Align Technology, Inc. ($ALGN) Possible Buy to $270 Confident Investor Rating: Good

 

Company name Align Technology, Inc.
Stock ticker ALGN
Live stock price [stckqut]ALGN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good
Price growth Good
R&D growth Good
Income growth Good
Assets growth Good
Return on Assets growth Poor
Income / Rev growth Poor
TWCA Plus Good
Standard TWCA Good
Weighted ann. stock price increase Good


ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $407.56
Target stock price (averages with growth) $203.07
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $150.75
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $405.34

The following company description is from Reuters: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/algn/profile?p=algn

Align Technology, Inc., a medical device company, designs, manufactures, and markets Invisalign clear aligners and iTero intraoral scanners and services for orthodontists and general practitioner dentists, and restorative and aesthetic dentistry. It operates in two segments, Clear Aligner; and Scanners and Services. The Clear Aligner segment consists of comprehensive products, including Invisalign Comprehensive treatment that addresses the orthodontic needs of teenage patients, such as mandibular advancement, compliance indicators, and compensation for tooth eruption; and Invisalign First Phase I and Invisalign First Comprehensive Phase 2 package for younger patients generally between the ages of seven and ten years, which is a mixture of primary/baby and permanent teeth. This segment’s non-comprehensive products comprise Invisalign Moderate, Lite and Express packages, and Invisalign Go; and non-case products include retention products, Invisalign training fees, and sales of ancillary products, such as cleaning material, and adjusting tools used by dental professionals during the course of treatment. The Scanners and Services segment offers iTero Scanner, a single hardware platform with software options for restorative or orthodontic procedures; restorative software for general practitioner dentists, prosthodontists, periodontists, and oral surgeons; software for orthodontists for digital records storage, orthodontic diagnosis, and for the fabrication of printed models and retainers; computer-aided design/computer-aided manufacturing services and ancillary products, such as disposable sleeves for the wand; and iTero applications and tools. The company sells its products in the United States, the Netherlands, China, and internationally. Align Technology, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Align Technology, Inc. as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Align Technology, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $263.79
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $23.85
  • P/E: 11
  • Future EPS Calc: $59.34
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $652.81
  • Target stock price: $405.34

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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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