Alliance Data Systems Corporation ($ADS) Possible Buy to $335 Confident Investor Rating: Good

I am currently going through my Watch List to ensure that each company still deserves to be on the list. Because of the number of companies on my list, I am going to try to knock out 2 per weekday.

Company name Alliance Data Systems Corporation
Stock ticker ADS
Live stock price [stckqut]ADS[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $423.49
Target stock price (averages with growth) $494.14
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $324.08
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $373.74

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ads

Alliance Data Systems Corporation is a provider of transaction-based, data-driven marketing and loyalty solutions serving consumer-based businesses in a variety of industries. The Company offers a portfolio of integrated outsourced marketing solutions, including customer loyalty programs, database marketing services, marketing strategy consulting, analytics and creative services, direct marketing services and private label and co-brand retail credit card programs. It focuses on facilitating and managing interactions between its clients and their customers through all consumer marketing channels, including in-store, on-line, catalog, mail, telephone and email, and emerging channels, such as mobile and social media. Its products and services operate under three segments: LoyaltyOne, Epsilon and Private Label Services and Credit.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Alliance Data Systems Corporation.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $274.23

Growth: 0.17

Current EPS (TTM): $7.42

P/E: 37

Future EPS Calc: $16.26

Future Stock Price Calc: $601.91

Target stock price: $373.74

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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