Company name Deckers Outdoor Corp
Stock ticker DECK
Live stock price [stckqut]DECK[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $36.71
Target stock price (averages with growth) $31.56
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $20.87
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $44.22

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=deck

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (Deckers) offers footwear, apparel and accessories. The Company’s segments include operations of Deckers’ brands, such as UGG, Teva, Sanuk and other brands; wholesale divisions; E-Commerce business, and retail store business. It sells its UGG footwear and accessories through department stores, independent specialty retailers and online retailers. The Company sells Teva footwear through specialty outdoor and sporting goods retailers. It sells Sanuk footwear through independent action sports retailers, outdoor retailers, specialty footwear retailers and national retail chains. The Company sells other brands at specialty running stores, department stores, outdoor specialty accounts, independent specialty retailers, and through online retailers. It operate its E-Commerce business through Uggaustralia.com, Teva.com, Sanuk.com, Ahnu.com, Hokaoneone.com, Mozo.com and Tsubo.com Websites. Its retail stores segment operates UGG concept stores and UGG outlet stores.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Deckers Outdoor Corp. I am removing this company from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Deckers Outdoor Corp calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $57.61
  • Growth: 0.05
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.72
  • P/E: 15
  • Future EPS Calc: $4.74
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $71.21
  • Target stock price: $44.21

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Deckers Outdoor Corp
Stock ticker DECK
Live stock price [stckqut]DECK[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $76.87
Target stock price (averages with growth) $69.9
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $37.88
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $75.5

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=deck

Deckers Outdoor Corporation is engaged in designing, marketing and distributing footwear, apparel and accessories developed for both everyday casual lifestyle use and high performance activities. The Company markets its products under three brands: UGG, Teva, and Sanuk. The UGG brand provides a line of footwear, with product offerings to women, men and children. Teva is its active lifestyle brand. The Teva product line includes casual sandals, shoes, boots and amphibious footwear. Sanuk is lifestyle footwear brand. The Sanuk brand is known for the SIDEWALK SURFERS shoe. Other primary offerings include the Beer Cozy and Yoga Mat sandal collections made from yoga mat material. In addition to its primary brands, the Company’s other brands include TSUBO, a line of mid and high-end dress and dress casual footwear; Ahnu, a line of outdoor performance and lifestyle footwear; MOZO, a line of footwear crafted for culinary professionals; Hoka, a line of footwear for all capacities of runners.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Deckers Outdoor Corp as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving the company on my Watch List but may take it off in the future if performance doesn’t improve.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Deckers Outdoor Corp calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $74.26
  • Growth: 0.11
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.51
  • P/E: 16
  • Future EPS Calc: $7.59
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $121.59
  • Target stock price: $75.5

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.