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Company name Allergan, Inc.
Stock ticker AGN
Live stock price [stckqut]AGN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $266.97
Target stock price (averages with growth) $259.81
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $106.31
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $248.31

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=agn

Allergan, Inc. is a multi-specialty health care Company focused on developing and commercializing pharmaceuticals, biologics, medical devices and over-the-counter products. The Company’s segments include specialty pharmaceuticals, which produces a range of pharmaceutical products, including ophthalmic products for dry eye, glaucoma, inflammation, infection, allergy and retinal disease; Botox for certain therapeutic and aesthetic indications; skin care products for acne, psoriasis, eyelash growth and other prescription and over-the-counter skin care products; and urologic products and the medical devices segment, which produces a range of medical devices, including breast implants for augmentation, revision and reconstructive surgery and tissue expanders; obesity intervention products, and facial aesthetics products. In April 2014, TauTona Group’s subsidiary Aline Aesthetics has completed the sale of its Aline hyaluronic acid (HA) thread technology to Allergan, Inc.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Allergan, Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Allergan, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $172.58
  • Growth: 0.18
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.37
  • P/E: 40
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.99
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $399.9
  • Target stock price: $248.3

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name AeroCentury Corp.
Stock ticker ACY
Live stock price [stckqut]ACY[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=acy

AeroCentury Corp. acquires used regional aircraft and engines for lease to foreign and domestic regional carriers. The Company’s portfolio of leased aircraft assets is managed and administered under the terms of a management agreement with JetFleet Management Corp. (JMC), which is an integrated aircraft management, marketing and financing business and a subsidiary of JetFleet Holding Corp (JHC). As of March 31, 2013, the Company’s aircraft and aircraft engines, which were on lease or held for lease included Bombardier Dash-8-300, Fokker 100, Bombardier Dash-8-Q400, Fokker 50, General Electric CF34-8E5 engine, Saab 340B, Saab 340B Plus, deHavilland DHC-8-100, deHavilland DHC-6, Tay 650-15 engine, General Electric CT7-9B engine and Saab 340A.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in AeroCentury Corp. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name McCormick & Company, Incorporated
Stock ticker MKC
Live stock price [stckqut]MKC[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $53.31
Target stock price (averages with growth) $61.24
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $56.18
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $55.04

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=mkc

McCormick & Company, Incorporated manufactures, markets and distributes spices, seasoning mixes, condiments and other flavorful products to the entire food industry, retail outlets, food manufacturers and foodservice businesses. The Company operates in two business segments: consumer and industrial. The Company’s sales, distribution and production facilities are located in North America and Europe. Additional facilities are based in China, Australia, Mexico, India, Singapore, Central America, Thailand and South Africa. The Company operates in two business segments: consumer and industrial. Its products are sold directly to customers and also through brokers, wholesalers and distributors. In May 2013, the Company has completed its purchase of China’s Wuhan Asia-Pacific Condiments Co.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in McCormick & Company, Incorporated.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of McCormick & Company, Incorporated calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $70.15
  • Growth: 0.05
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.02
  • P/E: 23
  • Future EPS Calc: $3.85
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $88.65
  • Target stock price: $55.04

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Helen of Troy Limited
Stock ticker HELE
Live stock price [stckqut]HELE[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $65.39
Target stock price (averages with growth) $54.41
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $36.77
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $59.71

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hele

Helen of Troy Limited is a global designer, developer, importer, and distributor of an expanding portfolio of brand-name consumer products. The Company operates in three segments: Personal Care, Housewares and Healthcare / Home Environment. Its Personal Care segment’s products include electric hair care, beauty care and wellness appliances; grooming tools and accessories; and liquid, solid- and powder-based personal care and grooming products. Its Housewares segment provides a broad range of consumer products for the home. Product offerings include food preparation and storage, cleaning, organization, and baby and toddler care products. The Healthcare / Home Environment segment focuses on health care devices. In July 2014, Helen of Troy Ltd acquired Healthy Directions, LLC and its subsidiaries (Healthy Directions), as well as other health products sold directly to consumers.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Helen of Troy Limited as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Helen of Troy Limited calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $54.49
  • Growth: 0.12
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.77
  • P/E: 19.7
  • Future EPS Calc: $4.88
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $96.16
  • Target stock price: $59.71

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name EMC Corporation
Stock ticker EMC
Live stock price [stckqut]EMC[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $25.15
Target stock price (averages with growth) $33.92
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $31.55
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $26.58

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=emc

EMC Corporation (EMC), and its subsidiaries develop, deliver and support the Information Technology (IT) industry’s range of information infrastructure and virtual infrastructure technologies, solutions and services. The Company manages its business in two broad categories: EMC Information Infrastructure and VMware Virtual Infrastructure. EMC Information Infrastructure provides a foundation for organizations to store, manage, protect, analyze and secure ever-increasing quantities of information, improve business agility, lower cost of ownership and enhance their competitive advantage within traditional data centers, virtual data centers and cloud-based IT infrastructures. Its EMC Information Infrastructure business consists of three segments: Information Storage, Information Intelligence and RSA Information Security. In July 2014, EMC acquired TwinStrata Inc, a Natick-based developer of cloud-integrated storage solutions.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in EMC Corporation as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of EMC Corporation calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $26.95
  • Growth: 0.101
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
  • P/E: 21
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.03
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $42.8
  • Target stock price: $26.58

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]