By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name ABB Ltd (ADR)
Stock ticker ABB
Live stock price [stckqut]ABB[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $23.57
Target stock price (averages with growth) $33.67
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $33.2
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $22.69

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=abb

ABB Ltd (ABB) is engaged in power and automation technologies committed to improving performance and lowering the environmental impact for utility and industry customers. The Company provides a broad range of products, systems, solutions and services that are designed to power grid reliability boost industrial productivity and enhance energy efficiency. The Company’s power businesses focus on power transmission, distribution and power-plant automation, and support electric, gas and water utilities, as well as industrial and commercial customers. Effective September 27, 2013, ABB Ltd acquired Baldor Electric India Pvt Ltd.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in ABB Ltd (ADR).

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $24.87

Growth: 0.09

Current EPS (TTM): $1.25

P/E: 19

Future EPS Calc: $1.92

Future Stock Price Calc: $36.54

Target stock price: $22.68

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

By:
On:
In: Good company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name HCP, Inc.
Stock ticker HCP
Live stock price [stckqut]HCP[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $54.86
Target stock price (averages with growth) $65.59
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $57.21
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $39.3

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hcp

HCP, Inc. (HCP) is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company invests primarily in real estate serving the healthcare industry in the United States. HCP acquires, develops, leases, manages and disposes of healthcare real estate and provides financing to healthcare providers. The Company’s portfolio consists of investments in the five healthcare segments: senior housing, life science, medical office, post-acute/skilled nursing and hospital. The Company makes investments within its healthcare segments using the five investment products: properties under lease, debt investments, developments and redevelopments, investment management and RIDEA, which represents investments in senior housing operations. During the year ended December 31, 2011, the Company sold three senior housing facilities. In October 2012, Emeritus Corp announced that HCP closed the acquisition of 127 of the 133 senior housing communities.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in HCP, Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $35.92

Growth: 0.12

Current EPS (TTM): $1.89

P/E: 19

Future EPS Calc: $3.33

Future Stock Price Calc: $63.28

Target stock price: $39.29

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Meritor Inc
Stock ticker MTOR
Live stock price [stckqut]MTOR[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=mtor

Meritor, Inc. (Meritor) is a global supplier of a range of integrated systems and components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket for the commercial vehicle, transportation and industrial sectors. The company serves commercial truck, trailer, off-highway, military, bus and coach and other industrial OEMs and certain aftermarkets. Its products are axles, undercarriages, drivelines, brakes and braking systems. Meritor serves a range of customers globally, including medium- and heavy-duty truck OEMs, specialty vehicle manufacturers, certain aftermarkets, and trailer producers. Its new business segments are Commercial Truck & Industrial; and Aftermarket & Trailer. On January 2, 2012, it completed the sale of its Commercial Truck manufacturing facility located in St. Priest, France to Renault Trucks SAS, an affiliate of AB Volvo.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Meritor Inc. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name QAD Inc.
Stock ticker QADB
Live stock price [stckqut]QADB[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $15.35
Target stock price (averages with growth) $12.96
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $9.13
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $14.85

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=qadb

QAD Inc. (QAD) is a worldwide provider of enterprise software applications, and related services and support. QAD provides enterprise software applications to global manufacturing companies primarily in the automotive, consumer products, food and beverage, high technology, industrial products and life sciences industries. QAD software is used by over 2,500 global manufacturing companies. QAD’s enterprise resource planning (ERP) suite is called QAD Enterprise Applications, which is also known as MFG/PRO. QAD Enterprise Applications supports its global manufacturing customers business needs. QAD sells licenses to its software under a perpetual licensing model. Customers who purchase perpetual licenses deploy the application using an on premise model on their own servers. In June 2012, the Company acquired Strasbourg, France based DynaSys S.A. In December 2012, the Company acquired CEBOS, Ltd.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in QAD Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $13.8

Growth: 0.12

Current EPS (TTM): $0.23

P/E: 59

Future EPS Calc: $0.4

Future Stock Price Calc: $23.91

Target stock price: $14.84

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

By:
On:
In: Good company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Taylor Devices, Inc.
Stock ticker TAYD
Live stock price [stckqut]TAYD[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $8.53
Target stock price (averages with growth) $6.09
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $3.19
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $8.51

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=tayd

Taylor Devices, Inc. is engaged in the design, development, manufacture and marketing of shock absorption, rate control, and energy storage devices for use in various types of machinery, equipment and structures. In addition to manufacturing and selling existing product lines, the Company continues to develop new and advanced technology products. The Company manufactures and sells a single group of similar products that have many different applications for customers. These similar products are included in one of six categories: Seismic Dampers, Fluidicshoks, Crane and Industrial Buffers, Self-Adjusting Shock Absorbers, Liquid Die Springs, and Vibration Dampers. The products are manufactured at the Company’s operating facility in the United States. During the fiscal year ended May 31, 2012(fiscal 2012), 39% of the Company’s revenue was generated from sales to customers in the United States and 54% was from sales to customers in Asia.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Taylor Devices, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $8.17

Growth: 0.105

Current EPS (TTM): $0.64

P/E: 13

Future EPS Calc: $1.05

Future Stock Price Calc: $13.7

Target stock price: $8.51

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]