Do not be fooled by guarantees: all investment has some level of risk! The key is to understand the risk and plan for it appropriately. In the case of an individual stock, the latter chapters of my book, The Confident Investor, will help you evaluate the company’s health and the appropriate timing in the market.

You need to make sure that you use a respectable stock broker to handle your transactions. The first check is to make sure that they are a member of the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC).

SIPC is the first line of defense in the event a brokerage firm fails and owes customers cash and securities that are missing from customer accounts. From its creation by Congress in 1970, SIPC has advanced hundreds of millions of dollars in order to make possible the recovery of assets for investors. When a brokerage is closed due financial difficulties and customer assets are missing, SIPC works to return customers’ cash, stock and other securities.

If you are about to entrust some of your funds with an individual or securities firm, it is worth your while to do a background check. It may save you both money and future aggravation.

The Central Registration Depository system (CRD) is a source that you can turn to for broker research. The CRD is a computerized database that holds the license and registration information on hundreds of thousands of stockbrokers and thousands of brokerage firms throughout the United States.

In most cases, a stockbroker must be licensed or registered. Some states may require insurance agents who sell variable annuities or variable life policies to be licensed. Therefore, these individuals’ records will be maintained on the CRD. The CRD will tell you about your stockbroker’s past, including employment history, securities examination scores, registration status, and disciplinary issues.

Company name Equinix Inc
Stock ticker EQIX
Live stock price [stckqut]EQIX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $351.22
Target stock price (averages with growth) $433.03
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $250.18
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $333.76

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=eqix

Equinix, Inc. (Equinix) connects businesses with partners and customers worldwide through a global platform of data centers. The Company connects approximately 4000 customers, across the Americas, Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) and Asia-Pacific. Platform Equinix combines international business exchange (IBX) data centers, a global footprint and ecosystems. The Company offers each customer a choice of business partners and solutions based on their colocation, interconnection and managed IT service needs. Equinix offers customers direct interconnection to an aggregation of bandwidth providers, including the Internet Service Providers (ISPs), broadband access networks and international carriers. Its customers include carriers and other bandwidth providers, cloud and information technology services providers, content providers, financial companies and global enterprises. On July 2, 2012, (the ancotel Acquisition Date), the Company acquired a privately-held company in Germany.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving this company on my Watch List for now in the hopes that the metrics improve a bit.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

If you retire at age 67, do you have enough money to spend to keep you active for another 20 years after retirement (1,040 weeks)? That is what the actuaries reasonably expect you to have to do. Can you:

  • Pay for 2 rounds of golf a week plus a cart (probably $100 per week or $100,000 for the rest of your life).
  • Take 5 plane trips per year at $400 per round trip ($2,000 per year or $40,000 for the rest of your life).
  • Stay at a decent hotel for 3 weeks on those 5 plane trips ($100 per night or $42,000 for the rest of your life).
  • Pay for dinner for two with wine at a nice restaurant twice a week ($100 per night or $208,000 for the rest of your life).

While you could say that none of this is necessary, that isn’t the point. Why would you want to cut back on the nice things in life just because you are retired? If you want luxury in retirement then you need to start planning today for that retirement lifestyle.

There are people out there that will give you a guess in how much money that you need to have saved up. Let’s do some simple math.

  Per month Per year Assumption
Mortgage and utilities $350 $4,000 your home is paid off but you still have to heat it and pay for cable and phone
Food for 2 (grocery) $1,000 $12,000 About $35 per day on home prepared food
Nice dinner for 2 $800 $10,000 $100 per night – twice per week
Recreational activity (golf, tennis, etc.) $500 $6,000 The point of being retired is to have fun
Car payment (upkeep and repair) $1,000 $12,000 You still want a nice car or maybe 2 cars
Clothes $1,000 $12,000 People that live in luxury have nice clothes
Insurance   $3,000 Can’t live without car and home insurance
5 nice vacations per year   $20,000 $4,000 per vacation with flight, hotel, etc.
Medical $1,000 $12,000 Hopefully your health and health insurance will keep it to this level
Incidentals $500 $6,000 For everything else

 

This adds up to pretty close to $100,000 per year after tax.

Most social scientists say that the upper middle class starts at $100,000 per year and that is where our quick budget above showed as well. If you retire at the young age of 67 and plan to actively live your life for another 20 years until you are 87 that would mean you need about $2,000,000. You may live until you are about 100 but you will be less active in that time of your life, so let’s assume $50,000 per year for those 13 years (you will probably drop the car, golf, and some of the vacations). That is an additional $750,000.

Do you think you will have $2,750,000 in the bank at age 67?

