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Company name Booking Holdings Inc.
Stock ticker BKNG
Live stock price [stckqut]BKNG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $2579.85
Target stock price (averages with growth) $3501.01
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $2616.67
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $2564.84

 

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/bkng

Booking Holdings Inc., formerly The Priceline Group Inc., incorporated on July 30, 1998, is a provider of travel and restaurant online reservation and related services. The Company, through its online travel companies (OTCs), connects consumers wishing to make travel reservations with providers of travel services across the world. It offers consumers an array of accommodation reservations (including hotels, bed and breakfasts, hostels, apartments, vacation rentals and other properties) through its Booking.com, priceline.com, and agoda.com brands. Its other brands include KAYAK, Rentalcars.com and OpenTable, Inc. (OpenTable).

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Booking Holdings Inc. as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Booking Holdings Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $2071.99
  • Growth: 0.15
  • Current EPS (TTM): $50.09
  • P/E: 41
  • Future EPS Calc: $100.74
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $4130.7
  • Target stock price: $2564.84

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
AAPL Apple Inc. $188.5900 Strong Buy or Hold
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $372.6800 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $241.8800 Strong Buy or Hold
ADS Alliance Data Systems Corporation $208.0500 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $286.4900 Strong Buy or Hold
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $119.6600 Strong Buy or Hold
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $54.8400 Strong Buy or Hold
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $1602.9100 Strong Buy or Hold
ANET Arista Networks Inc $259.9100 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $194.3600 Strong Buy or Hold
BKNG Booking Holdings $2071.9900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CBPO China Biologic Products Holdings, Inc. $84.5200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CEVA CEVA, Inc. $30.8000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
COF Capital One Financial Corp. $92.6300 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
CRTO Criteo SA (ADR) $26.6900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $38.9200 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. $177.4000 Strong Buy or Hold
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $249.9100 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp $138.1100 Strong Buy or Hold
EXR Extra Space Storage, Inc. $95.2500 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
FB Facebook Inc $186.9900 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. $66.1600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GOOGL Alphabet Inc $1103.3800 Strong Buy or Hold
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $11.7500 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
GWR Genesee & Wyoming Inc $77.2800 Strong Buy or Hold
HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. $2.6250 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HSKA Heska Corp $92.8900 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
HZO MarineMax Inc $23.5000 Strong Buy or Hold
IBP Installed Building Products Inc $59.3000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $266.9900 Strong Buy or Hold
LGIH LGI Homes Inc $62.1800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LRCX Lam Research Corporation $201.5500 Strong Buy or Hold
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $98.5400 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
MCK McKesson Corporation $149.2100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. $42.4000 Strong Buy or Hold
MIDD Middleby Corp $107.3200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $205.7300 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. $59.6900 Strong Buy or Hold
MU Micron Technology, Inc. $51.8200 Strong Buy or Hold
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $326.4600 Strong Buy or Hold
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $254.5300 Strong Buy or Hold
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc $306.9400 Some Concerns, may need to wait
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $57.2700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SCHW Charles Schwab Corp $59.4600 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. $220.2300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SUI Sun Communities Inc $94.1100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $97.0100 Strong Buy or Hold
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) $17.2500 Some Concerns, may need to wait
THRM Gentherm Inc $34.8500 Strong Buy or Hold
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. $216.5500 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
TMUS T-Mobile US Inc $56.3900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TNET TriNet Group Inc $53.2500 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
UNH United HealthGroup Inc $ Very Concerned, may need to wait
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $250.0000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon

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One of the biggest challenges in investing in the stock market is picking the best stocks. In my book, “The Confident Investor” I teach my readers how to pick Good Companies. This page is designed to show the raw performance of these companies. It is not designed to show my personal portfolio, which may or may not exceed the performance stated here. Since I use the trading system described in my book, you can assume that I beat the performance recorded here.

I must caution you, I do not actually propose that you “buy and hold” any given stock, but rather you should “buy to hold” the stock. My investing technique teaches you to efficiently move your money to the stocks that are currently increasing in value the most. I use my Watch List for this work, these are Good Companies that I wait for great buying opportunities. This strategy is well described in my book, “The Confident Investor” and tends to be a very safe strategy in bear markets while typically still providing above market returns in a bull or flat market.

