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Company name Applied Materials, Inc.
Stock ticker AMAT
Live stock price [stckqut]AMAT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $61.11
Target stock price (averages with growth) $47.8
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $47.8
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $55.63

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/amat

Applied Materials, Inc. (Applied), incorporated on March 18, 1987, provides manufacturing equipment, services and software to the global semiconductor, display and related industries. The Company’s segments are Semiconductor Systems; Applied Global Services; Display and Adjacent Markets, and Corporate and Other. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for etch, rapid thermal processing, deposition, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, wafer packaging and ion implantation. Its Applied Global Services segment provides integrated solutions to optimize equipment and fab performance and productivity, including spares, upgrades, services, certain remanufactured earlier generation equipment and factory automation software for semiconductor, display and solar products. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment includes products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays (LCDs), organic light-emitting diodes (OLEDs), upgrades and roll-to-roll Web coating systems and other display technologies for televisions, personal computers, smart phones and other consumer-oriented devices. The Corporate and Other segment includes revenues from products, as well as costs of products sold for fabricating solar photovoltaic cells and modules, and certain operating expenses.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Applied Materials, Inc. as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Applied Materials, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $39.5
  • Growth: 0.18
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.56
  • P/E: 11
  • Future EPS Calc: $8.14
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $89.58
  • Target stock price: $55.62

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Stock ticker ALXN
Live stock price [stckqut]ALXN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $167.4
Target stock price (averages with growth) $160.67
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $160.67
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $156.84

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/alxn

Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., incorporated on January 28, 1992, is a biopharmaceutical company. The Company is focused on the development and commercialization of therapeutic products. The Company’s products include Soliris (eculizumab), Strensiq (asfotase alfa) and Kanuma (sebelipase alfa). The Company’s clinical development programs include Soliris (eculizumab), cPMP (ALXN1101), SBC-103, ALXN1210 (IV) and ALXN1210 (Subcutaneous).

The Company’s product, Soliris is the therapeutic approved for patients with either paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) or atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome (aHUS). PNH and aHUS result from chronic uncontrolled activation of the complement component of the immune system. Soliris is designed to inhibit a specific aspect of the component of the immune system and treat inflammation associated with chronic disorders in various therapeutic areas, including hematology, nephrology, neurology and transplant rejection. It is a humanized monoclonal antibody that blocks terminal complement activity. It is approved for the treatment of PNH in the United States, Europe, Japan and in various other territories. It is approved for the treatment of pediatric and adult patients with aHUS in the United States, Europe and Japan.

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. as long as the price is correct and the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $127.15
  • Growth: 0.15
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.82
  • P/E: 69
  • Future EPS Calc: $3.66
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $252.58
  • Target stock price: $156.83

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
AAPL Apple Inc. $178.9700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $270.3900 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $274.7700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ADS Alliance Data Systems Corporation $143.3400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $311.4700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $127.1500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $39.5000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMN AMN Healthcare Services, Inc. $50.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $1823.2800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ANET Arista Networks Inc $255.9400 Some Concerns, may need to wait
AVGO Broadcom Inc $255.9400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $155.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc $1708.4800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CBPO China Biologic Products Holdings Inc $91.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
COHR Coherent, Inc. $113.3700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CRTO Criteo SA (ADR) $19.5000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $39.4000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CVGW Calavo Growers, Inc. $93.4700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $282.6100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
EA Electronic Arts Inc. $92.3100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
FB Facebook, Inc. Common Stock $181.0600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A $1138.6100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $18.0800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HSKA Heska Corp $74.8000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HZO MarineMax Inc $16.0800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
IBP Installed Building Products Inc $54.9600 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $312.4500 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC $136.7600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc $30.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LGIH LGI Homes Inc $71.1200 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
LRCX Lam Research Corporation $181.9000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $172.7800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MA Mastercard Inc $251.4800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. $26.3400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MKSI MKS Instruments, Inc. $74.3600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $288.3200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MTZ MasTec, Inc. $46.0500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MU Micron Technology, Inc. $34.0000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $354.3900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NSP Insperity Inc $114.8700 Some Concerns, may need to wait
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $145.1500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc $104.3100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. $43.9400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
PYPL Paypal Holdings Inc $109.8500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc $312.5600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $76.1500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Class A $198.6800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SUI Sun Communities Inc $126.1300 Strong Buy or Hold
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $69.5300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) $12.7800 Strong Buy or Hold
THRM Gentherm Inc $38.9500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TMUS T-Mobile Us Inc $77.2700 Strong Buy or Hold
TNET TriNet Group Inc $62.3300 Strong Buy or Hold
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $335.0900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc $247.6300 Strong Buy or Hold
V Visa Inc $162.6400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
WCG WellCare Health Plans, Inc. $275.5300 Very Concerned, may need to wait

