Company name Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
Stock ticker HP
Live stock price [stckqut]HP[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $55.64
Target stock price (averages with growth) $38.3
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $22.08
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $53.77

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AHP&ei=gbeaV-G7NcX-jAHBxbo4

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. is engaged in contract drilling of oil and gas wells for others. The Company operates in the contract drilling industry. The Company’s contract drilling business consists of three segments: U.S. Land, Offshore and International Land. The Company is also engaged in the ownership, development and operation of commercial real estate and the research and development of rotary steerable technology. Its real estate investments are located within Tulsa, Oklahoma, and include a shopping center containing approximately 441,000 leasable square feet, multi-tenant industrial warehouse properties containing approximately one million leasable square feet and approximately 210 acres of undeveloped real estate. The Company provides drilling rigs, equipment, personnel and camps on a contract basis. The Company’s subsidiaries include Helmerich & Payne International Drilling Co. and Helmerich & Payne de Venezuela, C.A.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Helmerich & Payne, Inc..

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Helmerich & Payne, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $61.15
  • Growth: 0.07
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
  • P/E: 63
  • Future EPS Calc: $1.37
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $86.59
  • Target stock price: $53.76

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

I regularly encourage everyone to donate to their favorite charity. I think it is the responsibility of all people to help their fellow man whenever possible. Most people reading this site live in the United States of America. As a citizen of the USA, you are very likely to be immensely more wealthy than the average person in the world. If you are reading this post, you owe it to others to help them and you owe it yourself to give part of yourself to others – you will reap the rewards.

You may remember the ALS ice bucket challenge of a few years ago. If you participated, you helped to eventually cure this disease. Congratulations! You made a difference in the real world.

Here is my video (hosted on Facebook) of my check as well as my dosing of ice water.

Here is a video on WSJ discussing this amazing breakthrough.

And here is an article describing the amazing successes that were caused by the citizens of the world doing a little bit more to help their fellow man.

It is often easy to dismiss viral charity campaigns as “slacktivism”, which lacks in real-world impact (we never did catch the warlord Joseph Kony, after all) but a breakthrough discovery bankrolled by 2014’s ALS ice bucket challenge may give the lie to that cynicism.

The ice bucket challenge was a phenomenon in the summer of 2014 in which people dunked a bucket of iced water over their heads in order to solicit donations before nominating others to do the same.

Slate wrote that “for most of the people posting ice bucket videos of themselves on Facebook, Vine, and Instagram, the charity part remains a postscript”, while Time called it “problematic in almost every way”, going on to say that “most of its participants … didn’t mention the disease at all. The chance to jump on the latest trend was an end in itself. In fact, the challenge’s structure seems almost inherently offensive to those touched by ALS.”

But the proof of the pudding was in the eating: the campaign raised more than $100m in a 30-day period, and was able to fully fund a number of research projects.

One of these was Project MinE, a large data-driven initiative funded by the ALS Association through ice bucket challenge donations, as well as donations from the organization’s Georgia and New York chapters. The project’s researchers announced on Monday that they have identified a new gene associated with the disease, which experts say could lead to new treatment possibilities.

Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis, also known ALS or Lou Gehrig’s Disease, is a neurological disorder in which the motor neurons that control muscle function slowly die. The disease can be either sporadic or inherited, and in either case there is currently no cure.

“It’s very exciting because it shows everyone who contributed to the ice bucket challenge that their donation had an impact on the research,” said Brian Frederick, executive vice-president of communications and development at the ALS Association. “The work that Project MinE is doing is really important, and the discovery of this new gene will help us better understand ALS.”

 

Source: Remember the ice bucket challenge? It just funded an ALS breakthrough | Society | The Guardian

Company name Harley-Davidson Inc
Stock ticker HOG
Live stock price [stckqut]HOG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $51.03
Target stock price (averages with growth) $48.01
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $26.5
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $64.96

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hog

Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company for the groups of companies doing business as Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) and Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS). The Company operates in two segments: the Motorcycles & Related Products (Motorcycles) and the Financial Services. The Motorcycles segment consists of HDMC, which designs, manufactures and sells at wholesale on-road l Harley-Davidson motorcycles, as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and related services. The Company offers its products to retail customers through a network of independent dealers. The Company operates across the world, including the Americas, Europe/Middle East/Africa (EMEA) and Asia-Pacific. The Financial Services segment consists of HDFS, which provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance, and insurance-related programs to the Harley-Davidson dealers and their retail customers. HDFS conducts business in the United States and Canada.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Harley-Davidson Inc as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Harley-Davidson Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $51.01
  • Growth: 0.12
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.71
  • P/E: 16
  • Future EPS Calc: $6.53
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $104.61
  • Target stock price: $64.95

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Genesee & Wyoming Inc
Stock ticker GWR
Live stock price [stckqut]GWR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $71.8
Target stock price (averages with growth) $57.97
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $30.26
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $69.16

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gwr

Genesee & Wyoming Inc. owns and operates over 120 freight railroads across the world, which are organized in approximately 10 regions. The Company operates through three segments, which include North American Operations, Australian Operations and U.K./European Operations. In the United States, the Company has over eight regions, such as Central, Coastal (which includes industrial switching and port operations), Midwest, Mountain West (which includes industrial switching operations), Northeast, Ohio Valley, Pacific and Southern. Outside the United States, the Company has approximately three regions, such as Canada (which includes a contiguous railroad located in the United States), Australia, and U.K./Europe (which consists of operations in Belgium, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland and the United Kingdom). The Company provides rail services at over 40 ports in North America, Australia and Europe and perform contract coal loading and railcar switching for industrial customers.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Genesee & Wyoming Inc as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Genesee & Wyoming Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $64.48
  • Growth: 0.12
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.95
  • P/E: 16
  • Future EPS Calc: $6.96
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $111.37
  • Target stock price: $69.15

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.