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Company name Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc.
Stock ticker ULTA
Live stock price [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $231.47
Target stock price (averages with growth) $252.72
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $117.06
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $221.25

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ulta
Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (Ulta) is a beauty retailer. The Company provides salon products and salon services in the United States. It offers a combination of more than 20,000 prestige and mass beauty products. As of January 31, 2015, it operated 774 stores in 47 states. The Company offers products in the categories, including cosmetics, which includes products for the face, eyes, cheeks, lips and nails; haircare, which includes shampoos, conditioners, styling products and hair accessories; salon styling tools, which includes hair dryers, curling irons and flat irons; skincare and bath and body, which includes products for the face, hands and body; fragrance; nail polish and nail care products; men’s skincare, haircare and fragrance products; private label, consisting of Ulta branded cosmetics, skincare, bath and body products and haircare, and other health and beauty products.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $157.7
  • Growth: 0.18
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.45
  • P/E: 35
  • Future EPS Calc: $10.18
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $356.31
  • Target stock price: $221.24

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Tractor Supply Company
Stock ticker TSCO
Live stock price [stckqut]TSCO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $86.37
Target stock price (averages with growth) $86.34
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $46.59
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $92.35

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=tsco

Tractor Supply Company is an operator of rural lifestyle retail stores in the United States. The Company focuses on supplying the lifestyle needs of recreational farmers and ranchers, as well as tradesmen and small businesses. As of December 27, 2014, it operated 1,382 retail stores in 49 states under the names Tractor Supply Company, Del’s Feed & Farm Supply and HomeTown Pet. It also operates a Website under the name TractorSupply.com. It offers a portfolio of products, which include equine, livestock, pet and small animal products; hardware, truck, towing and tool products; seasonal products, including lawn and garden items, power equipment, gifts and toys; work/recreational clothing and footwear, and maintenance products for agricultural and rural use. Its products are offered under various brands, which include 4health, Blue Mountain, Countyline, Equistages, Groundwork, Huskee, JobSmart, Dumor, C.E. Schmidt, Paws & Claws, Producer’s Pride and Redstone, among others.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Tractor Supply Company as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. Since the company is scoring at the low end of what I consider to be a Fair Company, I am taking them off of my Watch List for now.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Tractor Supply Company calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $83.2
  • Growth: 0.12
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.91
  • P/E: 29
  • Future EPS Calc: $5.12
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $148.72
  • Target stock price: $92.34

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Stock ticker TMO
Live stock price [stckqut]TMO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $161.81
Target stock price (averages with growth) $144.44
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $70.41
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $139.85

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=tmo

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. is a provider of analytical instruments, equipment, reagents and consumables, software and services for research, manufacturing, analysis, discovery and diagnostics. The company operates through four segments: Life Sciences Solutions, provides reagents, instruments and consumables used in biological and medical research, discovery and production of new drugs and vaccines as well as diagnosis of disease; Analytical Instruments, provides instruments, consumables, software and services that are used in the laboratory; Specialty Diagnostics, offers diagnostic test kits, reagents, culture media, instruments and associated products, and Laboratory Products and Services, offers self-manufactured and sourced products for the laboratory.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $123.24
  • Growth: 0.13
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.89
  • P/E: 25
  • Future EPS Calc: $9
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $225.23
  • Target stock price: $139.85

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Gentherm Inc
Stock ticker THRM
Live stock price [stckqut]THRM[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $69.63
Target stock price (averages with growth) $76.95
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $34.93
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $68.14

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=thrm

Gentherm Incorporated (Gentherm) is engaged in the design, development and manufacturing of thermal management technologies. The Company’s segments are: Automotive, Industrial. The Automotive segment represents Gentherm’s three geographic operating segments: North America, Europe and Asia. The Automotive segment includes automotive seat comfort systems, specialized automotive cable systems, and other automotive and non-automotive thermal convenience products. The Industrial segment includes Gentherm Global Power Technologies (GPT) and Gentherm’s advanced research and product development division. The advanced research and product development division is engaged in projects to improve the efficiency of thermal management technologies and to develop, market and distribute products based on these new technologies.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Gentherm Inc as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Gentherm Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $45.09
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.1
  • P/E: 21
  • Future EPS Calc: $5.22
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $109.73
  • Target stock price: $68.13

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Royal Gold, Inc USA)
Stock ticker RGLD
Live stock price [stckqut]RGLD[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $35.85
Target stock price (averages with growth) $41.59
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $27.14
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $56.92

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=rgld

Royal Gold, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the business of acquiring and managing precious metals royalties, metal streams, and similar interests. The Company seeks to acquire existing royalty interests or to finance projects that are in production or in the development stage in exchange for royalty interests. The Company engages in a continual review of opportunities to acquire existing royalty interests, to create new royalty interests through the financing of mine development or exploration, or to acquire companies that hold royalty interests. The Company manages its business under a single operating segment, consisting of the acquisition and management of royalty interests. The Company’s revenue and long-lived assets are geographically distributed in Canada, Chile, Mexico, the United States, Australia, Africa and Other.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Royal Gold, Inc USA as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Royal Gold, Inc USA) calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $54.47
  • Growth: 0.11
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.8
  • P/E: 68
  • Future EPS Calc: $1.34
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $91.66
  • Target stock price: $56.91

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.