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One of the biggest challenges in investing in the stock market is picking the best stocks. In my book, “The Confident Investor” I teach my readers how to pick Good Companies. This page is designed to show the raw performance of these companies. It is not designed to show my personal portfolio, which may or may not exceed the performance stated here. Since I use the trading system described in my book, you can assume that I beat the performance recorded here.

I must caution you, I do not actually propose that you “buy and hold” any given stock, but rather you should “buy to hold” the stock. My investing technique teaches you to efficiently move your money to the stocks that are currently increasing in value the most. I use my Watch List for this work, these are Good Companies that I wait for great buying opportunities. This strategy is well described in my book, “The Confident Investor” and tends to be a very safe strategy in bear markets while typically still providing above market returns in a bull or flat market.

My Short Term Watch List are 15 companies that are hot right now. I select this list every quarter. I evenly divide a portion of my portfolio among these 15 companies. The next quarter, I add or delete companies as necessary and then re-balance the portfolio. This tends to be a more risky strategy because I don’t bail out on bad stock movement (at least until the end of the quarter). In a bull market or a flat market, these very well-run and high-performing companies tend to beat the general market by a significant margin.

BL-TCI-cover

You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as Amazon, Barnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in paperback as well as e-book formats for Nook, Kindle, and iPad.

WATCH LIST STOCK RESULTS

 

