Company name Under Armour Inc
Stock ticker UA
Live stock price [stckqut]UA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $146.88
Target stock price (averages with growth) $162.27
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $73.59
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $146.41

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ua
Under Armour, Inc. is engaged in the development, marketing and distribution of branded performance apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. The Company’s moisture-wicking fabrications are engineered in a range of designs and styles for wear in nearly every climate to provide an alternative to traditional products. The Company’s operating segments include North America, consisting of the United States and Canada; Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA); Asia-Pacific; Latin America, and MapMyFitness. The Company also offers digital fitness platform licenses and subscriptions, along with digital advertising through its MapMyFitness business. Its apparel offers three gearlines, including HEATGEAR, COLDGEAR and ALLSEASONGEAR. Its footwear offerings include football, baseball, lacrosse, softball and soccer cleats, slides and performance training, running, basketball and outdoor footwear. Its accessories primarily include the sale of headwear, bags and gloves.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Under Armour Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Under Armour Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $95.02
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
  • P/E: 103
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.28
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $235.79
  • Target stock price: $146.4

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
Stock ticker TTWO
Live stock price [stckqut]TTWO[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ttwo
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a developer, publisher and marketer of interactive entertainment for consumers around the globe. The Company develops and publishes products through its two wholly owned labels Rockstar Games and 2K. Its products are designed for console gaming systems such as Sony’s PlayStation 3 (PS3) and PlayStation 4 (PS4), Microsoft’s Xbox 360 (Xbox 360) and Xbox One (Xbox One) and Nintendo’s Wii (Wii) and Wii U (Wii U); handheld gaming systems such as Nintendo’s DS (DS) and Sony’s PlayStation Portable (PSP); and personal computers, including smartphones and tablets. It delivers its products through physical retail, digital download, online platforms and cloud streaming services. The Company has a portfolio of software content for the hardware platforms in a range of genres, including action, adventure, family/casual, racing, role-playing, shooter, sports and strategy, which it distributes around the world.
 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable. I am removing the company from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

Company name Tractor Supply Company
Stock ticker TSCO
Live stock price [stckqut]TSCO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $86.37
Target stock price (averages with growth) $86.34
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $46.59
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $92.35

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=tsco

Tractor Supply Company is an operator of rural lifestyle retail stores in the United States. The Company focuses on supplying the lifestyle needs of recreational farmers and ranchers, as well as tradesmen and small businesses. As of December 27, 2014, it operated 1,382 retail stores in 49 states under the names Tractor Supply Company, Del’s Feed & Farm Supply and HomeTown Pet. It also operates a Website under the name TractorSupply.com. It offers a portfolio of products, which include equine, livestock, pet and small animal products; hardware, truck, towing and tool products; seasonal products, including lawn and garden items, power equipment, gifts and toys; work/recreational clothing and footwear, and maintenance products for agricultural and rural use. Its products are offered under various brands, which include 4health, Blue Mountain, Countyline, Equistages, Groundwork, Huskee, JobSmart, Dumor, C.E. Schmidt, Paws & Claws, Producer’s Pride and Redstone, among others.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Tractor Supply Company as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. Since the company is scoring at the low end of what I consider to be a Fair Company, I am taking them off of my Watch List for now.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Tractor Supply Company calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $83.2
  • Growth: 0.12
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.91
  • P/E: 29
  • Future EPS Calc: $5.12
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $148.72
  • Target stock price: $92.34

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Trinity Industries Inc
Stock ticker TRN
Live stock price [stckqut]TRN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $40.72
Target stock price (averages with growth) $41.59
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $18.19
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $34.55

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=trn

Trinity Industries, Inc. is a diversified industrial company that owns businesses providing products and services to the energy, transportation, chemical and construction sectors. The Company’s products and services include railcars and railcar parts, the leasing, management, and maintenance of railcars, inland barges, highway products, aggregates, storage and distribution containers, structural wind towers, electric utility structures and parts and steel components. The Company operates under the following segments: the Rail Group, Construction Products Group, Inland Barge Group, Energy Equipment Group, Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group, and All Other. The Company caters to concrete producers, which include commercial, residential, highway contractors, manufacturers of masonry products, and state and local municipalities. It also caters to commercial marine transportation companies, wind turbine producers, dealers and industrial users.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Trinity Industries Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Trinity Industries Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $26.37
  • Growth: 0.17
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.23
  • P/E: 6
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.27
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $55.64
  • Target stock price: $34.55

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Trimble Navigation Limited
Stock ticker TRMB
Live stock price [stckqut]TRMB[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $8.65
Target stock price (averages with growth) $8.18
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $6.07
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $14.37

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=trmb

Trimble Navigation Limited is a provider of technology solutions for professionals and field mobile workers. The Company operates through four segments: Engineering and Construction, Field Solutions, Mobile Solutions and Advanced Devices. The Engineering and Construction segment provides heavy civil construction, building construction and geospatial solutions. The Field Solutions segment offers positioning systems, automated application systems, and data collection and integration systems to the agriculture and geographic information systems (GIS) markets. The Mobile Solutions segment includes its Transportation and Logistics, and Field Service Management businesses. The Advanced Devices segment includes its Embedded Technologies, Timing, Applanix, Trimble Outdoors, Military and Advanced Systems (MAS), and ThingMagic businesses. The Company’s brands include Trimble, PeopleNet, GEOTrac, TMW and ALK Technologies. In addition, the Company offers the TILOS software.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Trimble Navigation Limited. I am removing the company from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Trimble Navigation Limited calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $18.19
  • Growth: 0.05
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
  • P/E: 37
  • Future EPS Calc: $0.62
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $23.13
  • Target stock price: $14.36

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.