WellCare Health Plans, Inc. ($WCG) Possible Buy to $358 Confident Investor Rating: Good


Company name WellCare Health Plans, Inc.
Stock ticker WCG
Live stock price [stckqut]WCG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair


Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good


Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $450.76
Target stock price (averages with growth) $279.32
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $450.76
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $453.89

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/wcg

WellCare Health Plans, Inc., incorporated on February 5, 2004, is a managed care company. The Company focuses on government-sponsored managed care services, primarily through Medicaid, Medicare Advantage (MA) and Medicare Prescription Drug Plans (PDPs), to families, children, seniors and individuals with medical needs. The Company operates in three segments: Medicaid Health Plans, Medicare Health Plans and Medicare PDPs. As of December 31, 2016, it served approximately 3.9 million members in 50 states and the District of Columbia. As of December 31, 2016, it operated Medicaid health plans in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kentucky, Missouri, New Jersey, New York and South Carolina. As of December 31, 2016, it offered MA coordinated care plans (CCPs) in certain counties in Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas. As of December 31, 2016, it also offered standalone Medicare PDPs in 50 states and the District of Columbia.


Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in WellCare Health Plans, Inc. as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of WellCare Health Plans, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $291.57
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $10.13
  • P/E: 29
  • Future EPS Calc: $25.2
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $730.99
  • Target stock price: $453.88

I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.