My Short Term Watch List are 15 companies that are hot right now. I select this list every quarter. I evenly divide a portion of my portfolio among these 15 companies. The next quarter, I add or delete companies as necessary and then re-balance the portfolio. This tends to be a more risky strategy because I don’t bail out on bad stock movement (at least until the end of the quarter). In a bull market or a flat market, these very well-run and high-performing companies tend to beat the general market by a significant margin.

BL-TCI-cover

You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as Amazon, Barnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in paperback as well as e-book formats for Nook, Kindle, and iPad.

WATCH LIST STOCK RESULTS

 

Stock
Ticker		 Company
name		 Current
price		 Year
ago		 Year ago
change		 Quarter
ago		 Quarter ago
change		 Month
ago		 Month ago
change		 Week
ago		 Week ago
change
AAPL Apple Inc. $188.59 $153.69 22.70% $163.71 15.20% $174.06 8.35% $183.12 2.99%
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $372.68 $131.42 183.58% $233.99 59.27% $296.74 25.59% $349.28 6.70%
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $241.88 $136.84 76.76% $193.48 25.02% $224.06 7.95% $228.51 5.85%
ADS Alliance Data Systems Corporation $208.05 $241.12 -13.71% $245.59 -15.28% $205.42 1.28% $196.48 5.89%
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $286.49 $138.67 106.60% $233.73 22.57% $261.72 9.46% $258.97 10.63%
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $119.66 $120.08 -0.35% $113.97 4.99% $111.38 7.43% $116.81 2.44%
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $54.84 $43.10 27.25% $49.46 10.87% $56.07 -2.19% $52.56 4.34%
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $1,602.91 $961.35 66.74% $1,414.51 13.32% $1,430.79 12.03% $1,580.95 1.39%
ANET Arista Networks Inc $259.91 $146.82 77.03% $292.58 -11.17% $244.20 6.43% $245.05 6.06%
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $194.36 $120.34 61.51% $179.25 8.43% $172.04 12.97% $188.89 2.90%
BKNG Booking Holdings $2,071.99 $1,818.18 13.96% $1,797.86 15.25% $2,085.86 -0.66% $2,175.71 -4.77%
CBPO China Biologic Products Holdings, Inc. $84.52 $110.17 -23.28% $79.73 6.01% $85.84 -1.54% $86.51 -2.30%
CEVA CEVA, Inc. $30.80 $42.65 -27.78% $35.65 -13.60% $36.45 -15.50% $34.25 -10.07%
COF Capital One Financial Corp. $92.63 $77.99 18.77% $94.90 -2.39% $95.98 -3.49% $88.68 4.46%
CRTO Criteo SA (ADR) $26.69 $53.61 -50.21% $23.39 14.11% $27.52 -3.02% $27.24 -2.02%
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $38.92 $63.98 -39.17% $42.15 -7.66% $39.28 -0.92% $39.29 -0.94%
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. $177.40 $116.65 52.08% $162.15 9.40% $173.85 2.04% $174.25 1.81%
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $249.91 $193.42 29.21% $207.50 20.44% $230.32 8.51% $248.24 0.67%
EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp $138.11 $110.59 24.88% $127.35 8.45% $137.84 0.20% $134.77 2.48%
EXR Extra Space Storage, Inc. $95.25 $69.71 36.65% $81.84 16.39% $87.08 9.38% $92.19 3.32%
FB Facebook Inc $186.99 $150.33 24.39% $173.15 7.99% $164.52 13.66% $176.61 5.88%
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. $65.42 $64.21 1.87% $80.21 -18.45% $75.22 -13.04% $65.42 -0.01%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc $1,103.38 $955.14 15.52% $1,054.14 4.67% $1,036.04 6.50% $1,051.00 4.98%
