Extra Space Storage, Inc. ($EXR) Possible Buy to $108 Confident Investor Rating: Good
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| Company name | Extra Space Storage, Inc. |
| Stock ticker | EXR |
| Live stock price | [stckqut]EXR[/stckqut] |
| P/E compared to competitors | Good |
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
| Employee productivity | Fair |
| Sales growth | Good |
| EPS growth | Good |
| P/E growth | Good |
| EBIT growth | Good |
ANALYSIS
| Confident Investor Rating | Good |
| Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) | $127.13 |
| Target stock price (averages with growth) | $149.79 |
| Target stock price (averages with no growth) | $71.57 |
| Target stock price (manual assumptions) | $125.3 |
The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=exr
Extra Space Storage Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company operates through three segments: rental operations; tenant reinsurance, and property management, acquisition and development. The Company owns, operates, manages, acquires, develops and redevelops self-storage properties (stores). The Company has interests in approximately 1000 operating stores. Of these stores, the Company owns approximately 270 stores in joint venture partnerships. An additional approximately 350 operating stores are owned by third parties and operated by the Company. The Company’s operating stores are located in over 30 states of the United States, Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico, and contains approximately 100 million square feet of net rentable space in approximately 896,000 units. The Company’s businesses are conducted through Extra Space Storage LP. The Company’s rental operations activities include rental operations of stores.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Extra Space Storage, Inc.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.
How was this analysis of Extra Space Storage, Inc. calculated?
For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:
- Stock price at the time of the calculation: $92.46
- Growth: 0.17
- Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
- P/E: 52
- Future EPS Calc: $3.88
- Future Stock Price Calc: $201.79
- Target stock price: $125.29
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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.
EOG Resources Inc – $EOG – Confident Investor Rating: Poor
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| Company name | EOG Resources Inc |
| Stock ticker | EOG |
| Live stock price | [stckqut]EOG[/stckqut] |
| Confident Investor Rating | Poor |
The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=eog
EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) explores for, develops, produces and markets crude oil and natural gas primarily in major producing basins in the United States, The Republic of Trinidad and Tobago (Trinidad), the United Kingdom, The People’s Republic of China (China), Canada and, from time to time, select other international areas. The Company’s operations are all crude oil and natural gas exploration and production related. EOG’s total estimated net proved reserves include approximately 2,118 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBoe), of which over 1,098 million barrels (MMBbl) is crude oil and condensate reserves, approximately 383 MMBbl include natural gas liquids (NGLs) reserves and over 3,825 billion cubic feet, or 637 MMBoe, includes natural gas reserves. The Company’s operations are focused in most of the productive basins in the United States with a focus on crude oil and, to a lesser extent, liquids-rich natural gas plays.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in EOG Resources Inc. It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable. I am removing EOG from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.
Deckers Outdoor Corp ($DECK) Confident Investor Rating: Poor

| Company name | Deckers Outdoor Corp |
| Stock ticker | DECK |
| Live stock price | [stckqut]DECK[/stckqut] |
| P/E compared to competitors | Good |
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
| Employee productivity | Good |
| Sales growth | Fair |
| EPS growth | Poor |
| P/E growth | Poor |
| EBIT growth | Poor |
ANALYSIS
| Confident Investor Rating | Poor |
| Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) | $36.71 |
| Target stock price (averages with growth) | $31.56 |
| Target stock price (averages with no growth) | $20.87 |
| Target stock price (manual assumptions) | $44.22 |
The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=deck
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (Deckers) offers footwear, apparel and accessories. The Company’s segments include operations of Deckers’ brands, such as UGG, Teva, Sanuk and other brands; wholesale divisions; E-Commerce business, and retail store business. It sells its UGG footwear and accessories through department stores, independent specialty retailers and online retailers. The Company sells Teva footwear through specialty outdoor and sporting goods retailers. It sells Sanuk footwear through independent action sports retailers, outdoor retailers, specialty footwear retailers and national retail chains. The Company sells other brands at specialty running stores, department stores, outdoor specialty accounts, independent specialty retailers, and through online retailers. It operate its E-Commerce business through Uggaustralia.com, Teva.com, Sanuk.com, Ahnu.com, Hokaoneone.com, Mozo.com and Tsubo.com Websites. Its retail stores segment operates UGG concept stores and UGG outlet stores.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Deckers Outdoor Corp. I am removing this company from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.
How was this analysis of Deckers Outdoor Corp calculated?
For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:
- Stock price at the time of the calculation: $57.61
- Growth: 0.05
- Current EPS (TTM): $3.72
- P/E: 15
- Future EPS Calc: $4.74
- Future Stock Price Calc: $71.21
- Target stock price: $44.21
[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.