Company name Harley-Davidson Inc
Stock ticker HOG
Live stock price [stckqut]HOG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $70.08
Target stock price (averages with growth) $63.17
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $31.86
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $68.71

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hog

Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company for the groups of companies doing business as Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) and Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS). The Company operates in the Motorcycles and Related Products (Motorcycles) segment and the Financial Services (Financial Services) segment. The Motorcycles segment designs, manufactures and sells at wholesale street-legal Harley-Davidson motorcycles as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and related services. The Company’s products are sold to retail customers through a network of independent dealers. The Company conducts business on a global basis, with sales in North America, Europe/Middle East/Africa (EMEA), Asia-Pacific and Latin America. The Financial Services segment consists of HDFS, which provides wholesale and retail financing and provides insurance and insurance-related programs primarily to Harley-Davidson dealers and their retail customers.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Harley-Davidson Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Harley-Davidson Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $56.95
  • Growth: 0.15
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.93
  • P/E: 14
  • Future EPS Calc: $7.9
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $110.66
  • Target stock price: $68.71

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

On the basketball court, Stephen Curry is virtually invincible. In stores and among tastemakers, he is still warming up.

Sportswear-industry insiders have been anxiously watching the National Basketball Association’s newly crowned most valuable player to see if his popularity and success can translate into bigger sales of his namesake Under Armour [stckqut]UA[/stckqut] shoes.

Source: Under Armour Works to Cash In on Stephen Curry – WSJ

Company name Genesee & Wyoming Inc
Stock ticker GWR
Live stock price [stckqut]GWR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $121.93
Target stock price (averages with growth) $114.84
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $54.28
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $121.88

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gwr

Genesee & Wyoming Inc. owns and operates short line and regional freight railroads, and provides railcar switching and other rail-related services in the United States, Australia, Canada, the Netherlands and Belgium. The Company operates a longer-haul railroad that runs approximately 1,400 miles between Tarcoola in South Australia and Darwin in the Northern Territory of Australia. As of December 31, 2014, the Company operated in 41 states in the United States, four Australian states, one Australian territory and four Canadian provinces, and provided rail service at 37 ports in North America, Australia and Europe. As of December 31, 2014, the Company operated over approximately 15,600 miles of owned, jointly owned or leased track (inclusive of the Tarcoola to Darwin rail line operated under a concession agreement) and approximately 3,300 additional miles under other contractual track access arrangements.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Genesee & Wyoming Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Genesee & Wyoming Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $85.24
  • Growth: 0.18
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.29
  • P/E: 20
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.81
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $196.28
  • Target stock price: $121.88

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.