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Company name Lululemon Athletica inc.
Stock ticker LULU
Live stock price [stckqut]LULU[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $60.24
Target stock price (averages with growth) $96.53
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $85.7
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $62.4

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=lulu

lululemon athletica inc. is a designer and retailer of technical athletic apparel operating primarily in North America and Australia. The Company’s yoga-inspired apparel is marketed under the lululemon athletica brand name. The Company offers a range of performance apparel and accessories for women, men and female youth. Its apparel assortment, including items, such as fitness pants, shorts, tops and jackets, is designed for healthy lifestyle activities such as yoga, running and general fitness. The Company’s fitness-related accessories include an array of items, such as bags, socks, underwear, yoga mats, instructional yoga digital versatile discs (DVDs) and water bottles. As of January 29, 2012, its branded apparel was principally sold through 174 stores that are located in Canada, the United States, Australia and New Zealand.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Lululemon Athletica inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Lululemon Athletica inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $45.38

Growth: 0.18

Current EPS (TTM): $1.91

P/E: 23

Future EPS Calc: $4.36

Future Stock Price Calc: $100.5

Target stock price: $62.4

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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I am currently going through my Watch List to ensure that each company still deserves to be on the list. Because of the number of companies on my list, I am going to try to knock out 2 per weekday.

Company name Atlas Pipeline Partners, L.P.
Stock ticker APL
Live stock price [stckqut]APL[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=apl

Atlas Pipeline Partners, L.P. is a provider of natural gas gathering and processing services in the Anadarko and Permian Basins located in the southwestern and mid-continent regions of the United States; a provider of natural gas gathering services in the Appalachian Basin in the northeastern region of the United States and a provider of natural gas liquid (NGL) transportation services in the southwestern region of the United States. Its general partner, Atlas Pipeline Partners GP, LLC (Atlas Pipeline GP), manages its operations and activities through its ownership of its general partner interest. Atlas Pipeline GP is a wholly owned subsidiary of Atlas Energy, L.P, as well as the 2% general partner interest. In May 2013, Atlas Pipeline Partners LP acquired the entire share capital of TEAK Midstream LLC from NGP Energy Capital Management LLC.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Atlas Pipeline Partners, L.P. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable. I am removing the company from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Regis Corporation
Stock ticker RGS
Live stock price [stckqut]RGS[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ARGS&sq=rgs&sp=2&ei=HVUoU7CcG8mqqgHaeQ

Regis Corporation business is engaged in owning, operating and franchising hair and retail product salons. During the fiscal year ended fiscal years June 30, 2012 (fiscal 2012), the Company owned Hair Club. As of June 30, 2012, the Company owned, franchised or held ownership interests in approximately 12,600 worldwide locations. The Company’s locations consisted of 9,738 company-owned and franchise salons, 98 hair restoration centers, and 2,811 locations in which the Company maintains a non-controlling ownership interest of less than 100%. The Company’s hair restoration centers offer three hair restoration solutions: hair systems, hair transplants and hair therapy. On July 1, 2011, the Company acquired 31 franchise salon locations through its acquisition of a 60% ownership interest in Roosters MGC International LLC (Roosters). In October 2012, it sold its ownership interest in Provalliance. In April 2013, the Company sold its interest in Hair Club for Men and Women.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Regis Corporation. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Chevron Corporation
Stock ticker CVX
Live stock price [stckqut]CVX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $94.25
Target stock price (averages with growth) $99.09
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $86.44
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $121.88

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=cvx

Chevron Corporation (Chevron) manages its investments in subsidiaries and affiliates and provides administrative, financial, management and technology support to the United States and international subsidiaries that engage in fully integrated petroleum operations, chemicals operations, mining activities, power generation and energy services. Upstream operations consist primarily of exploring for, developing and producing crude oil and natural gas; processing, transportation and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by international oil export pipelines; transporting, storage and marketing of natural gas, and a gas-to-liquids project. Downstream operations consist primarily of refining crude oil into petroleum products; transporting crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment and rail car, and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses and fuel and lubricant additives.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Chevron Corporation as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $111.69

Growth: 0.1

Current EPS (TTM): $11.08

P/E: 11

Future EPS Calc: $17.84

Future Stock Price Calc: $196.28

Target stock price: $121.88

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Lululemon Athletica inc.
Stock ticker LULU
Live stock price [stckqut]LULU[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $72.51
Target stock price (averages with growth) $129.57
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $119.85
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $65.12

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=lulu

lululemon athletica inc. is a designer and retailer of technical athletic apparel operating primarily in North America and Australia. The Company’s yoga-inspired apparel is marketed under the lululemon athletica brand name. The Company offers a range of performance apparel and accessories for women, men and female youth. Its apparel assortment, including items, such as fitness pants, shorts, tops and jackets, is designed for healthy lifestyle activities such as yoga, running and general fitness. The Company’s fitness-related accessories include an array of items, such as bags, socks, underwear, yoga mats, instructional yoga digital versatile discs (DVDs) and water bottles. As of January 29, 2012, its branded apparel was principally sold through 174 stores that are located in Canada, the United States, Australia and New Zealand.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Lululemon Athletica inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $46.98

Growth: 0.18

Current EPS (TTM): $1.91

P/E: 24

Future EPS Calc: $4.36

Future Stock Price Calc: $104.87

Target stock price: $65.11

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]