By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Regis Corporation
Stock ticker RGS
Live stock price [stckqut]RGS[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ARGS&sq=rgs&sp=2&ei=HVUoU7CcG8mqqgHaeQ

Regis Corporation business is engaged in owning, operating and franchising hair and retail product salons. During the fiscal year ended fiscal years June 30, 2012 (fiscal 2012), the Company owned Hair Club. As of June 30, 2012, the Company owned, franchised or held ownership interests in approximately 12,600 worldwide locations. The Company’s locations consisted of 9,738 company-owned and franchise salons, 98 hair restoration centers, and 2,811 locations in which the Company maintains a non-controlling ownership interest of less than 100%. The Company’s hair restoration centers offer three hair restoration solutions: hair systems, hair transplants and hair therapy. On July 1, 2011, the Company acquired 31 franchise salon locations through its acquisition of a 60% ownership interest in Roosters MGC International LLC (Roosters). In October 2012, it sold its ownership interest in Provalliance. In April 2013, the Company sold its interest in Hair Club for Men and Women.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Regis Corporation. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Piper Jaffray Companies
Stock ticker PJC
Live stock price [stckqut]PJC[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $46.35
Target stock price (averages with growth) $45.13
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $38.71
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $38.04

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pjc

Piper Jaffray Companies is an investment bank and asset management firm, serving the needs of corporations, private equity groups, public entities, non-profit entities and institutional investors in the United States and internationally. The Company operates in two segments: Capital Markets and Asset Management. The Capital Markets segment provides investment banking and institutional sales, trading and research services for various equity and fixed income products. The Asset Management segment includes traditional asset management activities and related services. The Company markets the investment banking and institutional securities business under Piper Jaffray name. Its asset management business is marketed under Advisory Research, Inc. In July 2013, Piper Jaffray Companies announced that it has completed its purchase of Seattle-Northwest Securities Corporation. In July 2013, the Company announced that it has completed its purchase of Edgeview Partners L.P.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Piper Jaffray Companies.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $43.41

Growth: 0.07

Current EPS (TTM): $3.12

P/E: 14

Future EPS Calc: $4.37

Future Stock Price Calc: $61.26

Target stock price: $38.03

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

By:
On:
In: Fair company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Nordion Inc(USA)
Stock ticker NDZ
Live stock price [stckqut]NDZ[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $15.91
Target stock price (averages with growth) $50.99
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $70.46
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $10.12

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ndz

Nordion Inc. (Nordion) is a global health science company, engaged providing products and services used for the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of disease. The Company’s business segments include Sterilization Technologies and Medical Isotopes as well as certain corporate functions and activities reported as Corporate and Other. On July 13, 2013, BTG Plc announced that it has completed the acquisition of Targeted Therapies division from Nordion Inc.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Nordion Inc(USA) as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $10.29

Growth: 0.1

Current EPS (TTM): $4.4

P/E: 2.3

Future EPS Calc: $7.08

Future Stock Price Calc: $16.29

Target stock price: $10.12

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

By:
On:
In: Fair company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Lorillard Inc.
Stock ticker LO
Live stock price [stckqut]LO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $50.36
Target stock price (averages with growth) $55.01
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $43.35
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $49.22

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=lo

Lorillard, Inc. (Lorillard) is the manufacturer of cigarettes in the United States. Its Newport is a menthol flavored premium cigarette brand. During the year ended December 31, 2011, the Newport brand accounted for approximately 88.4% of its sales revenue. In addition to the Newport brand, its product line has four additional brand families marketed under the Kent, True, Maverick and Old Gold brand names. These five brands include 43 different product offerings. During 2011, it shipped 40.7 billion cigarettes, all of which were sold in the United States and certain the United States possessions and territories. Lorillard produces cigarettes for both the premium and discount segments of the domestic cigarette market. It sells its products primarily to wholesale distributors, who in turn service retail outlets, chain store organizations, and government agencies, including the United States Armed Forces. In April 2012, it acquired all of the assets of blu ecigs.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Lorillard Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $52.27

Growth: 0.09

Current EPS (TTM): $3.22

P/E: 16

Future EPS Calc: $4.95

Future Stock Price Calc: $79.26

Target stock price: $49.22

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

By:
On:
In: Commentary
Tagged: , ,
With: 0 Comments

Did you invest at the bottom of the financial crisis? This happened in March 2009. If you did invest at the bottom, you would have enjoyed a massive multi-year bull market.

The above video does a great job of pointing out the benefits of simply investing in an index fund in the equity market. It also points out the fallacy of just leaving your money in a savings account.

Several times, I have pointed out that the system that I describe in my book, The Confident Investor, actually would allow you to avoid the massive downfall in  late 2008 and early 2009. When I published the trade-by-trade analysis of The Boston Beer Company [stckqut]SAM[/stckqut], Decker Corporation [stckqut]DECK[/stckqut], and eBay [stckqut]EBAY[/stckqut], I intentionally chose a time frame that included this massive drop. As you can see by analyzing my trades during that time, I avoided the worst of the drop as my system sensed the downturn and kept my money safe.

Click through to those articles of SAM, DECK, and EBAY and you will see how efficient my system is at preserving capital and allowing you to increase your wealth over a simply buy and hold strategy. I also wrote an article about how my system works really well at finding the best companies and beating the market by 95%, if you invest at the bottom or just buy at a short-term bottom.

My system helps you to invest at the bottom of the market and avoid losing money as the market drops. For stocks that go up and down in price, it is incredibly efficient. You can almost guarantee that there will be another opportunity to invest at the bottom of a stock. Are you prepared for getting out of your stock investments before it hits bottom? Are you setup to invest at the bottom?

You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as Amazon, Barnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in e-book formats for Nook, Kindle, and iPad.