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Company name Target Corporation
Stock ticker TGT
Live stock price [stckqut]TGT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $46.19
Target stock price (averages with growth) $58.42
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $56.96
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $326.09

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=tgt

Target Corporation sells a range of assortment of general merchandise and food in its stores. The Company’s general merchandise and CityTarget stores offer a food assortment on a smaller scale and its SuperTarget stores offer a line of food items comparable to traditional supermarkets. The Company operates in three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Credit Card and Canadian. The Company’s U.S. Retail Segment includes all of its United States merchandising operations. The Company’s U.S. Credit Card Segment offers credit to qualified guests through its credit cards: the Target Credit Card and the Target Visa. Its Canadian Segment includes costs incurred in the United States and Canada related to its Canadian retail market entry. As of February 2, 2013, the Company had 1,778 stores in 49 states and the District of Columbia. It also owns three distribution centers in Canada, with a total of 3,963 thousand square feet.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Target Corporation.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $63.2

Growth: 0.19

Current EPS (TTM): $3.73

P/E: 59

Future EPS Calc: $8.9

Future Stock Price Calc: $525.16

Target stock price: $326.08

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Under Armour Inc
Stock ticker UA
Live stock price [stckqut]UA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $127.18
Target stock price (averages with growth) $179.92
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $128.69
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $120.64

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ua

Under Armour, Inc. (Under Armour) is engaged in the development, marketing and distribution of apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. The Company’s products are sold worldwide and are worn by athletes at all levels, from youth to professional, on playing fields worldwide. Most of its products are sold in North America. Internationally, Under Armour sells its products in certain countries in Europe, a third party licensee sells its products in Japan, and distributors sell the Company’s products in other foreign countries. In addition, it opened it store in China during the year ended December 31, 2012. The Company’s product offerings consist of apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. In November 2013, the Company acquired MapMyFitness.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Under Armour Inc.

 

 

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $82.16

Growth: 0.19

Current EPS (TTM): $1.38

P/E: 59

Future EPS Calc: $3.29

Future Stock Price Calc: $194.29

Target stock price: $120.64

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Glacier Water Services, Inc.
Stock ticker GWSV
Live stock price [stckqut]GWSV[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gwsv

Glacier Water Services, Inc. (Glacier) is primarily engaged in the operation of self-service vending machines that dispense drinking water to consumers. The machines are placed at supermarkets and other retail outlets under commission arrangements with the retailers. The Company’s machines are primarily located throughout the Sunbelt and Midwest regions of the United States. As of January 2, 2011, the Company operated approximately 19, 100 machines in 42 states and Canada. Glacier’s indoor water vending machine was introduced especially for inside the retail store. In addition to having the same multi-stage filtration/treatment system as the outdoor machine, many retailers make available a supply of empty containers near the indoor machine. Glacier also operates a line of PureFill and Water Island equipment.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Glacier Water Services, Inc. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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IBM International Business Machines

Company name International Business Machines Corp.
Stock ticker IBM
Live stock price [stckqut]IBM[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $140.82
Target stock price (averages with growth) $184.37
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $185.92
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $165.02

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ibm

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is an information technology (IT) company. IBM operates in five segments: Global Technology Services (GTS), Global Business Services (GBS), Software, Systems and Technology and Global Financing. GTS primarily provides IT infrastructure services and business process services. GBS provides professional services and application management services. Software consists primarily of middleware and operating systems software. Systems and Technology provides clients with business solutions requiring advanced computing power and storage capabilities. In October 2013, International Business Machines Corporation acquired Xtify Inc. In October 2013, the Company announced that it has completed the acquisition of The Now Factory, a privately held provider of analytics software that helps communications service providers (CSPs) deliver better customer experiences and drive new revenue opportunities.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in International Business Machines Corp.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $179.68

Growth: 0.08

Current EPS (TTM): $14.47

P/E: 12.5

Future EPS Calc: $21.26

Future Stock Price Calc: $265.76

Target stock price: $165.01

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]