Stock
Ticker		 Company
name		 Current
price		 Year
ago		 Year ago
change		 Quarter
ago		 Quarter ago
change		 Month
ago		 Month ago
change		 Week
ago		 Week ago
change
AAPL Apple Inc. $178.97 $185.74 -3.64% $173.65 3.06% $203.51 -12.06% $189.00 -5.31%
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $270.39 $394.28 -31.42% $342.87 -21.14% $274.91 -1.64% $260.48 3.80%
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $274.77 $243.56 12.81% $261.22 5.19% $281.96 -2.55% $279.85 -1.82%
ADS Alliance Data Systems Corporation $143.34 $210.31 -31.84% $173.78 -17.52% $156.09 -8.17% $145.65 -1.59%
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $311.47 $318.54 -2.22% $259.79 19.89% $317.98 -2.05% $322.61 -3.45%
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $127.15 $117.74 7.99% $133.29 -4.61% $134.57 -5.51% $130.90 -2.86%
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $39.50 $49.81 -20.70% $39.38 0.32% $44.43 -11.10% $42.48 -7.01%
AMN AMN Healthcare Services, Inc. $50.00 $54.80 -8.76% $50.90 -1.77% $51.41 -2.74% $50.27 -0.54%
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $1,823.28 $1,610.15 13.24% $1,636.40 11.42% $1,950.63 -6.53% $1,869.00 -2.45%
ANET Arista Networks Inc $255.94 $255.75 0.07% $280.53 -8.77% $320.40 -20.12% $250.12 2.33%
AVGO Broadcom Inc $255.94 $241.77 5.86% $272.52 -6.08% $310.41 -17.55% $289.89 -11.71%
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $155.00 $199.20 -22.19% $183.54 -15.55% $187.09 -17.15% $169.57 -8.59%
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc $1,708.48 $2,110.62 -19.05% $1,915.73 -10.82% $1,868.00 -8.54% $1,787.29 -4.41%
CBPO China Biologic Products Holdings Inc $91.00 $79.53 14.42% $80.79 12.64% $100.72 -9.65% $93.10 -2.26%
COHR Coherent, Inc. $113.37 $174.08 -34.87% $135.83 -16.54% $154.18 -26.47% $121.36 -6.58%
CRTO Criteo SA (ADR) $19.50 $25.34 -23.05% $27.16 -28.20% $22.11 -11.80% $20.34 -4.13%
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $39.40 $38.73 1.73% $39.44 -0.10% $47.08 -16.31% $42.20 -6.64%
CVGW Calavo Growers, Inc. $93.47 $87.20 7.19% $83.10 12.48% $94.99 -1.60% $94.89 -1.50%
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $282.61 $248.16 13.88% $252.15 12.08% $273.43 3.36% $281.25 0.48%
EA Electronic Arts Inc. $92.31 $131.85 -29.99% $98.50 -6.28% $94.47 -2.29% $97.26 -5.09%
FB Facebook, Inc. Common Stock $181.06 $184.92 -2.09% $164.13 10.31% $191.49 -5.45% $185.30 -2.29%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A $1,138.61 $1,084.08 5.03% $1,122.01 1.48% $1,277.42 -10.87% $1,168.78 -2.58%
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $18.08 $11.40 58.60% $18.16 -0.44% $22.56 -19.86% $18.60 -2.80%
HSKA Heska Corp $74.80 $101.79 -26.52% $82.92 -9.79% $76.85 -2.67% $78.13 -4.26%
HZO MarineMax Inc $16.08 $23.35 -31.13% $19.36 -16.94% $16.53 -2.72% $16.72 -3.83%
IBP Installed Building Products Inc $54.96 $61.75 -11.00% $45.65 20.39% $47.60 15.46% $54.45 0.94%
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $312.45 $266.22 17.37% $301.21 3.73% $314.04 -0.51% $307.63 1.57%
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC $136.76 $165.02 -17.13% $127.76 7.04% $130.99 4.40% $139.16 -1.72%
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc $30.00 $40.18 -25.33% $33.62 -10.77% $35.24 -14.87% $30.93 -3.01%
LGIH LGI Homes Inc $71.12 $61.10 16.40% $58.52 21.53% $68.91 3.21% $70.15 1.38%
LRCX Lam Research Corporation $181.90 $196.86 -7.60% $177.47 2.50% $206.39 -11.87% $194.16 -6.31%
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $172.78 $106.18 62.72% $150.98 14.44% $177.09 -2.43% $173.00 -0.13%
MA Mastercard Inc $251.48 $190.11 32.28% $223.69 12.42% $246.68 1.95% $252.55 -0.42%
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. $26.34 $39.82 -33.85% $28.52 -7.66% $29.33 -10.19% $27.46 -4.08%
MKSI MKS Instruments, Inc. $74.36 $111.48 -33.30% $84.50 -12.00% $101.33 -26.61% $78.01 -4.68%
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $288.32 $208.80 38.09% $240.01 20.13% $269.19 7.11% $292.17 -1.32%
MTZ MasTec, Inc. $46.05 $47.80 -3.66% $44.66 3.11% $51.19 -10.04% $46.32 -0.58%
MU Micron Technology, Inc. $34.00 $61.35 -44.58% $42.96 -20.86% $42.10 -19.24% $36.06 -5.71%
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $354.39 $351.29 0.88% $364.97 -2.90% $374.85 -5.46% $354.45 -0.02%
NSP Insperity Inc $114.87 $89.66 28.12% $125.80 -8.69% $122.44 -6.18% $113.52 1.19%
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $145.15 $248.63 -41.62% $156.94 -7.51% $178.09 -18.50% $156.53 -7.27%
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc $104.31 $65.74 58.67% $94.46 10.43% $116.38 -10.37% $106.45 -2.01%
PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. $43.94 $59.55 -26.21% $45.93 -4.33% $51.93 -15.39% $43.37 1.31%
PYPL Paypal Holdings Inc $109.85 $80.96 35.68% $96.59 13.73% $110.56 -0.64% $112.80 -2.62%
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc $312.56 $293.74 6.41% $426.15 -26.65% $343.66 -9.05% $304.94 2.50%
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $76.15 $56.65 34.42% $70.81 7.54% $77.09 -1.22% $78.91 -3.50%
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Class A $198.68 $213.56 -6.97% $168.78 17.71% $211.37 -6.01% $204.79 -2.98%
SUI Sun Communities Inc $126.13 $91.23 38.25% $112.88 11.74% $122.11 3.29% $125.36 0.61%
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $69.53 $98.43 -29.36% $81.56 -14.75% $86.54 -19.65% $70.02 -0.70%
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) $12.78 $15.32 -16.57% $14.01 -8.76% $9.93 28.70% $11.64 9.79%
THRM Gentherm Inc $38.95 $35.10 10.97% $42.78 -8.95% $41.89 -7.02% $39.74 -1.99%
TMUS T-Mobile Us Inc $77.27 $56.59 36.54% $72.53 6.54% $72.92 5.97% $75.37 2.52%
TNET TriNet Group Inc $62.33 $52.97 17.67% $62.35 -0.03% $61.63 1.14% $61.10 2.01%
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $335.09 $251.05 33.48% $310.00 8.09% $357.94 -6.38% $342.45 -2.15%
UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc $247.63 $241.59 2.50% $261.99 -5.48% $237.00 4.49% $241.38 2.59%
V Visa Inc $162.64 $130.43 24.70% $146.82 10.78% $162.68 -0.03% $164.09 -0.88%
WCG WellCare Health Plans, Inc. $275.53 $220.08 25.20% $273.81 0.63% $264.87 4.02% $274.70 0.30%

