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Company name Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Stock ticker HOG
Live stock price [stckqut]HOG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $80.56
Target stock price (averages with growth) $95.72
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $75.82
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $77.34

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hog
Harley-Davidson, Inc. is a motorcycle manufacturer that produces heavyweight motorcycles and a complete line of motorcycle parts, accessories and general merchandise. It operates in two segments: the Motorcycles & Related Products (Motorcycles) segment and the Financial Services (Financial Services) segment. The Motorcycles segment designs, manufactures and sells at wholesale heavyweight (engine displacement of 651+ cubic centimeters) Harley-Davidson motorcycles, as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and related services. The Financial Services segment consists of Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS). HDFS provides wholesale and retail financing and provides insurance and insurance-related programs primarily to Harley-Davidson dealers and their retail customers. HDFS conducts business principally in the United States and Canada. On February 1, 2012, it introduced two new motorcycle models, the Seventy-Two and the Softail Slim.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Parametric Technology
Stock ticker PMTC
Live stock price [stckqut]PMTC[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pmtc

Parametric Technology Corporation (PTC) develops, markets and supports solutions, which help companies design products, manage product information and improve their product development processes. The Company offers solutions in the product lifecycle management (PLM), market (product data management, collaboration and related solutions) and the CAx market (computer-aided design, manufacturing and engineering (CAD, CAM and CAE) solutions). Its software solutions provide its customers with an integral product development system, which enables them to create digital product content, collaborate with others in the product development process, control product content, automate product development processes, configure products and product content, and communicate product information to people and systems across the extended enterprise and design chain. On September 2, 2011, the Company acquired 4C Solutions, Inc. (4CS). In October 2012, it acquired Servigistics, Inc.
Confident Investor comments: This company might actually be a decent investment if they could turn a profit. At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Microsoft Corporation
Stock ticker MSFT
Live stock price [stckqut]MSFT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $7.87
Target stock price (averages with growth) $5.09
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $6.6
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $54.2

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=msft

Microsoft Corporation is engaged in developing, licensing and supporting a range of software products and services. The Company also designs and sells hardware, and delivers online advertising to the customers. It operates in five segments: Windows & Windows Live Division (Windows Division), Server and Tools, Online Services Division (OSD), Microsoft Business Division (MBD), and Entertainment and Devices Division (EDD). The Company’ products include operating systems for personal computers (PCs), servers, phones, and other intelligent devices; server applications for distributed computing environments; productivity applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools. In July 2012, the Company purchased Edgewater Fullscope’s Process Industries 2 (PI2) software and intellectual property. In July 2012, Comcast Corp. acquired the Company’s 50% stake in MSNBC.com. In October 2012, it acquired PhoneFactor Inc. On July 18, 2012, it acquired Yammer, Inc. (Yammer).

 

 

Confident Investor comments: I realize a large number of people use and like Microsoft’s products but currently they are on a negative growth trajectory. This is a good example of not just buying the companies that make products you like. At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.
 

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Company name The Hershey Company
Stock ticker HSY
Live stock price [stckqut]HSY[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $81.07
Target stock price (averages with growth) $88.66
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $71.42
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $83.79

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hsy

The Hershey Company is a producer of chocolate in North America and sugar confectionery products. The Company’s principal product groups include chocolate and sugar confectionery products; pantry items, such as baking ingredients, toppings and beverages, and gum and mint refreshment products. It operates as a single segment in manufacturing, marketing, selling and distributing the products under more than 80 brand names. Its three operating segments consist of geographic regions, including the United States, the Americas, and Asia, Europe, the Middle East and Africa. The Company markets its products in approximately 70 countries worldwide. In February 2011, the Company acquired a 49% interest in Tri-Us, Inc. a company that manufactures, markets and sells nutritional beverages under the mix1 brand name. In January 2012, the Company acquired all of the outstanding stock of Brookside Foods Ltd. (Brookside).

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name General Mills, Inc.
Stock ticker GIS
Live stock price [stckqut]GIS[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $33.66
Target stock price (averages with growth) $38.93
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $35.39
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $385.21

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gis

General Mills, Inc. (General Mills) is a manufacturer and marketer of branded consumer foods sold through retail stores. The Company is also a supplier of branded and unbranded food products to the foodservice and commercial baking industries. The Company manufactures its products in 15 countries and markets them in more than 100 countries. The Company’s joint ventures manufacture and market products in more than 130 countries and republics worldwide. General Mills operates in three segments: U.S. Retail, International, and Bakeries and Foodservice. In addition, the Company sells ready-to-eat cereals through its Cereal Partners Worldwide (CPW) joint venture. In February 2012, General Mills acquired Food Should Taste Good, a natural snack foods company based in Needham Heights, Mass. During the fiscal year ended May 27, 2012, the Company acquired a 51% interest in Yoplait S.A.S. and a 50% interest in Yoplait Marques S.A.S. In August 2012, it acquired Yoki Alimentos SA.

 

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.