name McKesson Corporation
Stock ticker MCK
Live stock price [stckqut]MCK[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/mck

McKesson Corporation, incorporated on July 7, 1994, is a healthcare supply chain management solutions, retail pharmacy, community oncology and specialty care, and healthcare information technology company. The Company provides medicines, medical products, and healthcare services by partnering with pharmaceutical manufacturers, providers, pharmacies, governments and other organizations in healthcare. It operates in two segments: McKesson Distribution Solutions and McKesson Technology Solutions.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in McKesson Corporation. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable. I am removing this company from my Watch List

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

Company name Trinity Industries Inc
Stock ticker TRN
Live stock price [stckqut]TRN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $57.75
Target stock price (averages with growth) $68.73
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $46.68
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $44.83

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://finance.google.com/finance?q=trn

Trinity Industries, Inc. is a diversified industrial company that owns businesses providing products and services to the energy, chemical, agriculture, transportation and construction sectors. The Company’s products and services include railcars and railcar parts; parts and steel components; the leasing, management and maintenance of railcars; highway products; construction aggregates; inland barges; structural wind towers; steel utility structures; storage and distribution containers, and trench shields and shoring products. The Company’s segments include the Rail Group, Construction Products Group, Inland Barge Group, Energy Equipment Group, Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group, and All Other. Its All Other segment includes its captive insurance and transportation companies, and other peripheral businesses. It manufactures a line of railcars, including autorack cars, box cars, covered hopper cars, gondola cars, intermodal cars, open hopper cars and tank cars.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Trinity Industries Inc. I am removing Trinity from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Trinity Industries Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $37.46
  • Growth: 0.14
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.5
  • P/E: 25
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.88
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $72.2
  • Target stock price: $44.83

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Metlife Inc
Stock ticker MET
Live stock price [stckqut]MET[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $8.57
Target stock price (averages with growth) $10.24
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $11.
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $8.05

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://finance.google.com/finance?q=met

MetLife, Inc. is a provider of life insurance, annuities, employee benefits and asset management. The Company’s segments include U.S.; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA); MetLife Holdings, and Corporate & Other. Its U.S. segment is organized into Group Benefits, Retirement and Income Solutions and Property & Casualty businesses. Its Asia segment offers products, including life insurance; accident and health insurance, and retirement and savings products. Latin America offers products, including life insurance, and retirement and savings products. Life insurance includes universal, variable and term life products. EMEA offers products, including life insurance, accident and health insurance, retirement and savings products, and credit insurance.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Metlife Inc. I am removing the company from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Metlife Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $50.56
  • Growth: 0.12
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
  • P/E: 16
  • Future EPS Calc: $0.81
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $12.97
  • Target stock price: $8.05

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.
Stock ticker IDXX
Live stock price [stckqut]IDXX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $164.97
Target stock price (averages with growth) $183.99
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $98.51
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $192.33

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://finance.google.com/finance?q=idxx

IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. develops, manufactures and distributes products and provides services for the companion animal veterinary, livestock and poultry, dairy and water testing markets. The Company also sells a line of portable electrolytes and blood gas analyzers for the human point-of-care medical diagnostics market. Its segments include diagnostic and information technology-based products and services for the veterinary market, which the Company refers to as the Companion Animal Group; water quality products; diagnostic products and services for livestock and poultry health, which the Company refers to as Livestock, Poultry and Dairy, and Other operating segment, which combines and presents products for the human point-of-care medical diagnostics market with its pharmaceutical product line and its out-licensing arrangements. Its products and services include point-of-care veterinary diagnostic products, comprising instruments, consumables and rapid assay test kits, among others.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. I am removing the company from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $156.38
  • Growth: 0.15
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.08
  • P/E: 50
  • Future EPS Calc: $6.19
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $309.74
  • Target stock price: $192.32

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Aspen Technology, Inc.
Stock ticker AZPN
Live stock price [stckqut]AZPN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $97.28
Target stock price (averages with growth) $92.65
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $41.96
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $57.24

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=azpn

Aspen Technology, Inc. is a global provider of process optimization software solutions designed to manage and optimize plant and process design, operational performance, and supply chain planning. The Company’s aspenONE software and related services have been developed specifically for companies in the process industries, including the energy, chemicals, and engineering and construction industries. It operates through two segments, including subscription and software, which provides licensing of process optimization software solutions and associated support services, and services, which includes professional services and training. It has developed applications to design and optimize processes across the business areas, including engineering, manufacturing and supply chain. Its products include Aspen HYSYS, Aspen Economic Evaluation, Aspen Info Plus.21, Aspen PIMS Advanced Optimization, Aspen Collaborative Demand Manager and Aspen Supply Planner.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Aspen Technology, Inc. I am removing the company from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Aspen Technology, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $62.81
  • Growth: 0.1
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.12
  • P/E: 27
  • Future EPS Calc: $3.41
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $92.18
  • Target stock price: $57.24

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.