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Company name LGI Homes Inc
Stock ticker LGIH
Live stock price [stckqut]LGIH[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $88.77
Target stock price (averages with growth) $121.18
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $82.31
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $469.4

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/lgih

LGI Homes, Inc., incorporated on June 26, 2013, is a homebuilder and land developer. The Company is engaged in the design, construction, marketing and sale of new homes in markets in Texas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, New Mexico, South Carolina, North Carolina, Colorado, Washington, and Tennessee. The Company operates through five segments: the Texas division, the Southwest division, the Southeast division, the Florida division, and the Northwest division. The Texas division includes homebuilding operations in Houston, Dallas/Fort Worth, San Antonio and Austin locations. The Southwest division includes homebuilding operations in Phoenix, Tucson, Albuquerque, Denver and Colorado Springs locations. The Southeast division includes homebuilding operations in Atlanta, Charlotte and Nashville locations. The Florida division includes homebuilding operations in Tampa, Orlando, Fort Myers and Jacksonville locations. The Northwest division includes homebuilding operations in Seattle location.

The Company’s product offerings include entry-level homes and move-up homes sold under its LGI Homes brand, and its luxury series homes, which are sold under its Terrata Homes brand. As of December 31, 2016, the Company had 59 active communities with its LGI Homes brand and four with its Terrata Homes brand. The Company provides information regarding floor plans and pricing, credit and income qualifications and conduct tours of its homes. In addition, it provides each homebuyer with an introduction to the community and the surrounding area, providing them with information regarding utilities, schools, homeowners association dues and restrictions, local entertainment and nearby dining and shopping options. It offers a set number of floor plans in each community with features that include upgrades, such as granite countertops, appliances and ceramic tile flooring.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in LGI Homes Inc as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of LGI Homes Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $57.36
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $5.33
  • P/E: 57
  • Future EPS Calc: $13.26
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $755.97
  • Target stock price: $469.4

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Illumina, Inc.
Stock ticker ILMN
Live stock price [stckqut]ILMN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $429.08
Target stock price (averages with growth) $578.79
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $393.15
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $427.13

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/ilmn

Illumina, Inc. (Illumina), incorporated on May 16, 2000, is a provider of sequencing- and array-based solutions for genetic analysis. The Company operates through two segments: Core Illumina and the consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs), which include the activities of GRAIL, Inc. (GRAIL) and Helix Holdings I, LLC (Helix). Core Illumina consists of its core operations. Core Illumina’s products and services serve customers in the research, clinical and applied markets, and enable the adoption of a range of genomic solutions. GRAIL is engaged in developing a blood test for early-stage cancer detection. Helix was established to enable individuals to explore their genetic information by providing sequencing and database services for consumers through third-party partners.

The Company’s portfolio of integrated systems, consumables and analysis tools addresses the range of genomic complexity, price points, and throughput, enabling customers to select the solution for their research or clinical challenge. The Company offers its products and services to various customers, including genomic research centers, academic institutions, government laboratories, and hospitals, as well as pharmaceutical, biotechnology, agrigenomics, commercial molecular diagnostic laboratories, and consumer genomics companies. The Company’s products and services enable the adoption of genomic solutions in research and clinical settings. The Company provides reproductive-health solutions, including noninvasive prenatal testing (NIPT), preimplantation genetic screening and diagnosis, and neonatal and genetic health testing. The Company’s technology enables NIPT for early identification of fetal chromosomal abnormalities by analyzing cell-free deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) in maternal blood. Its preimplantation genetic screening solution is used with in vitro fertilization (IVF) to determine, before implantation, whether an embryo has an abnormal number of chromosomes. Its preimplantation genetic diagnosis technology determines which embryos are free from gene variants associated with genetic diseases.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Illumina, Inc. as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Illumina, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $277.75
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.85
  • P/E: 57
  • Future EPS Calc: $12.06
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $687.89
  • Target stock price: $427.12

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Installed Building Products Inc
Stock ticker IBP
Live stock price [stckqut]IBP[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $85.26
Target stock price (averages with growth) $124.44
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $84.53
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $84.24

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/ibp

Installed Building Products, Inc., incorporated on October 28, 2011, is a holding company. The Company is a residential insulation installer in the United States. As of December 31, 2016, the Company’s national platform included over 100 locations accessing customers in 48 continental states and the District of Columbia. The Company also installs complementary building products, including garage doors, rain gutters, shower doors, closet shelving and mirrors, which provides cross-selling opportunities to supplement the insulation installation business. The Company manages various aspects of the installation process for the customers, from the direct purchase and receipt of materials from national manufacturers, to supply of materials to job sites and quality installation. The Company’s customers include production and custom homebuilders, multi-family and commercial contractors, and homeowners.

The Company handles various stages of the installation process, including material procurement, project scheduling and logistics, multi-phase professional installation and field quality inspection. The Company offers a range of insulation materials, including Fiberglass and Cellulose Insulation, and Spray Foam Insulation. Fiberglass insulation is made of fibrous glass that is held together by a thermoset resin creating insulating air pockets. It is primarily available in two forms: batts (also referred to as blankets) and loosefill (also referred to as blown in). Cellulose insulation is made primarily of paper and cardboard. Spray foam insulation, which is generally a polyurethane foam, is applied at a job site by mixing two chemical components together in specialized application equipment.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Installed Building Products Inc as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Installed Building Products Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $55
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.16
  • P/E: 47
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.88
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $135.66
  • Target stock price: $84.23

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name MarineMax Inc
Stock ticker HZO
Live stock price [stckqut]HZO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $29.52
Target stock price (averages with growth) $43.45
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $29.52
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $29.66

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/hzo

MarineMax, Inc., incorporated on January 20, 2015, is a recreational boat and yacht dealer in the United States. Through 56 retail locations in Alabama, California, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, and Texas, the Company sold new and used recreational boats, including pleasure and fishing boats, as of September 30, 2016. The Company also sells related marine products, including engines, trailers, parts and accessories. In addition, it provides repair, maintenance, and slip and storage services; arranges related boat financing, insurance, and extended service contracts; offers boat and yacht brokerage sales, and operates a yacht charter business.

The Company primarily sells recreational boats, including pleasure boats and fishing boats. The Company also operates as a retailer of Sea Ray and Boston Whaler recreational boats and yachts, which are manufactured by Brunswick Corporation (Brunswick). It is a dealer for Meridian Yachts, and Harris aluminum boats. It is also the dealer for Azimut-Benetti Group (Azimut), for Azimut mega-yachts, yachts, and other recreational boats for the United States. The Company offers Motor Yachts, Convertibles, Pleasure Boats, Fishing Boats, Ski Boats and Jet Boats. The Company also sells used versions of the new makes and models it offers. It also provides the Brunswick Product Protection warranty plan available for used Brunswick boats less than nine years old. The Brunswick Product Protection plan applies to each qualifying used boat, which has passed a 48-point inspection, and provides protection against failure of most mechanical parts for up to three years.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in MarineMax Inc as long as the price is correct and the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of MarineMax Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $19.2
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.2
  • P/E: 16
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.98
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $47.77
  • Target stock price: $29.66

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
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GTN Gray Television, Inc. $15.8000 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
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IBP Installed Building Products Inc $56.5500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $279.2900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
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SBUX Starbucks Corporation $48.8500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
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