Company name Autobytel Inc.
Stock ticker ABTL
Live stock price [stckqut]ABTL[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $18.73
Target stock price (averages with growth) $17.48
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $12.81
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $18.58

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=abtl

Autobytel Inc. (Autobytel) is an automotive marketing services company, which assists automotive retail dealers (Dealers) and automotive manufacturers (Manufacturers) market and sells new and used vehicles to consumers through its programs for online lead referrals (Leads), Dealer marketing products and services, and online advertising programs and data products. The Company’s consumer-facing automotive Websites (Company Websites), which include the Company’s flagship Website Autobytel.com, provides consumers with information and tools to aid them with their automotive purchase decisions and the ability to submit inquiries requesting Dealers to contact the consumers regarding purchasing or leasing vehicles. For consumers who may not be able to secure loans through conventional lending sources, the Company’s Company Websites provide these consumers the ability to submit inquiries requesting Dealers or other lenders. In January 2014, Autobytel acquired AutoUSA from AutoNation, Inc.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Autobytel Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Autobytel Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $12.13
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.34
  • P/E: 3.6
  • Future EPS Calc: $8.31
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $29.91
  • Target stock price: $18.57

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

The market struggled for most of the week only to have a good day Friday to pull it into positive territory. Some companies have missed or disappointed on earnings with others beating expectations. This increase volatility as investors try to recalibrate expectations of winners or losers. Expect another week of volatility this week only hopefully most of the bad news is done. Also, investors tend to watch the news too much so any bad news in violence between countries will make them hesitant. This is probably a mistake as I pointed out here.

As always, my thoughts should only be used for educational purposes and any decision by the reader to use this information is subject to my disclaimer. In addition to the disclaimer, the stocks mentioned may have changed value from the time I wrote this to the time that you are reading it; therefore, the conclusions below may no longer be valid. The analysis on any investment indicator is always a short-term thought and just by being in this list the stock already is a long-term Good Company  or Fair Company and made my Watch List. If you are looking for long-term analysis of the stock, you should look for the stock in the company list that appears to the far right.

My analysis in this article is based on the investment indicator tools that I describe in my book, “The Confident Investor.” If you are not subscribed to this site as a book owner, then you will not be able to see some of the analysis. You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as AmazonBarnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in e-book formats for NookKindle, and iPad. After you purchase my book, it is free to subscribe to the extra content on this site. 

I will only be commenting on stocks that are ranked as an “Investigate to buy” and Possible buy” on my daily investment indicator article. The most recent daily investment indicator article is from July 19. Those stocks are:

  • American Tower Corp,
  • BlackRock Inc.,
  • Broadcom Corporation,
  • Cerner Corporation,
  • Cirrus Logic Inc.,
  • Extra Space Storage Inc.,
  • Google Inc,
  • JPMorgan Chase & Co.,
  • KLA-Tencor Corporation,
  • Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc,
  • Royal Gold Inc USA),
  • Skyworks Solutions Inc,
  • Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.,
  • Trinity Industries Inc,

Investment Indicator Thoughts

S&P 500
The general S&P 500 (ticker is ^GSPC and the first line of my investment indicator articles). It was a tough week last week with this index seeing mostly sideways movement. This was caused by geo-political events along with some less than excellent results for Q2. I think this week will also continue to have challenges so investors should be cautious.

NASDAQ Composite
The NASDAQ Composite (the ticker is ^IXIC and the second line of my investment indicator articles). It was a tough week last week with this index seeing mostly sideways movement. This was caused by geo-political events along with some less than excellent results for Q2. I think this week will also continue to have challenges so investors should be cautious.

