Trinity Industries Inc ($TRN) Cautious Buy or Hold to $25 Confident Investor Rating: Fair

Company name Trinity Industries Inc
Stock ticker TRN
Live stock price [stckqut]TRN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $28.
Target stock price (averages with growth) $25.08
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $12.54
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $30.28

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=trn

Trinity Industries, Inc. is a diversified industrial company that owns a range of businesses providing products and services to the energy, transportation, chemical and construction sectors. The Company’s products and services include railcars and railcar parts; parts and steel components; the leasing, management and maintenance of railcars; highway products; aggregates; inland barges; structural wind towers; steel utility structures; storage and distribution containers, and trench shields and shoring products. The Company’s segments include the Rail Group, Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group, Construction Products Group, Energy Equipment Group, Inland Barge Group and All Other Groups. Its Rail Group is a manufacturer of freight and tank railcars in North America used for transporting a range of liquids, gases and dry cargo, through Trinity Rail Group. The Company’s Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group is a provider of rail industry services in North America.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Trinity Industries Inc as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Trinity Industries Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $23.8
  • Growth: 0.16
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.87
  • P/E: 6
  • Future EPS Calc: $8.12
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $48.76
  • Target stock price: $30.28

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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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