|Company name||Harley-Davidson Inc|
|Live stock price||[stckqut]HOG[/stckqut]|
|P/E compared to competitors||Good|
|Confident Investor Rating||Fair|
|Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario)||$51.03|
|Target stock price (averages with growth)||$48.01|
|Target stock price (averages with no growth)||$26.5|
|Target stock price (manual assumptions)||$64.96|
The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hog
Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company for the groups of companies doing business as Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) and Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS). The Company operates in two segments: the Motorcycles & Related Products (Motorcycles) and the Financial Services. The Motorcycles segment consists of HDMC, which designs, manufactures and sells at wholesale on-road l Harley-Davidson motorcycles, as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and related services. The Company offers its products to retail customers through a network of independent dealers. The Company operates across the world, including the Americas, Europe/Middle East/Africa (EMEA) and Asia-Pacific. The Financial Services segment consists of HDFS, which provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance, and insurance-related programs to the Harley-Davidson dealers and their retail customers. HDFS conducts business in the United States and Canada.
Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Harley-Davidson Inc as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.
How was this analysis of Harley-Davidson Inc calculated?
For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:
- Stock price at the time of the calculation: $51.01
- Growth: 0.12
- Current EPS (TTM): $3.71
- P/E: 16
- Future EPS Calc: $6.53
- Future Stock Price Calc: $104.61
- Target stock price: $64.95
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.