By:
On:
In: Fair company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA)
Stock ticker POT
Live stock price [stckqut]POT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $17.19
Target stock price (averages with growth) $15.22
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $10.13
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $23.64

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pot

Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. (PCS) is a fertilizer company. The Company operates in three business segments: potash, nitrogen and phosphate. The Company owns and operates five potash operations in Saskatchewan and one in New Brunswick. Its nitrogen operations involve the production of nitrogen fertilizers and nitrogen feed and industrial products, including ammonia, urea, nitrogen solutions, ammonium nitrate and nitric acid. It has nitrogen facilities in Georgia, Louisiana, Ohio and Trinidad. The Company’s phosphate operations include the manufacture and sale of solid and liquid phosphate fertilizers, phosphate feed and industrial acid, which is used in food products and industrial processes. It has phosphate mines and mineral processing plant complexes in Florida and North Carolina. The Company also has four phosphate feed plants in the United States and produce phosphoric acid at its Geismar, Louisiana facility.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I have been disappointed in the growth of Potash, I am removing it from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $26.93
  • Growth: 0.07
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.81
  • P/E: 15
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.53
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $38.07
  • Target stock price: $23.64

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Panera Bread Co
Stock ticker PNRA
Live stock price [stckqut]PNRA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $187.71
Target stock price (averages with growth) $177.71
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $100.49
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $209.93

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pnra

Panera Bread Company (Panera) is a food service provider. Panera is a national bakery-cafe concept with 1,880 Company-owned and franchise-operated bakery-cafe locations in 45 states, the District of Columbia, and Ontario, Canada. The Company operates through three segments: Company Bakery-Cafe Operations, Franchise Operations, and Fresh Dough and Other Product Operations. As of December 30, 2014, its Company bakery-cafe operations segment consisted of 925 Company-owned bakery-cafes and its franchise operations segment consisted of 955 franchise-operated bakery-cafes, located throughout the United States and in Ontario, Canada. As of December 30, 2014, its fresh dough and other product operations segment, which supplies fresh dough and other products daily to the Company-owned and franchise-operated bakery-cafes, consisted of 24 fresh dough facilities (22 Company-owned and two franchise-operated), located throughout the United States and one in Ontario, Canada.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Panera Bread Co. I will be removing it from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Panera Bread Co calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $201.92
  • Growth: 0.11
  • Current EPS (TTM): $6.08
  • P/E: 33
  • Future EPS Calc: $10.24
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $338.09
  • Target stock price: $209.92

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Good company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Priceline Group Inc
Stock ticker PCLN
Live stock price [stckqut]PCLN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $1884.84
Target stock price (averages with growth) $2031.84
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $922.78
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $1764.84

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pcln

The Priceline Group Inc. is a provider of online travel and travel related reservation and search services. The Company, through its online travel agent (OTA) services, connects consumers wishing to make travel reservations with providers of travel services across the world. The Company’s brands include Booking.com, KAYAK, agoda.com, rentalcars.com and OpenTable. The Company offers consumers accommodation reservations, including hotels, bed and breakfasts, hostels, apartments, vacation rentals and other properties, through its Booking.com, priceline.com and agoda.com brands. Its priceline.com brand also offers consumers reservations for rental cars, airline tickets, vacation packages and cruises. The Company offers rental car reservations through its Website rentalcars.com. The Company also provides an online price comparison service from various travel Websites through KAYAK. OpenTable provides its services to consumers and reservation management services to restaurants.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Priceline Group Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Priceline Group Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $1219.97
  • Growth: 0.19
  • Current EPS (TTM): $45.81
  • P/E: 26
  • Future EPS Calc: $109.31
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $2842.29
  • Target stock price: $1764.83

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
Stock ticker NLY
Live stock price [stckqut]NLY[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=nly

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company uses its capital coupled with borrowed funds to invest in real estate related investments, earning the spread between the yield on its assets and the cost of its borrowings. It owns a portfolio of real estate related investments, including mortgage pass-through certificates, collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs), Agency callable debentures, other securities representing interests in or obligations backed by pools of mortgage loans, commercial real estate assets and corporate debt. The Company’s business operations consist of Annaly (the parent company), Annaly Commercial Real Estate Group, Inc. (ACREG), RCap Securities, Inc., Fixed Income Discount Advisory Company (FIDAC), Annaly Middle Market Lending LLC and Shannon Funding LLC.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Annaly Capital Management, Inc. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable. I have removed this stock from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Good company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Netflix, Inc.
Stock ticker NFLX
Live stock price [stckqut]NFLX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $164.06
Target stock price (averages with growth) $181.69
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $82.92
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $163.84

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=nflx

Netflix, Inc. is a provider of Internet television network. The Company has over 57 million streaming members in over 50 countries. Its members can watch more than two billion hours of television (TV) shows and movies per month, including original series, documentaries and feature films on Internet-connected screen. The Company has three operating segments: Domestic streaming, International streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic and International streaming segments derive revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting of streaming content. The Domestic DVD segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting of DVD-by-mail. Its members can play, pause and resume watching, all without commercials or commitments. Additionally, in the United States, its members can receive DVDs to their homes. The Company offers streaming service both domestically and internationally.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Netflix, Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Netflix, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $107.34
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
  • P/E: 241
  • Future EPS Calc: $1.09
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $263.86
  • Target stock price: $163.83

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.