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Company name Fossil Group Inc
Stock ticker FOSL
Live stock price [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $4.79
Target stock price (averages with growth) $4.21
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $4.62
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $360.61

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=fosl

Fossil Group, Inc. is a design, marketing and distribution company that specializes in consumer fashion accessories. The Company’s segments are Americas, Europe and Asia. Each segment includes sales to wholesale and distributor customers, and sales through the Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment includes sales to customers based in Canada, Latin America and the United States. The Europe segment includes sales to customers based in European countries, the Middle East and Africa. The Asia segment includes sales to customers based in Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The Company’s principal offerings include a line of men’s and women’s fashion watches and jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses and soft accessories. Its brand includes FOSSIL, MICHELE, RELIC, SKAGEN, ZODIAC, ADIDAS, BURBERRY, DIESEL and DKNY.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Fossil Group Inc. I am removing Fossil Group from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Fossil Group Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $31.28
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.89
  • P/E: 60
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.67
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $580.77
  • Target stock price: $360.61

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name EOG Resources Inc
Stock ticker EOG
Live stock price [stckqut]EOG[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=eog

EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) explores for, develops, produces and markets crude oil and natural gas primarily in major producing basins in the United States, The Republic of Trinidad and Tobago (Trinidad), the United Kingdom, The People’s Republic of China (China), Canada and, from time to time, select other international areas. The Company’s operations are all crude oil and natural gas exploration and production related. EOG’s total estimated net proved reserves include approximately 2,118 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBoe), of which over 1,098 million barrels (MMBbl) is crude oil and condensate reserves, approximately 383 MMBbl include natural gas liquids (NGLs) reserves and over 3,825 billion cubic feet, or 637 MMBoe, includes natural gas reserves. The Company’s operations are focused in most of the productive basins in the United States with a focus on crude oil and, to a lesser extent, liquids-rich natural gas plays.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in EOG Resources Inc. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable. I am removing EOG from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Deckers Outdoor Corp
Stock ticker DECK
Live stock price [stckqut]DECK[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $36.71
Target stock price (averages with growth) $31.56
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $20.87
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $44.22

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=deck

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (Deckers) offers footwear, apparel and accessories. The Company’s segments include operations of Deckers’ brands, such as UGG, Teva, Sanuk and other brands; wholesale divisions; E-Commerce business, and retail store business. It sells its UGG footwear and accessories through department stores, independent specialty retailers and online retailers. The Company sells Teva footwear through specialty outdoor and sporting goods retailers. It sells Sanuk footwear through independent action sports retailers, outdoor retailers, specialty footwear retailers and national retail chains. The Company sells other brands at specialty running stores, department stores, outdoor specialty accounts, independent specialty retailers, and through online retailers. It operate its E-Commerce business through Uggaustralia.com, Teva.com, Sanuk.com, Ahnu.com, Hokaoneone.com, Mozo.com and Tsubo.com Websites. Its retail stores segment operates UGG concept stores and UGG outlet stores.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Deckers Outdoor Corp. I am removing this company from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Deckers Outdoor Corp calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $57.61
  • Growth: 0.05
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.72
  • P/E: 15
  • Future EPS Calc: $4.74
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $71.21
  • Target stock price: $44.21

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name 3D Systems Corporation
Stock ticker DDD
Live stock price [stckqut]DDD[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ddd

3D Systems Corporation is a holding company. The Company provides three-dimensional (3D) products and services, including 3D printers, print materials, parts services and digital design and manufacturing tools. Its ecosystem supports applications from the product design shop to the factory floor to the operating room. Its precision healthcare capabilities include simulation, Virtual Surgical Planning, and printing of medical and dental devices, as well as patient-specific surgical instruments. Its brands include Accura, DuraForm, LaserForm, CastForm, VisiJet, Quickparts, Gentle Giant and Simbionix. Its customers can use 3D printing to design and manufacture parts. Its customers include companies and small and midsize businesses in a range of industries, such as automotive, aerospace, government, defense, technology, electronics, education, consumer goods, energy and healthcare. It operates through subsidiaries in the Americas, Europe and the Middle East, and the Asia Pacific region.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in 3D Systems Corporation. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable. I am removing 3D Systems from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Cummins Inc.
Stock ticker CMI
Live stock price [stckqut]CMI[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $76.8
Target stock price (averages with growth) $56.45
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $36.08
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $73.91

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=cmi

Cummins Inc. is a manufacturer of diesel engines. The Company operates through four segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. Its Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas-powered engines under the Cummins brand name, as well as certain customer brand names for the heavy-and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle (RV), light-duty automotive, agricultural and governmental equipment markets. Its Distribution segment consists of various businesses, which service and/or distribute a range of its products and services, such as parts and filtration, power generation, engines and service. Its Components segment supplies products, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment provides power generation systems, components and services for a customer base, including power solutions and mobile power solutions.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Cummins Inc. I am removing the company from my Watch List

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Cummins Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $110.61
  • Growth: 0.01
  • Current EPS (TTM): $7.55
  • P/E: 15
  • Future EPS Calc: $7.93
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $119.02
  • Target stock price: $73.9

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.