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $11.75 $12.70 -7.48% $15.45 -23.95% $11.40 3.07% $10.90 7.80%
GWR Genesee & Wyoming Inc $77.28 $64.40 20.00% $70.41 9.76% $71.07 8.74% $74.10 4.29%
HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. $2.63 $7.80 -66.35% $5.79 -54.66% $4.42 -40.61% $3.96 -33.71%
HSKA Heska Corp $91.89 $95.23 -3.51% $58.36 57.45% $77.98 17.84% $89.40 2.79%
HZO MarineMax Inc $23.28 $18.65 24.80% $21.45 8.51% $18.60 25.13% $22.85 1.86%
IBP Installed Building Products Inc $59.65 $47.25 26.24% $61.50 -3.01% $52.05 14.60% $58.30 2.32%
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $265.39 $182.38 45.51% $220.44 20.39% $241.44 9.92% $244.82 8.40%
LGIH LGI Homes Inc $62.21 $31.75 95.94% $64.18 -3.07% $69.87 -10.96% $73.23 -15.05%
LRCX Lam Research Corporation $201.98 $148.00 36.47% $172.15 17.33% $203.74 -0.87% $195.47 3.33%
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $98.08 $53.12 84.64% $77.27 26.93% $91.71 6.95% $95.49 2.71%
MCK McKesson Corporation $147.87 $143.35 3.16% $145.85 1.39% $142.85 3.51% $146.82 0.72%
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. $42.25 $41.10 2.80% $38.59 9.48% $38.95 8.47% $40.25 4.97%
MIDD Middleby Corp $107.32 $134.68 -20.31% $130.45 -17.73% $122.43 -12.34% $126.46 -15.14%
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $205.73 $184.95 11.24% $192.90 6.65% $201.65 2.02% $201.32 2.19%
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. $59.68 $61.58 -3.09% $54.42 9.66% $57.17 4.39% $57.75 3.34%
MU Micron Technology, Inc. $51.82 $28.93 79.12% $42.63 21.56% $52.23 -0.78% $47.58 8.91%
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $326.46 $160.81 103.01% $258.27 26.40% $311.65 4.75% $320.09 1.99%
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $254.53 $127.48 99.66% $232.49 9.48% $231.50 9.95% $239.06 6.47%
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc $306.94 $442.05 -30.56% $324.57 -5.43% $321.56 -4.55% $291.25 5.39%
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $57.27 $58.71 -2.45% $55.38 3.42% $58.93 -2.82% $57.38 -0.19%
SCHW Charles Schwab Corp $59.46 $39.32 51.24% $51.06 16.44% $50.95 16.69% $56.00 6.19%
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. $220.22 $176.64 24.67% $212.76 3.51% $223.15 -1.31% $220.54 -0.15%
SUI Sun Communities Inc $94.11 $81.70 15.19% $85.08 10.62% $91.34 3.03% $94.14 -0.03%
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $97.01 $101.60 -4.52% $103.27 -6.06% $98.47 -1.48% $96.20 0.84%
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) $17.25 $14.98 15.15% $20.74 -16.83% $20.35 -15.23% $16.89 2.13%
THRM Gentherm Inc $34.85 $38.25 -8.89% $30.65 13.70% $35.30 -1.27% $34.45 1.16%
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. $216.55 $170.97 26.66% $203.34 6.50% $214.35 1.03% $210.07 3.08%
TMUS T-Mobile US Inc $56.39 $65.55 -13.97% $57.69 -2.25% $61.95 -8.97% $57.26 -1.52%
TNET TriNet Group Inc $53.25 $30.83 72.72% $41.12 29.50% $48.34 10.16% $52.25 1.91%
UNH United HealthGroup Inc $238.28 $169.33 40.72% $225.89 5.49% $224.28 6.24% $235.90 1.01%
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $250.00 $297.55 -15.98% $206.79 20.90% $220.88 13.18% $253.74 -1.47%

