Company name Sears Holdings Corporation
Stock ticker SHLD
Live stock price [stckqut]SHLD[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

Company name World Acceptance Corp.
Stock ticker WRLD
Live stock price [stckqut]WRLD[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $41.92
Target stock price (averages with growth) $36.02
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $32.92
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $26.34

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

Company name WellCare Health Plans, Inc.
Stock ticker WCG
Live stock price [stckqut]WCG[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.

Greg Sushinsky over at Investopedia had an article discussing the fundamentals of Potash.  I still think that POT [stckqut]POT[/stckqut] is a Good company and a good investment so I stand by my analysis of the numbers on February 15 but Greg has some interesting analysis that is worth reading.

Below is the first part of the article but you can click through here to read the entire opinion.

Potash Corp. (NYSE:POT) of Saskatchewan has seen its stock rise from a close of $104.49 per share to just over $115 per share last week. The fertilizer company’s stock has traded between $63.65 and $126.47 per share in the last 52-weeks. But is the stock a good buy on fundamentals?

A Dust Bubble Scattered?
A quick review of the last couple of years in the agriculture business found a startling commodity bubble in fertilizer. Not so long ago – 2008 in fact – Potash Corp. earned $11 a share for its fiscal year, but earnings fell to $3.25 a share in fiscal 2009. Prices for potash fertilizer had run up from a relatively stable $100 per ton in 2003-2004 to its current price of approximately $580. Potash Corp.’s stock price reflected these changes, as it shot from under $30 a share to the low $200s during the boom.

The Stock’s Fundamentals
The boom price in the $200s saw Potash Corp. trading at a PE of roughly 20. Now the multiple is about 35 times earnings, at over five times book value and an almost punitive dividend.

How about forward earnings? The company is calling for $4 to $5 earnings in 2010, less than the $6 analysts had expected. The forward multiple on this outlook would put the PE at 23 to 28.75, still pricey in a market where historical PEs have gone awry since the spate of negative earnings.

More important, this multiple exceeds the 20 PE multiple Potash Corp. carried at even its fullest earnings. So on the face of it, fundamental investors might want to simply say the stock is overvalued right now at its $115 market price. But things are not so simple.

Company name Weight Watchers International, Inc.
Stock ticker WTW
Live stock price [stckqut]WTW[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $35.2
Target stock price (averages with growth) $44.42
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $36.46
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $30.12

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.