Over the last year, my Watch List returned -0.72%
Over the last quarter, my Watch List returned -0.27%
Over the last month, my Watch List returned -6.78%
Over the last week, my Watch List returned -2.27%

 

SHORT TERM WATCH LIST STOCK RESULTS

 

Stock
Ticker		 Company
name		 Current
price		 Year
ago		 Year ago
change		 Quarter
ago		 Quarter ago
change		 Month
ago		 Month ago
change		 Week
ago		 Week ago
change
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $274.77 $243.56 12.81% $261.22 5.19% $281.96 -2.55% $279.85 -1.82%
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $311.47 $318.54 -2.22% $259.79 19.89% $317.98 -2.05% $322.61 -3.45%
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $1,823.28 $1,610.15 13.24% $1,636.40 11.42% $1,950.63 -6.53% $1,869.00 -2.45%
ANET Arista Networks Inc $255.94 $255.75 0.07% $280.53 -8.77% $320.40 -20.12% $250.12 2.33%
AVGO Broadcom Inc $255.94 $241.77 5.86% $272.52 -6.08% $310.41 -17.55% $289.89 -11.71%
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $18.08 $11.40 58.60% $18.16 -0.44% $22.56 -19.86% $18.60 -2.80%
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $312.45 $266.22 17.37% $301.21 3.73% $314.04 -0.51% $307.63 1.57%
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $172.78 $106.18 62.72% $150.98 14.44% $177.09 -2.43% $173.00 -0.13%
MA Mastercard Inc $251.48 $190.11 32.28% $223.69 12.42% $246.68 1.95% $252.55 -0.42%
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $288.32 $208.80 38.09% $240.01 20.13% $269.19 7.11% $292.17 -1.32%
NSP Insperity Inc $114.87 $89.66 28.12% $125.80 -8.69% $122.44 -6.18% $113.52 1.19%
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc $104.31 $65.74 58.67% $94.46 10.43% $116.38 -10.37% $106.45 -2.01%
PYPL Paypal Holdings Inc $109.85 $80.96 35.68% $96.59 13.73% $110.56 -0.64% $112.80 -2.62%
TNET TriNet Group Inc $62.33 $52.97 17.67% $62.35 -0.03% $61.63 1.14% $61.10 2.01%
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $335.09 $251.05 33.48% $310.00 8.09% $357.94 -6.38% $342.45 -2.15%

Over the last year, my Short Term Watch List returned 17.48%
Over the last quarter, my Short Term Watch List returned 8.24%
Over the last month, my Short Term Watch List returned -5.80%
Over the last week, my Short Term Watch List returned -2.10%

Short Term List returned 17%
High growth stock: Lululemon Athletica inc. ($LULU) at 63%
Total Execution Time: 0.9153208732605 Sec