Lululemon Athletica inc. ($LULU) Cautious Buy or Hold to $74 Confident Investor Rating: Fair

Company name Lululemon Athletica inc.
Stock ticker LULU
Live stock price [stckqut]LULU[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $96.53
Target stock price (averages with growth) $99.86
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $46.54
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $90.63

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=lulu

lululemon athletica inc. is a designer and retailer of technical athletic apparel. The Company offers a line of apparel and accessories for women, men and female youth. Its apparel assortment includes items, such as pants, shorts, tops and jackets designed for healthy lifestyle activities and athletic pursuits, such as yoga, running, general fitness and dance-inspired apparel for female youth. The Company conducts its business through two channels: corporate-owned stores and direct to consumer. The Company markets its athletic apparel under the lululemon athletica and ivivva athletica brand names. As of February 1, 2015, the Company’s retail footprint included 211 stores in the United States, 57 stores in Canada, 26 stores in Australia, five in New Zealand, two in the United Kingdom and one in Singapore. The Company’s retail stores are located primarily on street locations, in lifestyle centers and in malls.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Lululemon Athletica inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Lululemon Athletica inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $66.51
  • Growth: 0.17
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
  • P/E: 35.6
  • Future EPS Calc: $4.09
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $145.95
  • Target stock price: $90.62

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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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