Company name CARBO Ceramics Inc.
Stock ticker CRR
Live stock price [stckqut]CRR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $46.75
Target stock price (averages with growth) $57.2
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $58.74
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $57.07

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=crr

CARBO Ceramics Inc. is the supplier of ceramic proppant and the resin-coated sand. The Company is the provider of the fracture simulation software, and a provider of fracture design and consulting services, and a range of technologies for spill prevention, containment and countermeasures. The Company sells its products and services to operators of oil and natural gas wells, and to oilfield service companies. The Company’s products and services are primarily used in the hydraulic fracturing of natural gas and oil wells. The Company primarily manufactures five ceramic proppants. CARBOHSP and CARBOPROP are proppants designed primarily for use in deep oil and gas wells. It also sells fracture simulation software and provides fracture design, engineering and consulting services to oil and natural gas companies worldwide through its wholly owned subsidiary, StrataGen, Inc. The Company, during the year ended December 31, 2012, wound up its business in Applied Geomechanics, Inc.

 

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. My previous target for this stock was greatly exceeded but recent performance data has me questioning this company. I am removing Carbo Ceramics from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.
 

Company name Amazon.com, Inc.
Stock ticker AMZN
Live stock price [stckqut]AMZN[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=amzn

Amazon.com, Inc. (Amazon.com), incorporated on May 28, 1996, serves consumers through its retail websites and focus on selection, price, and convenience. The Company also manufactures and sell Kindle devices. It offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products on its websites and their own branded websites and to fulfill orders through them , and programs that allow authors, musicians, filmmakers, app developers, and others to publish and sell content..The Company operates in two segments: North America and International. North America segment consists of amounts earned from retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca and include amounts earned from AWS. The International segment consists of amounts earned from retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. In May 2012, the Company acquired Kiva Systems, Inc. (Kiva).
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable. I am removing this stock from my Watch List. I have reviewed Amazon on this site several times and it has bounced between Fair and Good each time. The last time I reviewed it, the stock had dropped to Fair but I left it on my Watch List due to the company’s impact on the retail sector. While the stock is still very popular, I can no longer be confident in its growth potential as it tries to return to profitability.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

Company name Morgans Hotel Group Co.
Stock ticker MHGC
Live stock price [stckqut]MHGC[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=mhgc

Morgans Hotel Group Co., is a fully integrated hospitality company that operates, owns, acquires, develops and redevelops boutique hotels primarily in gateway cities and select resort markets in the United States, Europe and in select international locations, and nightclubs, restaurants, bars and other food and beverage venues in many of the hotels it operates as well as in hotels and casinos operated by MGM Resorts International (MGM) in Las Vegas. At December 31, 2011, the Company operated a portfolio of twelve boutique hotels in New York, Miami, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Boston, and London. In addition, the Company managed a non-Morgans Hotel Group branded hotel in Playa del Carmen, Mexico. In November 2011, it sold the Sanderson and St Martins Lane hotels to Capital Hill Hotels Limited. On November 30. 2011, it purchased a 90% interest in The Light Group.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

Company name H.J. Heinz Company
Stock ticker HNZ
Live stock price [stckqut]HNZ[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $62.03
Target stock price (averages with growth) $65.45
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $54.43
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $59.59

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hnz

H. J. Heinz Company together with its subsidiaries is engaged in manufacturing and marketing a range of food products throughout the world. The Company’s principal products include ketchup, condiments and sauces, frozen food, soups, beans and pasta meals, infant nutrition and other food products. The Company’s products are manufactured and packaged to provide safe, wholesome foods for consumers, as well as foodservice and institutional customers. The Company manufactures and contracts for the manufacture of its products from a variety of raw food materials. The Company operates in five segments: North American Consumer Products, Europe, Asia/Pacific, U.S. Foodservice and Rest of World. In April 1, 2011, the Company acquired 80% stake in Coniexpress S.A. Industrias Alimenticias. In November 2, 2010, the Company acquired Foodstar Holding Pte (Foodstar).During the year ended December 31, 2010, the Company sold its Appetizers And, Inc. frozen hors d’oeuvres business.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

Company name Devon Energy Corp
Stock ticker DVN
Live stock price [stckqut]DVN[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=dvn

Devon Energy Corporation (Devon) is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development and production of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The Company’s operations are concentrated in North American onshore areas in the United States and Canada. It also owns natural gas pipelines, plants and treatment facilities in many of its producing areas. Devon is engaged in the commercial development of natural gas from shale and coaled formations, and it is a using steam to produce oil from the Canadian oil sands. During the year ended December 31, 2011, the Company drilled 1089 wells in the United States and 1045 wells in Canada. In August 2012, Crestwood Midstream Partners LP completed the acquisition of gathering and processing assets from subsidiaries of Devon.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.