| Company name | Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. |
| Stock ticker | ULTA |
| Live stock price | [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut] |
| P/E compared to competitors | Fair |
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
| Employee productivity | Poor |
| Sales growth | Good |
| EPS growth | Good |
| P/E growth | Poor |
| EBIT growth | Good |
ANALYSIS
| Confident Investor Rating | Fair |
| Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) | $106.43 |
| Target stock price (averages with growth) | $149.56 |
| Target stock price (averages with no growth) | $114.8 |
| Target stock price (manual assumptions) | $106.22 |
The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ulta
Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (Ulta) is a beauty retailer, which provides one-stop shopping for prestige, mass and salon products and salon services in the United States. During the year ended January 28, 2012 (fiscal 2011), the Company opened 61 new stores. It operates full-service salons in all of its stores. Its Ulta store format includes an open and modern salon area with approximately eight to 10 stations. The entire salon area is approximately 950 square feet with a concierge desk, skin treatment room, semi-private shampoo and hair color processing areas. Each salon is a full-service salon offering hair cuts, hair coloring and permanent texture, with salons also providing facials and waxing.
Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am going to leave Ulta on my Watch List in the hopes that it improves some of its fundamentals.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.
How was this analysis of Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. calculated?
For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:
Stock price at the time of the calculation: $85.43
Growth: 0.15
Current EPS (TTM): $3.15
P/E: 27
Future EPS Calc: $6.33
Future Stock Price Calc: $171.06
Target stock price: $106.21
I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]