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Company name Zumiez Inc.
Stock ticker ZUMZ
Live stock price [stckqut]ZUMZ[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $32.91
Target stock price (averages with growth) $51.67
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $49.93
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $32.92

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=zumz

Zumiez Inc. (Zumiez) is a specialty retailer of action sports related apparel, footwear, equipment and accessories operating under the Zumiez brand name. As of January 28, 2012, the Company operated 434 stores in the United States and 10 stores in Canada. In addition, the Company operates a Website that sells merchandise online. At January 28, 2012, its stores averaged approximately 2,900 square feet. Its apparel offerings include tops, bottoms, outerwear and accessories, such as caps, bags and backpacks, belts, jewelry and sunglasses. Zumiez’s footwear offerings primarily consist of action sports related athletic shoes and sandals. Its equipment offerings, or hardgoods, include skateboards, snowboards and ancillary gear, such as boots and bindings. The Company also offers a selection of other items, such as miscellaneous novelties.
Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Zumiez Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Zumiez Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $27.32
  • Growth: 0.14
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
  • P/E: 18
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.94
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $53.02
  • Target stock price: $32.92

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name United Parcel Service, Inc.
Stock ticker UPS
Live stock price [stckqut]UPS[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $160.76
Target stock price (averages with growth) $221.8
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $189.18
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $141.21

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ups

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is a package delivery company. The Company delivers packages each business day for 1.1 million shipping customers to 7.7 million consignees in over 220 countries and territories. During the year ended December 31, 2012, it delivered an average of 16.3 million pieces per day worldwide, or a total of 4.1 billion packages. It serves the global market for logistics services, which include transportation, distribution, forwarding, ground, ocean and air freight, brokerage and financing. The Company has three segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package and Supply Chain & Freight. In February 2012, it acquired Kiala S.A. In February 2014, United Parcel Service acquired Polar Speed Distribution Ltd.
Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in United Parcel Service, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of United Parcel Service, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $104.08
  • Growth: 0.17
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.51
  • P/E: 23
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.88
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $227.42
  • Target stock price: $141.21

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Yahoo! Inc.
Stock ticker YHOO
Live stock price [stckqut]YHOO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $53.79
Target stock price (averages with growth) $72.92
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $58.44
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $47.37

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=yhoo

Yahoo! Inc. (Yahoo!) is a global technology company. Through the Company’s technology and insights, Yahoo! delivers digital content and experiences, across devices and globally. The Company provides online properties and services (Yahoo! Properties) to users, as well as a range of marketing services designed to reach and connect with those users on Yahoo! and through a distribution network of third-party entities (Affiliates). These Affiliates integrate its advertising offerings into their Websites or other offerings (those Websites and other offerings, Affiliate sites). Effective January 7, 2014, Yahoo Inc acquired Aviate. Effective January 24, 2014, Yahoo Inc acquired Cloud Party Inc. In February 2014, Yahoo! Inc announced the expansion of its Champaign, IL technology hub. Effective February 11, 2014, Yahoo! Inc acquired Wander LLC. Effective February 14, 2014, Yahoo! Inc acquired Distill. Effective May 13, 2014, the Company acquired Meh Labs Inc.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Yahoo! Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Yahoo! Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $34.87
  • Growth: 0.17
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.2
  • P/E: 29
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.63
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $76.29
  • Target stock price: $47.37

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]