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Company name Gentherm Inc
Stock ticker THRM
Live stock price [stckqut]THRM[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $47.37
Target stock price (averages with growth) $52.44
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $23.91
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $47.4

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=thrm

Gentherm Incorporated (Gentherm) is a global technology company, which is engaged in the design, development, and manufacturing of innovative thermal management technologies and automotive cable systems. The Company has two segments: Automotive and Industrial. The Automotive segment comprises Gentherm’s three geographic operating segments: North America, Europe and Asia. The Industrial segment represents the combined results from its remote power generation systems business for industrial applications and its advanced research and product development division, which is researching and developing products for a range of different markets. Its products include Climate Control Seats (CCSs), Heated Seats, Battery Thermal Management (BTM) solutions, remote electric power generation systems, heated and cooled cup holder, thermal storage bin, Heated Steering Wheel, Heated Door and Armrest, and Heated and Cooled Mattress.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Gentherm Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Gentherm Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $30.67
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
  • P/E: 13
  • Future EPS Calc: $5.87
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $76.34
  • Target stock price: $47.4

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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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This is not a political site. I try very hard to avoid political issues, especially those that are controversial. The last thing I want people to do is to get bad advice on investing because of political preferences. One of my readers asked my advice on health insurance companies though. The theory was that since so many people thought that health insurance companies were making a ton of profit (one of the reasons for Obamacare), they should be great investments.

My first comment is that you should never buy the stock of a company due to an entire industry. You should evaluate the company by itself and not based on the industry. If you don’t know how to do this, I suggest that you buy my book, The Confident Investor.   You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as Amazon, Barnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in e-book formats for Nook, Kindle, and iPad.

My second comment is that you should avoid sector investments. You can buy mutual funds or ETFs that follow a single sector. Avoid putting these into your portfolio. Find the best companies to invest in and then invest in them with a plan. Once again, if you don’t know how to do this, check out my book.

To answer the reader question, I started researching United HealthGroup [stckqut]UNH[/stckqut]. I went to Morningstar for my initial research and used that tool to generate the data for United HealthGroup and its top competitors. Morningstar gave me a list of companies and then I did a bit of quick analysis.

Symbol Revenue Net Income Profit Market Cap
    (M) (M) percentage (M)
UnitedHealth Group Inc UNH $113,700 $5,330 4.69% $72,879
Express Scripts ESRX $107,800 $1,418 1.32% $54,365
WellPoint Inc WLP $64,000 $2,684 4.19% $26,071
Cigna Corp CI $30,500 $1,309 4.29% $22,209
Aetna Inc AET $37,200 $1,637 4.40% $21,017
Humana HUM $39,400 $1,447 3.67% $14,030
Centene Corporation CNC $9,600 $1 0.01% $3,019
WellCare Health Plans, Inc. WCG $7,900 $155 1.96% $2,675
Health Net Inc HNT $11,300 $198 1.75% $2,640
Odontoprev S.A. ODPVY $1,000 $161 16.10% $2,276
Molina Healthcare, Inc. MOH $6,200 $21 0.34% $1,812
 Sum   $428,600 $14,361 3.35%

 

As we can see, the health insurance companies don’t generate that great of a return. These companies average out to 3.35% profit. The S&P500 averaged 16.14%! That means that health insurance companies aren’t just rolling in cash like Michael Moore implies. Taking the profit motive out of healthcare doesn’t seem to be the driving focus of Obamacare.

This article points out the fallacy of following the news to find your investments. While it is worthwhile to research companies that you hear about on the news or read about in the newspaper, just because they sound good there doesn’t make them great investments. The only sound way to make a great investment is to research the company using solid tools.

 

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While you are enjoying the beginning of summer with a 3-day weekend. Please do not forget why you are not working today.

Remember those who served. All gave some and some gave all they had.