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Company name Deckers Outdoor Corp
Stock ticker DECK
Live stock price [stckqut]DECK[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $66.6
Target stock price (averages with growth) $84.99
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $65.39
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $65.99

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=deck

Deckers Outdoor Corporation designs footwear developed for both high performance outdoor activities and everyday casual lifestyle use. The Company markets its products under three brands: UGG, Teva, and Sanuk. The Company sells its products, including accessories, such as handbags and outerwear, through quality domestic and international retailers, international distributors, and directly to end-user consumers both domestically and internationally, through its Websites, call centers, retail concept stores and retail outlet stores. In addition to the Company’s primary brands, its other brands include TSUBO, a line of casual footwear; Ahnu, a line of outdoor performance and lifestyle footwear; MOZO, a line of footwear that combines running shoe technology with work shoe toughness for individuals that spend long hours working on their feet, and Hoka, a line of footwear for all capacities of runner designed to alleviate fatigue, impact and muscle strain.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving this company on my Watch List but you should use a bit more caution compared to other Watch List companies.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Cummins Inc.
Stock ticker CMI
Live stock price [stckqut]CMI[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $152.39
Target stock price (averages with growth) $180.68
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $131.42
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $145.75

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=cmi

Cummins Inc. is a diesel engine manufacturer. The Company designs, manufactures, distributes and services diesel and natural gas engines, electric power generation systems and engine-related component products, including filtration, exhaust aftertreatment, fuel systems, fuel systems, controls systems, air handling systems and electric power. The Company sells its products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), distributors and other customers worldwide. It serves its customers through a network of more than 600 company owned and independent distributor locations and more than 6,500 dealer locations in more than 190 countries and territories. It has four segments: Engine, Power Generation, Components and Distribution. In April 2011, the Company sold its exhaust business to Global Tube. In July 2012, the Company acquired the emission control assets of Hilite International in Marktheidenfeld. The Hilite assets are part of Cummins Emission Solution (CES).

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving this company on my Watch List since it is one of the few manufacturers on the list. Please be a bit more cautious with this company though since the performance last year was not quite what it should have been.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Stock ticker CMG
Live stock price [stckqut]CMG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $567.72
Target stock price (averages with growth) $774.03
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $531.09
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $469.45

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=cmg

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. and its subsidiaries (Chipotle) operate restaurants throughout the United States, as well as two restaurants in Toronto, Canada and two in London, England. As of December 31, 2011, Chipotle operated 1,230 restaurants, which includes one ShopHouse Southeast Asian Kitchen. The Company’s restaurants serve a menu of burritos, tacos, burrito bowls (a burrito without the tortilla) and salads. The Company manages its operations and restaurants based on six regions that all report into a single segment. As of December 31, 2011, the Company delivered ingredients and other supplies to its restaurants from 22 independently owned and operated regional distribution centers. Chipotle categorizes its restaurants as either end-caps (at the end of a line of retail outlets), in-lines (in a line of retail outlets), free-standing or other.

 

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am taking Chipotle off of my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Caterpillar Inc.
Stock ticker CAT
Live stock price [stckqut]CAT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $134.43
Target stock price (averages with growth) $158.09
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $121.16
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $93.5

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=cat

Caterpillar Inc. (Caterpillar) is a manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates in two segments: Machinery and Power Systems, and Financial Products. Machinery and Power Systems represents a total of Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Power Systems and All Other segments and related corporate items and eliminations. Financial Products includes the Company’s Financial Products Segment. This category includes Cat Financial and Caterpillar Insurance Holdings Inc. Effective March 1, 2012, it announced that Caterpillar Japan Ltd. acquired Caterpillar Tohoku Ltd. In August 2012, Platinum Equity, LLC. acquired a majority interest in Caterpillar Logistics Services. Caterpillar will retain a 35% interest in the business. In October 2012, Finning International Inc acquired from Caterpillar of the former Bucyrus distribution and support business in its dealership territory.

 

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am removing Caterpillar from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.
 

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Company name Balchem Corporation
Stock ticker BCPC
Live stock price [stckqut]BCPC[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $48.53
Target stock price (averages with growth) $56.04
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $41.76
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $46.22

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=bcpc

Balchem Corporation (Balchem) is engaged in the development, manufacture and marketing of specialty performance ingredients and products for the food, nutritional, feed, pharmaceutical and medical sterilization industries. The Company has three reportable segments: Specialty Products, Food, Pharma & Nutrition, and Animal Nutrition & Health. The Company sells its products through its own sales force, independent distributors and sales agents. The Company operates five wholly owned domestic subsidiaries, such as BCP Ingredients, Inc., Aberco, Inc., Balchem BV, Balchem Trading BV and Balchem Italia Srl. The Food, Pharma & Nutrition (FPN) segment provides microencapsulation solutions to a variety of applications in food, pharmaceutical and nutritional ingredients to enhance performance of nutritional fortification, processing, mixing, and packaging applications and shelf-life. Balchem’s Specialty Products segment operates in industry as ARC Specialty Products.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving this company on my Watch List since it barely missed a Good company rating. Also, my list is very low on industrials and I am hesitant to cut one at this time.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.