Company name NVIDIA Corporation
Stock ticker NVDA
Live stock price [stckqut]NVDA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $299.18
Target stock price (averages with growth) $388.83
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $264.12
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $302.83

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://finance.google.com/finance?q=nvda

Nvidia Corporation focuses on personal computer (PC) graphics, graphics processing unit (GPU) and also on artificial intelligence (AI). The Company’s operates through two segments: GPU and Tegra Processor. The Company’s GPU product brands are aimed at specialized markets, including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Company’s Tegra brand integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core central processing units (CPUs) to drive supercomputing for mobile gaming and entertainment devices, as well as autonomous robots, drones and cars. The Company’s processor has created platforms that address four markets: Gaming, Professional Visualization, Datacenter, and Automotive. The Company’s offerings include NVIDIA DGX AI supercomputer, the NVIDIA DRIVE AI car computing platform and the GeForce NOW cloud gaming service.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in NVIDIA Corporation as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of NVIDIA Corporation calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $193.5
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4
  • P/E: 49
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.95
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $487.71
  • Target stock price: $302.82

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Netflix, Inc.
Stock ticker NFLX
Live stock price [stckqut]NFLX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $297.05
Target stock price (averages with growth) $437.31
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $297.05
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $296.74

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://finance.google.com/finance?q=nflx

Netflix, Inc. is a provider an Internet television network. The Company operates through three segments: Domestic streaming, International streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic streaming segment includes services that streams content to its members in the United States. The International streaming segment includes services that streams content to its members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment includes services, such as digital optical disc (DVD)-by-mail. The Company’s members can watch original series, documentaries, feature films, as well as television shows and movies directly on their Internet-connected screen, televisions, computers and mobile devices. It offers its streaming services both domestically and internationally. In the United States, its members can receive DVDs delivered to their homes. The Company had members streaming in over 190 countries, as of December 31, 2016.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Netflix, Inc. as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Netflix, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $191.96
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
  • P/E: 194
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.46
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $477.9
  • Target stock price: $296.74

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Merck & Co., Inc.
Stock ticker MRK
Live stock price [stckqut]MRK[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $62.11
Target stock price (averages with growth) $66.59
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $52.4
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $56.14

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://finance.google.com/finance?q=mrk

Merck & Co., Inc. is a global healthcare company. The Company offers health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies and animal health products. It operates through four segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services and Alliances. The Company’s Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products marketed either directly by the Company or through joint ventures. Human health pharmaceutical products consist of therapeutic and preventive agents, generally sold by prescription, for the treatment of human disorders. The Company sells its human health pharmaceutical products primarily to drug wholesalers and retailers, hospitals, government agencies and managed healthcare providers, such as health maintenance organizations, pharmacy benefit managers and other institutions. Vaccine products consist of preventive pediatric, adolescent and adult vaccines, primarily administered at physician offices.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Merck & Co., Inc. as long as the price is correct and the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. Because of those concerns, I am removing Merck from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Merck & Co., Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $56.27
  • Growth: 0.1
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
  • P/E: 54.5
  • Future EPS Calc: $1.65
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $90.4
  • Target stock price: $56.13

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Company name Metlife Inc
Stock ticker MET
Live stock price [stckqut]MET[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $8.57
Target stock price (averages with growth) $10.24
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $11.
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $8.05

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://finance.google.com/finance?q=met

MetLife, Inc. is a provider of life insurance, annuities, employee benefits and asset management. The Company’s segments include U.S.; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA); MetLife Holdings, and Corporate & Other. Its U.S. segment is organized into Group Benefits, Retirement and Income Solutions and Property & Casualty businesses. Its Asia segment offers products, including life insurance; accident and health insurance, and retirement and savings products. Latin America offers products, including life insurance, and retirement and savings products. Life insurance includes universal, variable and term life products. EMEA offers products, including life insurance, accident and health insurance, retirement and savings products, and credit insurance.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Metlife Inc. I am removing the company from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Metlife Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $50.56
  • Growth: 0.12
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
  • P/E: 16
  • Future EPS Calc: $0.81
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $12.97
  • Target stock price: $8.05

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
AAPL Apple Inc. $169.2300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $187.4100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ADS Alliance Data Systems Corporation $253.4800 Strong Buy or Hold
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $222.1900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $119.5900 Strong Buy or Hold
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $51.1200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMZN Amazon $1169.4700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AYI Acuity Brands, Inc. $176.0000 Strong Buy or Hold
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $172.4300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings $156.3500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CBPO China Biologic Products Inc $78.7700 Very Concerned, may need to wait
COF Capital One Financial Corp. $99.5800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $51.8600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. $152.6000 Strong Buy or Hold
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $188.9600 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp $112.7100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
EXR Extra Space Storage, Inc. $87.4500 Strong Buy or Hold
FB Facebook Inc $176.4600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GOOGL Alphabet Inc $1053.4000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $16.7500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GWR Genesee & Wyoming Inc $78.7300 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. $6.0700 Strong Buy or Hold
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc $50.8800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HSKA Heska Corp $80.2100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HZO MarineMax Inc $18.9000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
IDXX IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. $156.3800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LNCE Snyder’s-Lance Inc $50.0800 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $78.5900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MCK McKesson Corporation $155.9500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. $40.1000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MET Metlife Inc $50.5600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MIDD Middleby Corp $134.9500 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation $63.2900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. $56.2700 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $191.9600 Strong Buy or Hold
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $193.5000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
PCLN Priceline Group Inc $1737.7400 Very Concerned, may need to wait
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc $375.9600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc $191.1000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $57.4300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. $228.5700 Strong Buy or Hold
SUI Sun Communities Inc $92.7800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $94.9500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
THRM Gentherm Inc $31.7500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. $189.8800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TRN Trinity Industries Inc $37.4600 Very Concerned, may need to wait
UA Under Armour Inc $13.3200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $223.6600 Very Concerned, may need to wait