Boston Beer Co Inc ($SAM) Possible Buy to $273 Confident Investor Rating: Good

Company name Boston Beer Co Inc
Stock ticker SAM
Live stock price [stckqut]SAM[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $343.27
Target stock price (averages with growth) $291.28
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $186.85
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $278

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=sam

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (Boston Beer) is a craft brewer in the United States. During the year ended December 31, 2011, Boston Beer sold approximately 2.5 million barrels of its products (core brands) and brewed or packaged approximately 13,000 barrels under contract (non-core brands) for third parties. During 2011, the Company sold over fifty beers under the Samuel Adams or the Sam Adams brand names, seven flavored malt beverages under the Twisted Tea brand name, three hard cider beverages under the Angry Orchard brand name and one hard cider under the HardCore brand name. Boston Beer produces malt beverages and hard cider at Company-owned breweries and under contract arrangements at other brewery locations. The Company-owned breweries are located in Boston, Massachusetts (the Boston Brewery), Cincinnati, Ohio (the Cincinnati Brewery) and Breinigsville, Pennsylvania (the Pennsylvania Brewery). During 2011, the Company launched the Angry Orchard brand family.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Boston Beer Co Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Boston Beer Co Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $221.96

Growth: 0.15

Current EPS (TTM): $5.3

P/E: 42

Future EPS Calc: $10.66

Future Stock Price Calc: $447.72

Target stock price: $278

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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