Apple [stckqut]aapl[/stckqut] has come under a great deal of discussion in the past week or so due to it’s ever expanding hoard of cash. Most companies hate having that much cash in the bank (or perhaps they are not fortunate enough to accumulate it) but Apple seems to really enjoy having a big savings account.

Since all the other bloggers that discuss companies and investing seem to have chimed into this conversation, I have to decided to do it as well.  Here are my suggestions:

  1. Use the cash like they have been. Apple uses its cash very effectively and very aggressively. As pointed out in PC Magazine, Apple effectively uses its cash to gain a technical advantage by locking up its supplier community in ways that their computer and device competitors such as Toshiba, Dell [stckqut]dell[/stckqut], and Hewlett Packard [stckqut]hpq[/stckqut] simply cannot afford to do. They are able to help manufacturers build their plants to create new components and lock in a pricing and supply chain that virtually locks out or delays the competition from the latest and greatest hardware advances. This competitive advantage means that they can continue to create large amounts of profit and build more cash.
  2. Increase R&D and rapidly expand their products with things that people want. Last year, Apple spent about 2.7% of revenue on R&D (and last year about 3.1%). I would like to see this grow to 7 or 8% of revenue. Yes, this is a big increase but Apple has a unique opportunity to solidify their presence in the markets that are important to them. Think what would happen if Apple had twice as many products that covered a broader spectrum of electronic experience.
  3. Increase their library. They should vastly increase their library of movies and video content to stream.  While they shouldn’t be stupid about the deals that they cut but they need to make deals with every movie and TV content holder out there. The consumer needs to feel that if they want to watch a professionally created video, Apple will always have the content. Making a ton of money in this area is not incredibly important (but don’t do it at a loss). What is more important is that they use this content to drive the sales of more multimedia devices and computers. While they are at it, they need to cut deals with the newspapers and magazines as well. Apple has had some short-sighted rules that have prevented the allegiance of those that create printed material – they need to put these rules aside.
  4. Streaming. They should make it so that they can stream to their subscribers more easily and more reliably than ANYONE else.  Supposedly they are investing in more data centers and that is a project that should be accelerated and expanded. Also, there are rumors of acquisition discussions with Hulu, this would be an acquisition that makes sense as it fits with their core offering today. Some commentators suggest that they should diversify by buying a company like Facebook but that would be ill-advised. Most companies that try to expand into vaguely related markets end up screwing up (think of EBay [stckqut]ebay[/stckqut] buying Skype).
  5. Integration with the cloud. They should make it so that integration between their products on your local network and between their products and the cloud is seamless and easy – in fact even fun.  Lion looks like it has great features in this area but they should take it to a new level. They would do well to expand that connectivity by putting a Windows application out there that makes Windows computers integrate easily and rapidly with Macs/iPhones/iPads. This doesn’t mean iTunes but instead iTunes on steroids – no cords – use the cloud, the private cloud, and the local connectivity connection of the computers.Read More →

Company name Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
Stock ticker COG
Live stock price [stckqut]COG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Fair
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $64.66
Target stock price (averages with growth) $87.46
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $59.37
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $96.4

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=cog

Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation is an independent oil and gas company engaged in the development, exploitation and exploration of oil and gas properties located in the United States. During the year ended December 31, 2010, it produced 130.6 billions of cubic feet equivalent, or 357.9 millions of cubic feet equivalent per day. During 2010, oil production was 808 thousand barrels. During 2010, it drilled 113 gross wells. During 2010, it sold various properties. In December 2010, the Company sold Pennsylvania gathering infrastructure of approximately 75 miles of pipeline and two compressor stations to Williams Field Services (Williams), a subsidiary of Williams Partners L.P. In November 2010, the Company sold certain oil and gas properties in the Texas panhandle to Kimbrel Oil Corporation and Millbrae Energy VII, LLC. In July 2010, it sold its properties in the Paradox Basin in Colorado. In June 2010, it sold its Woodford shale prospect located in Oklahoma.

Confident Investor comments: This stock price has done very well over the last year. You probably should consider this to be an aggressive or speculative investment and the growth of the stock price will make many people interested in this stock. At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

Company name Caterpillar Inc.
Stock ticker CAT
Live stock price [stckqut]CAT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $163.3
Target stock price (averages with growth) $208.99
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $149.23
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $134.13

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=cat

Caterpillar Inc. (Caterpillar) is engaged in the manufacturing of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. Caterpillar operates in three principal lines of business: Machinery, Engines and Financial products. Machinery line of business includes the design, manufacture, marketing and sales of construction, mining and forestry machinery. Engines line of business includes designs, manufactures, marketing and sales of engines for Caterpillar machinery; electric power generation systems, and marine, petroleum, construction, industrial, agricultural and other applications and related parts. Financial Products principal line of business consists of Caterpillar Financial Services Corporation (Cat Financial), Caterpillar Insurance Holdings, Inc. (Cat Insurance) and their respective subsidiaries. During the year ended August 31, 2010, Caterpillar acquired Electro-Motive Diesel, Inc. (EMD).

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

Company name DineEquity, Inc.
Stock ticker DIN
Live stock price [stckqut]DIN[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=din

DineEquity, Inc. is engaged in the development, operation and franchising of International House of Pancakes (IHOP) restaurants. The Company owns, operates and franchises two restaurant concepts in the casual dining and family dining categories: Applebee’s Neighborhood Grill and Bar, and IHOP. The franchise operations segment consists of 1,609 restaurants operated by Applebee’s franchisees in the United States, one United States territory and 15 countries outside of the United States. The company restaurant operations segment consists of 398 company-operated restaurants in the United States and one company-operated restaurant in China. The franchise operations segment consists of 1,443 restaurants operated by IHOP franchisees and area licensees in the United States, two United States territories and two countries outside of the United States. The company restaurant operations segment consists of 12 company-operated restaurants in the United States.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

Company name DG FastChannel Inc.
Stock ticker DGIT
Live stock price [stckqut]DGIT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $45.83
Target stock price (averages with growth) $81.4
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $73.69
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $45.05

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=dgit

DG FastChannel, Inc. (DGF) is a provider of digital technology services, which enables the electronic delivery of advertisements, syndicated programs, and video news releases to broadcasters, online publishers and other media outlets. DGF operates three nationwide digital networks out of the network operation centers (NOCs), located in Irving, Texas (Irving NOC), Atlanta, Georgia (Atlanta NOC) and Jersey City, New Jersey (New Jersey NOC), which link more than 5,000 advertisers, advertising agencies and content owners with more than 23,000 radio, television, cable, network and print publishing destinations and over 5,000 online publishers electronically throughout the United States, Canada, and Europe. Through the NOCs, DGF delivers video, audio, image and data content that comprise transactions among advertisers, content owners, and various media outlets, including those in the broadcast industries.

Confident Investor comments: This stock price may be significantly undervalued. It has not recovered fully from its major decline in August and September of 2010. At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.