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Company name Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc.
Stock ticker GMCR
Live stock price [stckqut]GMCR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $111.28
Target stock price (averages with growth) $166.68
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $128.16
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $100.49

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gmcr

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc. (GMCR) is engaged in the specialty coffee and coffee maker businesses. The Company roasts Arabica bean coffees, including single-origin, Fair Trade Certified, certified organic, flavored, limited edition and blends offered in K-Cup portion packs, whole bean and ground coffee selections, as well as other specialty beverages, including tea, hot apple cider and hot cocoa also offered in K-Cup portion packs. The Company operates in three segments: the Specialty Coffee business unit (SCBU), the Keurig business unit (KBU) and the Canadian business unit (CBU). On December 17, 2010, the Company acquired LJVH Holdings Inc. (Van Houtte). In October 3, 2011, the Company sold Van Houtte USA Holdings, Inc. to ARAMARK Refreshment Services, LLC.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am taking the company off of my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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While you are enjoying the beginning of summer with a 3-day weekend. Please do not forget why you are not working today.

Remember those who served. All gave some and some gave all they had.

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I was recently reading the blog of one of my Twitter followers Rudi Bester, BesterInvestor. I was very impressed by his article “Zen and the Relativity of Financial Risk” and if you are catching up on good reading on this long Memorial Day holiday, jump over and learn a little bit.

If you would like to follow me on Twitter, I am @ConfidentInvest.

Have a great Memorial Weekend.

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Company name Goldcorp Inc. (USA)
Stock ticker GG
Live stock price [stckqut]GG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $41.18
Target stock price (averages with growth) $64.86
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $62.3
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $34.23

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gg

Goldcorp Inc. (Goldcorp) is a gold producer engaged in the operation, exploration, development and acquisition of precious metal properties in Canada, the United States, Mexico and Central and South America. As of December 31, 2011, its producing mining properties were consisted of the Red Lake, Porcupine and Musselwhite gold mines in Canada; the Penasquito gold/silver/lead/zinc mine, Los Filos and El Sauzal gold mines in Mexico; the Marlin gold/silver mine in Guatemala; the Alumbrera gold/copper mine (37.5% interest) in Argentina; the Marigold (66.7% interest) and Wharf gold mines in the United States. As of December 31, 2011, its development projects included the Cerro Negro gold project in Argentina; the Eleonore and Cochenour gold projects in Canada; the Pueblo Viejo gold project (40% interest) in the Dominican Republic; the El Morro gold/copper project in Chile; the Noche Buena and Camino Rojo gold/silver projects in Mexico, and the Cerro Blanco gold/silver project in Guatemala.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Fossil Inc
Stock ticker FOSL
Live stock price [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $144.55
Target stock price (averages with growth) $185.72
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $134.61
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $138.5

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=fosl

Fossil, Inc. a global designer, marketer and distributer company that specializes in consumer fashion accessories. The Company’s offerings include a line of men’s and women’s fashion watches and jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, soft accessories and clothing. Its products are distributed globally through various distribution channels, including wholesale in countries where it has a physical presence, direct to the consumer through its retail stores and commercial websites and through third-party distributors in countries where the Company do not maintain a physical presence. It operates in four different segments: the North America Wholesale segment, the Europe Wholesale segment, Asia Pacific Wholesale segment and the Direct to Consumer segment. Effective April 2, 2012, it acquired Skagen Designs, Ltd. and certain of its international affiliates. On December 31, 2012, the Company purchased substantially all of the assets of Bentrani Watches, LLC (Bentrani).

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. The biggest reason that the company dropped to Fair is due to its lack of growth of P/E and that is less concerning to me than other indicators. I am leaving the company on my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.