It is important to review your investment choices on a regular basis. If you invest in mutual funds, you should review them each February. I suggest February because you will receive your end-of-year statements by February so that you can pay taxes. You should look at these long-term investments and decide if it still fits your strategy and that your mix of investments is correct. If you want some advice on how to balance your portfolio, check out this article that I wrote. As always, I strongly suggest you confine your mutual funds to index funds rather than actively managed funds.

For stocks, the review needs to be a bit more frequent. You need to get out of stocks that no longer perform to your satisfaction. If you are not sure how to evaluate the growth rate and performance of your stocks, please consider reading my book, “The Confident Investor” as it will help you analyze companies to find the Good ones.

For the next several weeks, I will be doing a daily review of the companies on my Watch List. I will take off those companies that are no longer performing to my satisfaction. As a point of disclaimer, as quickly as possible after taking the stock off of my Watch List, I will also be selling any holding that I have in any of those poorly performing companies. If you would like to make sure you get these updates:

I regularly enjoy watching Jim Cramer of Mad Money on CNBC. One of the things that I most enjoy about him is that occasionally he admits when he is wrong. While I am not saying that I was wrong to put a company on my Watch List and then eventually take it off, I am saying that the base fundamentals of the company have changed. I am firing that company from my portfolio (I guess that makes me a little like another famous investor, Donald Trump).

Company name Morgans Hotel Group Co.
Stock ticker MHGC
Live stock price [stckqut]MHGC[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=mhgc

Morgans Hotel Group Co., is a fully integrated hospitality company that operates, owns, acquires, develops and redevelops boutique hotels primarily in gateway cities and select resort markets in the United States, Europe and in select international locations, and nightclubs, restaurants, bars and other food and beverage venues in many of the hotels it operates as well as in hotels and casinos operated by MGM Resorts International (MGM) in Las Vegas. At December 31, 2011, the Company operated a portfolio of twelve boutique hotels in New York, Miami, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Boston, and London. In addition, the Company managed a non-Morgans Hotel Group branded hotel in Playa del Carmen, Mexico. In November 2011, it sold the Sanderson and St Martins Lane hotels to Capital Hill Hotels Limited. On November 30. 2011, it purchased a 90% interest in The Light Group.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

A few days ago, I described the basics of mutual funds. In this article, I will cover the basic types of different mutual funds and how the value of a mutual fund “share” is calculated.

You can buy a mutual fund’s shares in a few different ways. Funds are often described as either “no-load” or “load” funds. The designation depends on whether or not the fund charges a sales commission.

  • Many funds are no-load funds that charge no (or a very low) sales fee or commission. No-load funds are typically sold directly to investors with ads in newspapers, magazines, and the Internet. In this case, you complete all the paperwork yourself.
  • Load funds charge a sales fee or commission for purchases. Some funds charge the fee when you buy shares; others charge when you sell them. Brokerage firms and banks often sell load funds.

You may wish to invest in mutual funds, in addition to individual companies. There are reputable funds in both categories. Because sales charges reduce your return, I recommend that investors purchase no-load funds over load funds whenever possible.

The value of a mutual fund share is calculated on the basis of the value of the assets owned by the fund at the end of every trading day. A share’s value is called the Net Asset Value (NAV). The fund calculates the NAV by adding up the total value of all of the securities it owns, subtracting the expenses of the fund, and then dividing by the number of outstanding fund shares.

Since the value of stocks and bonds owned by the fund changes daily, the fund’s value will also change daily. Therefore, a mutual fund adjusts its price once every trading day to provide investors with the most current NAV. This is different from the price of stocks because:

  • The NAV updates only once at the end of the day as opposed to every second of the day with stocks.
  • The NAV is not directly tied to the whims and moods of the market. However, since the price of a mutual fund is determined by the sum of the value of all of its components, the various market moves (however logical or illogical) of stocks, bonds, and cash that the fund owns are ultimately reflected in the NAV.

While you cannot buy a fraction of a share of a company, you can have a fraction of a mutual fund share. This happens when the amount you invest does not divide evenly by the NAV. If you send the mutual fund company a check, the managers will divide that investment by the current NAV. This results in your number of shares in the fund, even if it is a fraction. This breaks the “share” concept and demonstrates that you are simply pooling your money into a large pool.

Company name Intuit Inc.
Stock ticker INTU
Live stock price [stckqut]INTU[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $63.01
Target stock price (averages with growth) $77.62
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $61.64
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $65.54

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=intu

Intuit Inc. (Intuit) is a provider of business and financial management solutions for small businesses, consumers, accounting professionals and financial institutions. The Company’s products and services, including QuickBooks, TurboTax and Quicken help customers solve important business and financial management problems, such as running a small business, paying bills, filing income taxes, or managing personal finances. ProSeries and Lacerte are Intuit’s tax preparation offerings for professional accountants. Its Intuit Financial Services business provides digital banking solutions to banks and credit unions that help them make it easier for their customers to manage money and pay bills. The Company organizes its portfolio of businesses into four principal categories: Small Business Group, Tax, Financial Services and Other Businesses. In May 2012, the Company acquired Demandforce, which provides online tools to help small businesses engage, attract and retain customers.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

Company name Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide, Inc
Stock ticker HOT
Live stock price [stckqut]HOT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $95.71
Target stock price (averages with growth) $6.2
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $6.2
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $77.61

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hot

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide, Inc. (Starwood) is a hotel and leisure company. The Company conducts its hotel and leisure business both directly and through its subsidiaries. Its brand names include St. Regis (luxury full-service hotels, resorts and residences), Westin (luxury and upscale full-service hotels, resorts and residences), Le Meridien (luxury and upscale full-service hotels, resorts and residences), Sheraton (luxury and upscale full-service hotels, resorts and residences), Four Points (select-service hotels), Aloft (select-service hotels), and Element (extended stay hotels). The Company is organized into two business segments: hotels and vacation ownership and residential. In January 2013, the Company opened its second Westin hotel in Panama. In January 2013, it sold Aloft and Element Lexington to Rockwood Capital. In April 2013, it completed the sale of W New Orleans – French Quarter to Chesapeake Lodging Trust.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.