Over the last year, my Watch List returned 26.28%
Over the last quarter, my Watch List returned 10.62%
Over the last month, my Watch List returned 5.03%
Over the last week, my Watch List returned 1.42%

 

SHORT TERM WATCH LIST STOCK RESULTS

 

Stock
Ticker		 Company
name		 Current
price		 Year
ago		 Year ago
change		 Quarter
ago		 Quarter ago
change		 Month
ago		 Month ago
change		 Week
ago		 Week ago
change
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $372.68 $131.42 183.58% $233.99 59.27% $296.74 25.59% $349.28 6.70%
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $241.88 $136.84 76.76% $193.48 25.02% $224.06 7.95% $228.51 5.85%
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $286.49 $138.67 106.60% $233.73 22.57% $261.72 9.46% $258.97 10.63%
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $54.84 $43.10 27.25% $49.46 10.87% $56.07 -2.19% $52.56 4.34%
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $1,602.91 $961.35 66.74% $1,414.51 13.32% $1,430.79 12.03% $1,580.95 1.39%
ANET Arista Networks Inc $259.91 $146.82 77.03% $292.58 -11.17% $244.20 6.43% $245.05 6.06%
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $194.36 $120.34 61.51% $179.25 8.43% $172.04 12.97% $188.89 2.90%
IBP Installed Building Products Inc $59.65 $47.25 26.24% $61.50 -3.01% $52.05 14.60% $58.30 2.32%
LGIH LGI Homes Inc $62.21 $31.75 95.94% $64.18 -3.07% $69.87 -10.96% $73.23 -15.05%
LRCX Lam Research Corporation $201.98 $148.00 36.47% $172.15 17.33% $203.74 -0.87% $195.47 3.33%
MU Micron Technology, Inc. $51.82 $28.93 79.12% $42.63 21.56% $52.23 -0.78% $47.58 8.91%
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $326.46 $160.81 103.01% $258.27 26.40% $311.65 4.75% $320.09 1.99%
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $254.53 $127.48 99.66% $232.49 9.48% $231.50 9.95% $239.06 6.47%
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) $17.25 $14.98 15.15% $20.74 -16.83% $20.35 -15.23% $16.89 2.13%
TNET TriNet Group Inc $53.25 $30.83 72.72% $41.12 29.50% $48.34 10.16% $52.25 1.91%

Over the last year, my Short Term Watch List returned 78.10%
Over the last quarter, my Short Term Watch List returned 15.76%
Over the last month, my Short Term Watch List returned 9.93%
Over the last week, my Short Term Watch List returned 3.41%

Short Term List returned 78%
High growth stock: ABIOMED, Inc. ($ABMD) at 184%
Total Execution Time: 3.3802149295807 Sec

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Company name Acuity Brands, Inc.
Stock ticker AYI
Live stock price [stckqut]AYI[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $64.26
Target stock price (averages with growth) $83.08
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $86.44
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $97.45

 

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/ayi

Acuity Brands, Inc., incorporated on September 20, 2007, is a provider of lighting solutions for commercial, institutional, industrial, infrastructure and residential applications throughout North America and other international markets. The Company operates through North American segment. The Company’s lighting and building management solutions vary from individual devices to intelligent network systems. Its individual devices include luminaires, lighting controls, lighting components, controllers for various building systems (including heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC), lighting, shades and access control), power supplies and prismatic skylights. The Company’s lighting and building management solutions are marketed under various brand names, including Lithonia Lighting, Holophane, Peerless, Gotham, Mark Architectural Lighting, Winona Lighting, Juno, Indy, AccuLite, Aculux, Healthcare Lighting, Hydrel, American Electric Lighting, Carandini, Antique Street Lamps, Sunoptics, RELOC Wiring Solutions, eldoLED, Distech Controls and Acuity Controls. Through its subsidiary, IOTA Engineering, L.L.C., the Company provides emergency lighting products and power equipment.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Acuity Brands, Inc. as long as the price is correct and the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I believe there are more deserving companies on the market, so I am deleting Acuity from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Acuity Brands, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $114.34
  • Growth: 0.06
  • Current EPS (TTM): $7.33
  • P/E: 16
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.8
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $156.94
  • Target stock price: $97.45

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Arista Networks Inc
Stock ticker ANET
Live stock price [stckqut]ANET[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $401.44
Target stock price (averages with growth) $591.
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $401.44
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $403.72

 

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/anet

Arista Networks, Inc., incorporated on December 2, 2011, is a supplier of cloud networking solutions that use software innovations to address the needs of Internet companies, cloud service providers and data centers for enterprise support. The Company develops, markets and sells cloud networking solutions, which consist of its Gigabit Ethernet switches and related software. The Company’s cloud networking solutions consist of its Extensible Operating System (EOS), a set of network applications and its Ethernet switching and routing platforms. The programmability of EOS has allowed the Company to create a set of software applications that address the requirements of cloud networking, including workflow automation, network visibility, and analytics, and has also allowed it to integrate with a range of third-party applications for virtualization, management, automation, orchestration and network services. EOS supports cloud and virtualization solutions, including VMware NSX, Microsoft System Center, OpenStack and other cloud management frameworks.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Arista Networks Inc as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Arista Networks Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $259.91
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $6.7
  • P/E: 39
  • Future EPS Calc: $16.67
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $650.19
  • Target stock price: $403.72

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.