American Tower Corp
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]American Tower Corp [stckqut]AMT[/stckqut] did a nice job of growing in a flat week. …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]American Tower Corp [stckqut]AMT[/stckqut] did a nice job of growing in a flat week. You may want to jump on this stock as it redefines its new 52-week high.[/s2If]

BlackRock, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]BlackRock, Inc. [stckqut]BLK[/stckqut] had a nice spike a few weeks ago. Has been gen…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]BlackRock, Inc. [stckqut]BLK[/stckqut] had a nice spike a few weeks ago. Has been generally flat since. This stock may be worth watching for another increase although a reason argument could be made for taking profits off the table.[/s2If]

Broadcom Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Broadcom Corporation [stckqut]BRCM[/stckqut] had a nice spike a few weeks ago. Has be…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Broadcom Corporation [stckqut]BRCM[/stckqut] had a nice spike a few weeks ago. Has been generally flat since. This stock may be worth watching for another increase although a reasonable argument could be made for taking profits off the table.[/s2If]

Cerner Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cerner Corporation [stckqut]CERN[/stckqut] had a good week last week. Look for resist…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cerner Corporation [stckqut]CERN[/stckqut] had a good week last week. Look for resistance at $55 but then it should be realistic that it will reach for its 52-week high. Unless something happens to upset this stock, I think it is a reasonable assumption that it could reach $61 in the relatively near term.[/s2If]

Cirrus Logic, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cirrus Logic, Inc. [stckqut]CRUS[/stckqut] has filled all of the gaps of the past few…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Cirrus Logic, Inc. [stckqut]CRUS[/stckqut] has filled all of the gaps of the past few months. This stock may pause for a bit now. Be a bit cautious on this stock until some good news hits the sector or the company.[/s2If]

Extra Space Storage, Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Extra Space Storage, Inc. [stckqut]EXR[/stckqut] has been growing nicely for several …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Extra Space Storage, Inc. [stckqut]EXR[/stckqut] has been growing nicely for several months. I don’t see any reason to not ignore short-term sell indicators for the next few weeks.[/s2If]

Google Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Google Inc [stckqut]GOOG[/stckqut] had a good week last week by the end. Investors se…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Google Inc [stckqut]GOOG[/stckqut] had a good week last week by the end. Investors seem to be a bit skittish with this stock implying that its business is really tied to the health of the majority of the companies on the big indexes. May want to wait on a buy until earnings season is over.[/s2If]

JPMorgan Chase & Co.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]JPMorgan Chase & Co. [stckqut]JPM[/stckqut] had a good week last week. This might be …
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]JPMorgan Chase & Co. [stckqut]JPM[/stckqut] had a good week last week. This might be a run to set a new 52-week high.[/s2If]

KLA-Tencor Corporation
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]KLA-Tencor Corporation [stckqut]KLAC[/stckqut] recently blew through 52-week resistan…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]KLA-Tencor Corporation [stckqut]KLAC[/stckqut] recently blew through 52-week resistance. Momentum is on the side of this stock. It may be too late to jump in on this ride.[/s2If]

Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc [stckqut]QCOR[/stckqut] has been moving sideways for sev…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc [stckqut]QCOR[/stckqut] has been moving sideways for several weeks with a slight growth rate. A little bit of good news could make this stock jump. Probably good to just hold this for now.[/s2If]

Royal Gold, Inc USA)
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Royal Gold, Inc USA) [stckqut]RGLD[/stckqut] this stock is undoubtedly being assisted…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Royal Gold, Inc USA) [stckqut]RGLD[/stckqut] this stock is undoubtedly being assisted with the unrest in the Middle East. This is a way to offset softness in the rest of the market.[/s2If]

Skyworks Solutions Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Skyworks Solutions Inc [stckqut]SWKS[/stckqut] significantly beat expectations and wa…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Skyworks Solutions Inc [stckqut]SWKS[/stckqut] significantly beat expectations and was rewarded with a nice spike in price. If you didn’t own the stock then you missed that bump. My gut is that the stock has more room to grow over the next few weeks or months. If Q3 earnings are strong then the stock will be set for the year.[/s2If]

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. [stckqut]TMO[/stckqut] has been moving sideways for wee…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. [stckqut]TMO[/stckqut] has been moving sideways for weeks but had a good week last week. Wouldn’t be a bad idea to include this stock in your portfolio.[/s2If]

Trinity Industries Inc
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Trinity Industries Inc [stckqut]TRN[/stckqut] has grown nicely for a year. This may b…
The remainder of this investment indicator analysis is for registered owners of my “The Confident Investor” book[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]Trinity Industries Inc [stckqut]TRN[/stckqut] has grown nicely for a year. This may be a stock that you just own and don’t worry about short term pullbacks for a while.[/s2If]