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Company name Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA)
Stock ticker POT
Live stock price [stckqut]POT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $58.99
Target stock price (averages with growth) $72.59
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $56.85
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $50.89

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pot

Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. (PCS) is an integrated fertilizer and related industrial and feed products company. It is a producer of potash, phosphates and nitrogen producer. PCS owns and operates five potash mines in Saskatchewan and one in New Brunswick. It also holds mineral rights at the Esterhazy mine in Saskatchewan where potash is produced under a mining and processing agreement with a third party. Its phosphate operations include the manufacture and sale of solid and liquid phosphate fertilizers, animal feed supplements and industrial acid, which is used in food products and industrial processes. Its nitrogen operations include the production of nitrogen fertilizers and nitrogen feed and industrial products, including ammonia, urea, nitrogen solutions, ammonium nitrate and nitric acid. It has nitrogen facilities in Georgia, Louisiana, Ohio and Trinidad. As of December 31, 2011, it held 22% ownership interest in Sinofert Holdings Limited (Sinofert).

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

 

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CNN Money recently ran an interesting article on the drop in Apple’s [stckqut]AAPL[/stckqut] share price. It is probably no secret to my readers that Apple’s share price has dropped fairly dramatically in the last several weeks.

In the article, Philip Elmer-DeWitt (the author) quotes 5 different investment pros and then finally each pro puts out a prediction for the price of Apple’s stock.

  • RBC Capital’s Amit Daryanani: Sticking with $750 price target.
  • Barclays’ Ben Reitzes:  Price target unchanged at $800.
  • CLSA’s Avi Silver: Poised To Rebound. $770 price target.
  • Piper Jaffray’s Gene Munster: Comfortable With FY13 Margin Assumptions. Reiterating $900 price target.
  • Avondale Partners’ John Bright: Initiating coverage with $600 price target.

I am also reiterating my commitment to Apple as soon as the bottom is found and the price starts to rise again. Why pay more if the price is dropping short term? I think Apple is probably a buy up to $820.

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Company name PNC Financial Services
Stock ticker PNC
Live stock price [stckqut]PNC[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $55.21
Target stock price (averages with growth) $61.81
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $54.55
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $54.23

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pnc

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC) is a financial service company. The Company has businesses engaged in retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, asset management, and residential mortgage banking, providing its products and services nationally and others in its markets located in Pennsylvania, Virginia, Missouri, Wisconsin and Georgia. It also provides products and services internationally. As of December 31, 2011, its corporate legal structure consisted of one domestic subsidiary bank, including its subsidiaries, and approximately 122 active non-bank subsidiaries. Its bank subsidiary is PNC Bank, National Association (PNC Bank, N.A.). Effective December 9, 2011, PNC acquired 27 branches in the northern metropolitan Atlanta, Georgia area from Flagstar Bank, FSB, a subsidiary of Flagstar Bancorp, Inc. Effective June 6, 2011, PNC acquired 19 branches in the greater Tampa, Florida area from BankAtlantic, a subsidiary of BankAtlantic Bancorp, Inc.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.  I am taking PNC off of my Watch List.

 

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Company name Priceline.com Inc
Stock ticker PCLN
Live stock price [stckqut]PCLN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $970.82
Target stock price (averages with growth) $1342.04
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $930.67
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $982.28

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pcln

priceline.com Incorporated is an online travel company that offers its customers hotel room reservations at over 210,000 hotels worldwide through the Booking.com, priceline.com and Agoda brands. In the United States, the Company also offers its customers reservations for car rentals, airline tickets, vacation packages, destination services and cruises through the priceline.com brand. It offers car rental reservations worldwide through rentalcars.com. In the United States, the Company also offers customers the ability to purchase other travel services, including airline tickets, rental car days, vacations packages, destination services and cruises through both a traditional, price-disclosed retail manner, and through its demand-collection system known as Name Your Own Price. During the year ended December 31, 2011, it re-branded TravelJigsaw as rentalcars.com through rentalcars.com, it offers retail price-disclosed rental car reservations worldwide.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

 

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Company name Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA (ADR)
Stock ticker PBR
Live stock price [stckqut]PBR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $12.8
Target stock price (averages with growth) $14.35
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $15.82
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $12.98

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pbr

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (Petrobras) is a Brazil-based integrated oil and gas company. The Company divides its activities into six segments: Exploration and Production; Provision; Gas and Energy; Biofuel; Distribution, and International. Directly or through its subsidiaries, Petrobras is engaged in the research, extraction, refining, processing, trade and transport of oil from wells, shale and other rocks, its derivatives, natural gas and other liquid hydrocarbons, as well as in activities related to energy, development, production, transport, distribution and commercialization of energy. The Company is active in Brazil and in 24 countries abroad, with projects situated on five continents. As of December 31, 2011, the Company owned 132 concession contracts for 194 exploration blocks and had a number of subsidiaries, including Petrobras Quimica SA, Petrobras Distribuidora SA, Braspetro Oil Services Company, Braspetro Oil Company, among others.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. I am removing this company from my Watch List.