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Several times a year, a Confident Investor must reevaluate the companies in the portfolio. Keeping your money in a stock that no longer qualifies as a “Good” company can end up hurting your investment performance a great deal.  Also, there are a lot of Good Companies so losing the worst of the best is not going to impact the ability to have a balanced portfolio.  Over the coming days, this site will evaluate each stock on the Watch List.

 

Company name Peet’s Coffee & Tea, Inc.
Stock ticker PEET
Live stock price [stckqut]PEET[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $51.77
Target stock price (averages with growth) $71.08
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $56.03
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $57.55

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=peet
Peet’s Coffee & Tea, Inc. (Peet’s) is a specialty coffee roaster and marketer of fresh roasted whole bean coffee and tea. The Company sells its coffee through multiple channels of distribution, including grocery stores, home delivery, office, restaurant and food service accounts and Company-owned and operated stores in six states. The Company operates its business through two segments: retail and specialty sales. As of January 3, 2010, the Company operated 192 retail stores in six states, through which the Company sells whole bean coffee, beverages and pastries, tea and other related items. Its stores are designed to facilitate the sale of fresh whole bean coffee and to encourage customer trial of its coffee through coffee beverages. Each store has a staff person at the bean counter to take orders and assist customers with questions on coffee origins and on home brewing.

 

Confident Investor comments: I have reviewed PEET 3 times to date on this site. The first time, I rated the company as Good and then it fell to Fair but I left it on my Watch List.  I can no longer leave it on the Watch List as a Fair Company. At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

 

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Several times a year, a Confident Investor must reevaluate the companies in the portfolio. Keeping your money in a stock that no longer qualifies as a “Good” company can end up hurting your investment performance a great deal.  Also, there are a lot of Good Companies so losing the worst of the best is not going to impact the ability to have a balanced portfolio.  Over the coming days, this site will evaluate each stock on the Watch List.

 

Company name priceline.com Incorporated
Stock ticker PCLN
Live stock price [stckqut]PCLN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $797.2
Target stock price (averages with growth) $971.96
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $549.83
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $802.65

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pcln
priceline.com Incorporated (priceline.com) is an online travel company, which offers a range of travel services, including hotel rooms, car rentals, airline tickets, vacation packages, cruises and destination services. Internationally, the Company offer customers hotel room reservations in over 90 countries and 32 languages. In the United States, priceline.com offer the customers the ability to purchase travel services in a price-disclosed manner or the opportunity to use the Name Your Own Price service, which allows the customers to make offers for travel services at discounted prices. The subsidiaries of the Company include Lowestfare.com LLC and Travelweb LLC. In May 2010, the Company acquired TravelJigsaw LTD.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

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Several times a year, a Confident Investor must reevaluate the companies in the portfolio. Keeping your money in a stock that no longer qualifies as a “Good” company can end up hurting your investment performance a great deal.  Also, there are a lot of Good Companies so losing the worst of the best is not going to impact the ability to have a balanced portfolio.  Over the coming days, this site will evaluate each stock on the Watch List.

 

Company name Petroleo Brasileiro SA (ADR)
Stock ticker PBR
Live stock price [stckqut]PBR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Fair
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $40.9
Target stock price (averages with growth) $53.92
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $55.34
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $34.4

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pbr
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras) is an integrated oil and gas company. The Company operates in five segments: exploration and production; refining, transportation and marketing; distribution; gas and power, and international. The exploration and production segment includes oil and gas exploration, development and production in Brazil. The refining, transportation and marketing segment includes downstream activities in Brazil, including refining, logistics, transportation, oil products and crude oil exports and imports, petrochemicals and fertilizers. The distribution segment includes distribution of oil products through the BR retail network in Brazil. The gas and power segment includes gas transportation and distribution, electric power generation using natural gas and renewable energy sources. The international segment includes exploration and production, refining, transportation and marketing, distribution and gas and power operations outside of Brazil.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

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Several times a year, a Confident Investor must reevaluate the companies in the portfolio. Keeping your money in a stock that no longer qualifies as a “Good” company can end up hurting your investment performance a great deal.  Also, there are a lot of Good Companies so losing the worst of the best is not going to impact the ability to have a balanced portfolio.  Over the coming days, this site will evaluate each stock on the Watch List.

 

Company name NRG Energy, Inc.
Stock ticker NRG
Live stock price [stckqut]NRG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $28.18
Target stock price (averages with growth) $26.79
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $21.08
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $24.16

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=nrg
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is a wholesale power generation company. It is engaged in the ownership, development, construction and operation of power generation facilities, the transacting in and trading of fuel and transportation services, the trading of energy, capacity and related products in the United States and select international markets, and the supply of electricity and energy services to retail electricity customers in the Texas market. On May 1, 2009, the Company completed the acquisition of Reliant Energy, Inc. (Reliant Energy). On November 20, 2009, NRG, through its subsidiary NRG Solar LLC, acquired FSE Blythe 1, LLC (Blythe Solar) from First Solar, Inc. On November 9, 2009, NRG, through its wholly owned subsidiary, NRG Bluewater Holdings LLC, completed the acquisition of a 100% interest in the subsidiaries of Bluewater Wind LLC. In December 2009, NRG completed its Langford project, a 150 megawatt wind farm located in Tom Green, Irion, and Schleicher Counties, Texas.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. This company used to be on the Watch List but I am removing it now that it dropped to Fair.

 

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Several times a year, a Confident Investor must reevaluate the companies in the portfolio. Keeping your money in a stock that no longer qualifies as a “Good” company can end up hurting your investment performance a great deal.  Also, there are a lot of Good Companies so losing the worst of the best is not going to impact the ability to have a balanced portfolio.  Over the coming days, this site will evaluate each stock on the Watch List.

Company name Netflix, Inc.
Stock ticker NFLX
Live stock price [stckqut]NFLX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $369.07
Target stock price (averages with growth) $452.85
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $259.28
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $365.87

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=nflx
Netflix, Inc. (Netflix) is an Internet subscription service streaming television shows and movies. The Company?s subscribers can watch unlimited television shows and movies streamed over the Internet to their televisions, computers and mobile devices and in the United States, subscribers can also receive digital versatile discs (DVDs) delivered to their homes. The Company is organized into two operating segments: United States and International. The Company obtains content from various studios and other content providers through fixed-fee licenses, revenue sharing agreements and direct purchases. The Company markets its service through various channels, including online advertising, broad-based media, such as television and radio, as well as various partnerships. In September 2010, the Company began international operations by offering an unlimited streaming plan without DVDs in Canada.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.