But is that good enough? Doesn’t the above list mean that you will still have a budget? Don’t you want to do all of the above and still have money left over for some real fun? Don’t you want to splurge a little to reward yourself for a lifetime of hard work?

We don’t want to just live well; we want to live in luxury. We don’t want to budget for anything. If we want to take an extra trip to Europe, then why shouldn’t we do that? If our daughter or son is having a new baby, we want to be able to buy a plane ticket in the morning and be there in the afternoon – and the last thing we are worried about is our bank account. Let’s bump this up to an additional 30% per year, just to make sure. Let’s plan on spending $130,000 per year during our active retirement years.

In addition, we don’t want to live in some ratty nursing home when we finally slow down. We want to live in a very nice retirement village where medical professionals and cleaning staff are available. Also, if God forbid we out-live our partner, we don’t want to be in a small room with a snoring roommate that suffers from flatulence. Let’s bump up our less active needs to $75,000 and make sure that we have enough cash to get a private suite and a young nurse to push the wheelchair.

To make this even tougher, not only will you need $130,000 per year to spend on the first year of your retirement, you will need a bit more the next year as inflation will take a slightly larger bite out of your spending. It is hard to predict exactly what inflation will grow at, but 2% should do nicely for an estimate.

Do you think you will have $3,600,000 (or more to account for inflation) in the bank at age 67?

Most people won’t have that kind of money saved up nor will they need to if they are smart about their investments while they are retired. Since you will continue to live for those 33 years until you are a centenarian, you can continue to invest. At this point, it is all about managing your cash flow and making sure that you are investing even while you are retired.

If you follow the advice of this site as well as the advice from my book, The Confident Investor, you will find that you will need less than half of that $3.6M in the bank when you retire at 67. In fact, you will be able to retire in luxury for less than $1.6M!

Let’s be honest, $1.6M is not a small amount of money to accumulate. In fact, if you only count on your own efforts to accumulate that much money in the last 20 years of your earning life, you would need to set aside $80,000 per year! If you start earlier in your life (say at the age of 30), you would need to set aside over $43,000 per year! This is a lot of money and obviously stuffing money into your piggy bank is not going to cut it!

I will show you how to manage your portfolio to allow you to live in luxury while you are retired on my site and in my book. A quick glimpse though shows that compound annual growth of S&P 500 for 1995-2010 was about 8%. A really well invested stock portfolio should be able to double that amount but most people get a little skittish about planning for 15-16% growth. We need a balanced approach that allows your capital to grow but still be there when you need it.

For the best advice, you probably should continue to read this site. You can make sure that you are receiving my updates by subscribing to me in several forums:

You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as AmazonBarnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in e-book formats for NookKindle, and iPad.

Company name Ebix Inc
Stock ticker EBIX
Live stock price [stckqut]EBIX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $30.43
Target stock price (averages with growth) $43.68
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $31.83
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $26.82

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ebix

Ebix, Inc. (Ebix) is an international supplier of software and e-commerce solutions to the insurance industry. Ebix provides a series of application software products for the insurance industry ranging from carrier systems, agency systems and exchanges to custom software development for all entities involved in the insurance and financial industries. As of December 31, 2011, approximately 77% of Ebix revenues came from on-demand insurance Exchanges. On February 7, 2011 Ebix merged with ADAM, Inc. (ADAM) with a wholly owned subsidiary of Ebix. On November 15, 2011, Ebix acquired Health Connect Systems, Inc. (Health Connect). On June 8, 2012, the Company acquired PlanetSoft, Inc. In June 2012, the Company acquired Fintechnix. In August 2012, the Company acquired TriSystems Ltd., a online insurance trading hub that facilitates commercial insurance and reinsurance transactions between London intermediaries and insurance companies.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

Company name eBay Inc
Stock ticker EBAY
Live stock price [stckqut]EBAY[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $86.1
Target stock price (averages with growth) $106.25
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $75
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $82.81

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ebay

eBay Inc. is a global technology company that enables commerce through three reportable segments: Marketplaces, Payments, and GSI. The Company by providing online platforms, tools and services to help individuals and small, medium and merchants around the globe engage in online and mobile commerce and payments, the Company can facilitate transactions. It has created an open source platform that provides software developers and merchants access to its applications programming interfaces, or APIs, to develop software and solutions for commerce. As of December 31, 2012, its Marketplaces segment had more than 112 million active users and more than 350 million listings globally, while its Payments segment had more than 122 million active registered accounts. During the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012, the Company completed three acquisitions, two of which are included in its Marketplaces segment and one in its Payments segment. In May 2012, the Company completed the sale of Rent.com.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.