| Company name | Fossil Group Inc |
| Stock ticker | FOSL |
| Live stock price | [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut] |
| P/E compared to competitors | Good |
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
| Employee productivity | Poor |
| Sales growth | Poor |
| EPS growth | Poor |
| P/E growth | Poor |
| EBIT growth | Poor |
ANALYSIS
| Confident Investor Rating | Poor |
| Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) | $4.79 |
| Target stock price (averages with growth) | $4.21 |
| Target stock price (averages with no growth) | $4.62 |
| Target stock price (manual assumptions) | $360.61 |
The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=fosl
Fossil Group, Inc. is a design, marketing and distribution company that specializes in consumer fashion accessories. The Company’s segments are Americas, Europe and Asia. Each segment includes sales to wholesale and distributor customers, and sales through the Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment includes sales to customers based in Canada, Latin America and the United States. The Europe segment includes sales to customers based in European countries, the Middle East and Africa. The Asia segment includes sales to customers based in Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The Company’s principal offerings include a line of men’s and women’s fashion watches and jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses and soft accessories. Its brand includes FOSSIL, MICHELE, RELIC, SKAGEN, ZODIAC, ADIDAS, BURBERRY, DIESEL and DKNY.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Fossil Group Inc. I am removing Fossil Group from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.
How was this analysis of Fossil Group Inc calculated?
For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:
- Stock price at the time of the calculation: $31.28
- Growth: 0.2
- Current EPS (TTM): $3.89
- P/E: 60
- Future EPS Calc: $9.67
- Future Stock Price Calc: $580.77
- Target stock price: $360.61
[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.